Tennis Today – Matches on Nov. 12
Shocking upset in Stockholm: Qualifier Alexander Shevchenko knocked defending champion Casper Ruud out of the tournament in three sets! My tennis tips today focus on the four quarterfinals in the Swedish capital, where Taylor Fritz is now the clear favorite to win the title.
We’ll also take a look at Indian Wells, where the final day of group play at the WTA Finals featuring Gauff, Pegula, Noskova, and Kostyuk is set to take place. As usual, I’ve put together six picks for you, and you can easily take advantage of a free bet at any time.
Today’s Tennis Picks – November 12, 2026: Quarterfinals in Stockholm, Group Finals at the WTA Finals
I’ve taken a close look at the four quarterfinals in Stockholm and the two decisive matches in Indian Wells for you. By the way, my tennis picks for today could also help you try your hand at successfully cashing in a generous sports betting bonus.
My highlight of the day is the evening match between Fritz and Rune: The Dane is fighting his way back round by round after his long break, but has already had to go the full distance in four of his last six matches.
Stockholm Picks for Today, Nov. 12: Michelsen – Tabilo (1:00 p.m.)
Alex Michelsen has been the epitome of efficiency in Stockholm so far. The American sent both Yannick Hanfmann and Juan Manuel Cerundolo home without dropping a single set.
Alejandro Tabilo may have stopped Lorenzo Sonego’s run, but he had to go the full three sets to do so. Before Stockholm, the Chilean had lost four matches in a row, and Michelsen also won their only previous meeting back in March in Miami.
Despite their nearly identical rankings, the bookmakers see the American as the clear favorite at 1.25—and for good reason!
My pick: Michelsen will win without dropping a set!
Stockholm betting today: Tirante – Shevchenko (3:00 p.m.)
Alexander Shevchenko is the story of the tournament! The qualifier has already racked up four wins in Stockholm, and yesterday even the defending champion, Casper Ruud, had to congratulate him.
Although Thiago Agustin Tirante is ranked significantly higher, he advanced to the quarterfinals without any trouble because Tomas Martin Etcheverry didn’t show up to play him. So the Argentine hasn’t played a match since his opening-round victory over Jaume Munar on Sunday.
While Tirante might be lacking rhythm, Shevchenko has fully found his stride in the tournament. The bookmakers see it the same way, and bet365 is offering odds of 1.80 for a Shevchenko victory.
My pick: Shevchenko’s fairy tale continues!
Stockholm Picks Today: Fritz – Rune (6:30 p.m.)
Taylor Fritz didn’t put a foot wrong in his opening match against Cameron Norrie and heads into this quarterfinal as the clear favorite. In their head-to-head record, the American leads 2–1, and he also won their most recent matchup in Shanghai in 2024 in straight sets.
Holger Rune, however, is known for his tenacity on the court. In Stockholm, where he claimed the title in 2022, he defeated Miomir Kecmanovic in three sets, and in Basel, all three of his matches went the full distance.
My prediction: Rune forces Fritz into a third set!
Stockholm Prediction Today: Musetti – Humbert (8:00 p.m.)
Lorenzo Musetti turned heads in Paris with a victory over Alexander Zverev and defeated Toby Samuel in Stockholm without dropping a set. However, the Italian has celebrated his greatest successes—such as the Wimbledon semifinals and an Olympic bronze medal—on grass and clay.
Ugo Humbert, on the other hand, is right at home indoors and hasn’t dropped a single set in Stockholm yet—neither against Adolfo Daniel Vallejo nor against Borna Gojo. The two have never faced each other before.
With odds of 2.75 for a win, I think the Frenchman is clearly underrated. bet365 is offering exactly that odds for a Humbert victory.
My pick: Humbert strikes again!
WTA Finals Betting Today, Nov. 12: Kostyuk – Gauff (9:00 p.m.)
For Marta Kostyuk, the season finale has been one to forget so far. She suffered straight-set losses to both Linda Noskova and Jessica Pegula, so her chances of reaching the semifinals are now purely theoretical.
Coco Gauff, on the other hand, is under pressure; after losing 0–2 to Noskova, she needs a win to stay in the race for the semifinals. The American won their most recent matchup in Cincinnati in August without dropping a set.
A rattled Kostyuk is unlikely to pose much of a threat to the highly motivated Gauff.
My pick: Gauff stays in the running!
WTA Finals Nov. 12: Pegula – Noskova (10:30 p.m.)
Linda Noskova is the big surprise of the group. With straight-set victories over Kostyuk and Gauff, the Czech has won both matches without dropping a set.
Jessica Pegula has made a comeback with a 2-0 win over Kostyuk, but she traditionally struggles against Noskova. Three of their four previous head-to-head matches went to the Czech, most recently this summer in Berlin.
The head-to-head record and her strong form clearly favor the Czech player, which is why I’m betting on a Noskova victory.
My pick: Noskova remains undefeated!
