Key Facts
- Inter leads Serie A only thanks to a better goal differential than Lazio Rome; bottom-ranked Venezia trails Parma by one point, so both teams have points on the line.
- Inter has won four of its last five games; forward Marcus Thuram’s late equalizer against AC Florence showed that Inter remains a scoring threat even without Lautaro Martínez.
- The +1.5 handicap for Venezia remains an interesting option despite four losses in Venezia’s last five games, as Venezia recently lost to Genoa by just 0–1.
- “Both Teams to Score: No” is supported by Venezia’s scoring drought: Venezia has failed to score in two of their last five games, and they’re also missing an attacking option in Andrea Adorante.
- “Over 3.5 goals” is supported by Inter’s twelve goals in their last five games and the absences in both defenses, but remains the riskier bet.
- Inter has won all recorded competitive matches against Venezia; however, the most recent league clash was close, showing that a decisive victory is not a given.
Match Preview
Marcus Thuram secured a late victory for Inter against AC Florence. Venezia FC, on the other hand, saw its second-half pressure go unrewarded against Genoa. On Wednesday, the two teams will face off in Serie A at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo. For Cristian Chivu’s team, the top spot in the standings is on the line: only a better goal differential keeps Inter ahead of Lazio Rome. Davide Nicolas’s team, currently in last place, trails Parma by one point. In their most recent competitive matchup, Inter celebrated a decisive cup victory.
- Venue: Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice
- Date and Time: October 28, 2026, 6:30 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 9)
The market clearly favors Inter. Following Venezia’s narrow loss to Genoa, the Venezia FC +1.5 handicap is still an interesting option. The main argument against it is the 1–5 cup loss in December 2025, although the most recent recorded league matchup was closer. Andrea Adorante’s absence supports the “Both Teams to Score: No” bet. In both teams’ most recent matches, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored. “Over 3.5 goals” therefore remains risky, even though the absences in both defenses suggest otherwise.
Venezia FC Form & Record Check
Venezia FC lost 0–1 to Genoa in Serie A. A stronger second half and ten corner kicks didn’t result in an equalizer, even though Akor Adams had chances to do so. The 1-0 league win against Napoli shows that Venezia can cause problems even for strong opponents. After four losses in their last five league games, however, the +1.5 handicap seems more plausible than an upset victory.
Marin Šverko and Bartol Franjic are out of the center-back lineup; Thierry Correia is also out with an injury, and Andrea Adorante is unavailable. This leaves Nicola with fewer options on both defense and offense. In their most recent league matches against Genoa and Lazio Rome, Venezia failed to score. “Both Teams to Score: No” therefore seems more likely than the victory over Napoli might suggest.
Venezia FC could line up in a 3-5-2, with Filip Stanković in goal and Redouane Halhal, Matías Moreno, and Juan Jesus in front of him. Antoine Hainaut is slated to play on the right side, Simon Sohm in midfield, and John Yeboah alongside Akor Adams up front. Marin Šverko and Bartol Franjic are out of the lineup on defense.
Inter Form & Record Check
Inter defeated AC Florence 2–1 in Serie A. Marcus Thuram equalized in stoppage time, and Piotr Zieliński later converted a penalty kick. The comeback highlights Inter’s momentum in the league, even if the late equalizer raises questions about the defense. The 3-1 league win at Bologna also points to another victory. However, four consecutive halftime draws across all competitions suggest patience will be key rather than an early lead.
Lautaro Martínez is out, as are John Stones, Benjamin Pavard, Curtis Jones, and Luis Henrique. Thuram’s performance against AC Florence shows that Inter’s attack remains dangerous even without Martínez. The absences in defense point toward “Over 3.5 goals.” On the other hand, the match against AC Florence was the only one of Inter’s last three games across all competitions in which they conceded a goal.
Inter could line up in a 3-5-2 formation, with Ivan Provedel in goal and Yann Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, and Alessandro Bastoni in a back three. Nicolò Barella and Hakan Çalhanoğlu are expected to play in midfield, with Marcus Thuram and Pio Esposito leading the attack. John Stones, Benjamin Pavard, Curtis Jones, Luis Henrique, and Lautaro Martínez are out. Andy Diouf and Henrikh Mkhitaryan are among the projected starters.
Venezia FC – Inter Head-to-Head & Statistics
Inter has won all five recorded competitive matches between the two teams. This argues against the Venezia FC +1.5 handicap, even though Venezia lost the most recent recorded league match in 2025 by only 0–1. In the Coppa Italia in December 2025, Venezia suffered a 1–5 loss, which underscores the risk of this bet. In three of the five matchups, Venezia failed to score, which supports “Both Teams to Score: No.” Four games ended with fewer than four goals. “Over 3.5 Goals” is therefore the riskier bet.
