Key Facts
- Sevilla is locked in a fierce relegation battle, sitting just one point ahead of Alavés and one point behind Elche; the away trip to El Sadar comes at the worst possible time.
- Sevilla has lost four of its last five games and conceded goals in all five matches – defensive vulnerability is the biggest structural problem.
- The absences of Marcão and César Azpilicueta further weaken Sevilla’s defense, which is particularly problematic on a pitch where Osasuna traditionally concedes few goals.
- Osasuna has been unbeaten at El Sadar since November and, with Oroz, Budimir, and Rubén García, possesses enough quality to control tight home matches.
- The last five head-to-head matches all ended with under 2.5 goals; this fixture has been characterized for years as a tough, low-scoring battle.
- Betting odds and statistics (low goal averages for both teams ~2.0–2.2 per game) support an Osasuna home win and a bet on under 2.5 goals as realistic options.
Sevilla heads to El Sadar on Sunday with the specter of relegation looming, after a bitter 2-0 loss at Levante further complicated their situation. Osasuna, on the other hand, heads into this Matchday 32 La Liga fixture with a much calmer mindset. Alessio Liscis’s team suffered a narrow loss to Athletic Club in their last outing, while Luis García’s squad has lost four of their last five league games. Sevilla won the first leg in November 2025 by a score of 1–0.
- Venue: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
- Date and time: April 26, 2026, 6:30 PM
- Competition: La Liga (Matchday 32)
The betting market sees Osasuna as the favorite but rates the odds of a draw relatively close, which seems unusually cautious given the current form of both teams. Sevilla has lost four of its last five games, conceded goals in all five matches, and is traveling without Marcão and César Azpilicueta—absences that will weigh particularly heavily on a pitch where Osasuna rarely allows chances.
Osasuna Form & Record Check
The 1-0 loss at San Mamés wasn’t a collapse, but it underscored Osasuna’s current pattern: competitive, without really taking control of the game.
In their last five league games, they have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses, with each match decided by the finest of margins. The draws against Alavés and Real Betis kept them in the race, while the home win against Girona showed that they can still close out tight matches cleanly.
At El Sadar, the picture looks much better. Osasuna hasn’t been beaten there since November, and Alessio Lisci is likely to bring Iker Muñoz back into the starting lineup following Lucas Torró’s rather lackluster performance last time out. With Aimar Oroz, Rubén García, Víctor Muñoz, and Budimir, there’s enough firepower to handle controlled matches, but with just a one-point lead over Rayo Vallecano, there’s still work to be done.
As expected, Osasuna is likely to stick to its usual 4-2-3-1 formation, though this is still just a prediction. Sergio Herrera – 1 is expected to be protected by Valentin Rosier – 19, Enzo Boyomo – 22, Jorge Herrando – 5, and Javi Galán – 20, while Jon Moncayola – 7 and Lucas Torró – 6 form the double-pivot, allowing Aimar Oroz – 10 to operate closer to Ante Budimir – 17.
Since Iker Benito remains sidelined with a torn ACL, Rubén García – 14 and Víctor Muñoz – 21 would likely remain behind Ante Budimir – 17 in the back three in this lineup. The system once again places the creative burden on Aimar Oroz – 10 between the lines, while Moi Gómez – 16 is considered the most likely offensive alternative should there be a last-minute change.
Sevilla Form & Record Check
The loss to Levante weighed heavier than the result suggested, as Sevilla once again played long stretches with visible uncertainty and positioned themselves dangerously close to the relegation zone. Luis García’s team has lost four of their last five league games, and their only win during that stretch came against Atlético Madrid of all teams. Even more concerning is that they have conceded goals in all five matches and have repeatedly been the first to fall behind.
Added to this is the physical and mental strain of this away trip. Sevilla is playing again less than 72 hours after the defeat to Levante; their recent away performances have been far from convincing offensively, and the absences of Marcão and César Azpilicueta noticeably thin out their options in defense. Isaac Romero and Lucien Agoumé have recently spoken of team unity, but a team that is just one point ahead of Alavés and one behind Elche simply has no margin for error left.
Sevilla is likely to line up in a 3-4-2-1 under Luis García, though this has not yet been confirmed.
Behind them would be Odysseas Vlachodimos – 1 in front of Andrés Castrín – 32, Nemanja Gudelj – 6, and Kike Salas – 4. This back three makes perfect sense given the absences of Marcão and César Azpilicueta, while Juanlu Sánchez – 16 and Gabriel Suazo – 12 would take over the wings.
In this lineup, Lucien Agoumé – 18 and Djibril Sow – 20 form the central midfield duo, with Rubén Vargas – 11 and Isaac Romero – 7 playing behind Akor Adams – 9. Interestingly, this lineup suggests direct play into the box around the striker as well as quick transitions, but Luis García could still tweak the lineup after the short turnaround period.
Osasuna – Sevilla Head-to-Head & Statistics
Recent encounters have been remarkably even for the most part. In the last five matches, each side claimed one victory, while the other three ended in draws, including a streak of draws from 2023 to 2025. The last two results broke this pattern only slightly: Sevilla won 1-0 in November 2025, after Osasuna had won the match in April 2025 by the same score.
The goal-scoring trend is even more pronounced and is likely to play a role this weekend as well. All five games ended with fewer than 2.5 goals, and in none of those matches were more than 1.5 goals scored by halftime. Regardless of their standings, this matchup has been a tough, close battle for years, in which a single goal—or even none at all—can decide the entire evening.
