Everton FC – Liverpool FC
Our Everton v Liverpool tip is: Liverpool to win – 1.44 odds
- Liverpool are undefeated in the Premier League for 19 games
- Liverpool have not lost a single away game this Premier League season
- Everton have only won once in their 11 matches against top-10 teams
The last Merseyside derby at the venerable Goodison Park promises to be a highly charged duel. While league leaders Liverpool are looking to make amends after their surprising FA Cup defeat against Plymouth (0-1), Everton, as the 16th team in the Premier League, are still fighting for important points in the relegation battle. The recent 2-0 home defeat to Bournemouth has not exactly improved the mood at the Toffees.
Interestingly, both teams have personnel concerns ahead of the derby: at Liverpool, Joe Gomez had to leave the field injured, while Everton coach David Moyes is still concerned about the availability of two key players. The gap between the city rivals could hardly be wider – while Liverpool lead the table with a six-point lead over Arsenal, Everton are only one point behind West Ham United in 15th place. It remains to be seen whether the Toffees can take advantage of the special atmosphere of the last derby at the “Grand Old Lady” to pull off an upset.
Everton – Liverpool Info
- Stadium: Goodison Park, Liverpool
- Date and Time: 12.02.2025, 20:30
- Competition: Premier League, 15. Matchday (Postponed Match)
- TV broadcast: Sky
Everton form & record check
Everton are going through a remarkably changeable phase. Three convincing Premier League wins in a row, including an impressive 4-0 win over Leicester and an important 1-0 away win over Brighton, were followed by a sobering 2-0 FA Cup defeat to Bournemouth at the weekend. The way in which they lost the game was particularly worrying – the Toffees looked short on ideas and made it too easy for their opponents through individual mistakes.
The league is Everton’s
David Moyes’ team has given itself some breathing space in the relegation battle with its recent upturn in form in the league and is now in 16th place. The lead over the relegation places is comfortable at seven points, but only one point separates the team from 15th place, which is occupied by West Ham. Interestingly, there is a clear pattern here: in the league, the team is much more focused than in the cup competitions.
However, one may wonder how sustainable the upward trend is. While the defense has been largely secure in league victories, the team revealed old weaknesses against Bournemouth. Above all, the personnel situation is worrying – Moyes has to worry about the use of several key players before the derby against Liverpool. It remains to be seen whether the team can prove their new stability against their arch-rivals.
Everton Facts & Analysis
- 16th place in the table
- Won three league games in a row
- Last PL game won 4-0 against Leicester
Everton will likely start in a classic 4-2-3-1 under manager David Moyes.
Liverpool form & record check
Liverpool are currently showing a rather ambivalent face. The commanding 4-0 victory in the League Cup against Tottenham and the deserved 2-0 away win at Bournemouth underline the quality of the league leaders. But the surprising 1-0 defeat in the FA Cup against Plymouth at the weekend raises questions – even though manager Arne Slot made major changes to the team and did not include key players like Salah and van Dijk.
The personnel issues in particular could prove problematic. Joe Gomez had to leave the field injured against Plymouth, and Curtis Jones is not yet back to 100 percent. Interestingly, however, the league in particular is showing remarkable consistency: Liverpool are six points ahead of Arsenal at the top of the table and are demonstrating impressive qualities, especially in offense. In 80% of their last matches, the team scored at least one goal in the first half.
Too much pressure?
You might think that the multiple pressures are now taking their toll. The Champions League defeat at PSV Eindhoven (2-3) and the cup exit against Plymouth show that the team doesn’t have the strength for all competitions. Nevertheless, Liverpool have so far presented themselves extremely confidently in the Premier League – the question will be whether the slot eleven can also confirm this form in the upcoming Merseyside derby at Everton.
Liverpool Facts & Analysis
- Top of the table
- Unbeaten in the league for 19 games
- Last PL game won 2-0 against Bournemouth
Liverpool are expected to stick with the tried and tested 4-3-3 system for the derby. After the FA Cup defeat to Plymouth, the analysts believe that the key players will return to the starting lineup.
Everton – Liverpool head to head & stats
The last five Merseyside derbies have been remarkably consistent. Liverpool dominated with three wins, while Everton recorded an important 2-0 home victory in April 2024. A goalless draw in September 2022 completes the record.
The consistent pattern in the number of goals is interesting: if any goals were scored at all, the matches always ended 2-0 – whether it was for Liverpool (October 2023, February 2023 and 2022) or for Everton (April 2024).
The defensive stability of both teams in the first 45 minutes is striking. In all five encounters, no goals were scored before the break. The decisive phases of the game shifted to the second half in each case.
The duels were characterized by tactical discipline throughout – not once did more than two goals fall in a single game. You might think that both teams would play with particular caution in a direct duel. This is also reflected in the statistics: all five matches ended with fewer than 2.5 goals.
This defensive approach seems to have become something of a tradition in the Merseyside derby. It remains to be seen whether this trend will continue in the upcoming clash.
