Key Facts
- Verona, currently in 19th place and nine points behind Lecce, is under immense pressure; another home loss would worsen their relegation situation.
- AC Milan has won the last five matches against Verona (including a 3-0 victory in the first leg) — the head-to-head record clearly favors the visitors.
- Four of the last five direct encounters ended with under 3.5 goals; Milan often controls games defensively and doesn’t always seal the deal early.
- Verona failed to score in three of their last four league matches; the absence of Suat Serdar further weakens an already fragile offense.
- Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic are Milan’s key figures in attack and have recently shown their potential despite inconsistent form (including in the 3-2 win over Torino and the 1-0 win over Inter).
- Verona’s average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches, combined with Milan’s recent low-scoring performances, suggest a defensively oriented match.
Both teams need a response, which adds extra tension to Sunday’s match at the Bentegodi. Verona recently suffered a 1-2 loss to Torino, while AC Milan was taken apart 3-0 at home by Udinese. On Matchday 33 of Serie A, Paolo Sammarco will try to keep Verona alive in the relegation battle, while Massimiliano Allegri must stabilize a team that is increasingly running out of room for error. The standings provide the context but don’t tell the whole story: Verona sits in 19th place, nine points behind Lecce and level on points with Pisa, while Milan is in third place, three points behind Napoli and three ahead of Juventus. The fact that the visitors already won the first leg 3-0 in December 2025 underscores their significantly better record in this matchup, even if their own form has been anything but convincing lately.
- Venue: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona
- Date and time: April 19, 2026, 3:00 PM
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 33)
That’s why the betting analysis starts with a win for AC Milan, even though the odds reflect their clear status as away favorites. Verona has lost four of its last five league games and conceded in all five, while Milan enters the match with no reported absences.
Verona Form & Record Check
Verona’s 2-1 loss at Torino at least showed a bit more attacking intent: Kieron Bowie scored the equalizer after a long assist from Lorenzo Montipò, but the overall picture remains bleak. In the league, they have lost four of their last five matches, and the attack fails to get going far too often. Verona failed to score in three of their last four games, which is why every mistake now carries even greater weight.
Particularly concerning is their home record during this stretch.
Verona lost 1-0 to Fiorentina and 2-0 to Genoa, and even the 1-0 win in Bologna now seems more like an outlier than a turnaround. With Suat Serdar still unavailable, Sammarco could once again rely on Tomas Suslov, Abdou Harroui, and Amin Sarr to shoulder much of the offensive burden.
Verona is expected to line up in their usual 3-5-2 formation, though this is, of course, not yet a confirmed lineup. Lorenzo Montipò – 1 will be in goal, with Victor Nelsson – 15, Andrias Edmundsson – 5, and Martin Frese – 3 forming the back three. Daniel Oyegoke – 2 and Rafik Belghali – 7 will provide width on the wings.
In midfield, Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro – 11, Roberto Gagliardini – 63, and Antoine Bernede – 24 are expected to provide stability in the center, while Abdou Harroui – 21 could play a slightly more attacking role alongside Kieron Bowie – 18. Suat Serdar remains sidelined, so it is expected that Verona will stick to their tried-and-true basic structure and avoid any major tactical experiments.
AC Milan Form & Record Check
AC Milan’s latest result was exactly the kind of defeat that casts a shadow over an entire week. The 3-0 home loss to Udinese wasn’t just a typical setback, but a lackluster performance in which Davide Bartesaghi even contributed an own goal, forcing Allegri to look for answers early on. This came on the heels of the away loss in Naples, so the Milan side arrives with some explaining to do, even though they remain in the top three.
However, their recent run isn’t entirely bleak. In those five league games, Milan beat Torino 3-2 and Inter 1-0, showing that the potential is definitely there once Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic get going in attack. No injury concerns have been reported, and with just a three-point gap behind Napoli and Juventus on both sides, the motivation is clear enough.
This is, of course, just a prediction, but AC Milan is likely to line up in a 4-3-3 under Massimiliano Allegri. Mike Maignan – 16 will be in goal behind Zachary Athekame – 24, Koni De Winter – 5, Strahinja Pavlović – 31, and Pervis Estupiñán – 2, so the starting lineup remains familiar, with no sign of a tactical shake-up.
The projected midfield featuring Samuele Ricci – 4, Luka Modrić – 14, and Adrien Rabiot – 12 suggests control and build-up play in the center, while Christian Pulisic – 11, Rafael Leão – 10, and Alexis Saelemaekers – 56 are expected to provide movement in the attack. With no injuries reported, this potential starting XI is based on continuity, not forced changes.
Verona – AC Milan Head-to-Head & Stats
The recent encounters have been quite one-sided. AC Milan has won the last five matches against Verona, including a 3-0 victory in December 2025 and a 1-0 win in February 2025. Looking back at 2024 and 2023, the same pattern emerges: Verona scored only once in those five games, while Milan always found a way to score.
Interestingly, these matches usually start off cautiously and then swing in Milan’s favor. In all five games, the first half saw fewer than 1.5 goals, and in four of them, Milan had the clear upper hand in the second half. Four of the five games also ended with fewer than 3.5 goals total, which underscores the trend: Milan prefers to control this matchup rather than decide it early.
