Key Facts
- With the Coppa Italia final just four days away, the two teams face off in the league—making this matchup all the more significant.
- Lazio is missing three starters—Provedel, Gila, and Gigot—which weakens their defense against Inter.
- Inter is unbeaten in their last five head-to-head matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and has scored at least one goal after halftime in each of those games.
- The attacking duo of Marcus Thuram and Lautaro Martínez has kept Inter unbeaten in their last five competitive matches and scored in every game.
- The “Both Teams to Score” bet is backed by statistics: Lazio has scored in four of their last five games, Inter in all five, despite Çalhanoğlu’s absence.
- Arguments for an Inter two-goal victory: Lazio’s defensive absences and Inter’s strength in the second half point to a clear away win.
Four days before the Coppa Italia final, Lazio Rome and Inter will first face off in Serie A at the Stadio Olimpico, giving this matchup a double significance. Inter arrives as the newly crowned champions, Cristian Chivu is on the verge of a contract extension, and Maurizio Sarri has gotten Lazio back on track at just the right time. Inter won the last league clash 2-0 in November 2025, so the psychological advantage is clear.
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Date and time: May 9, 2026, 6:00 PM
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 36)
The betting market is clearly favoring Inter; an away win seems likely given the Milan side’s current form and Lazio’s absences, including Ivan Provedel, Mario Gila, and Samuel Gigot. Nevertheless, the “Both Teams to Score: Yes” bet makes sense, as Lazio scores regularly, while Inter continues to pose a threat even without Hakan Çalhanoğlu.
Lazio Rome Form & Record Check
Lazio’s 2-1 win at Cremonese was important because the Romans had to adapt and react rather than just manage the game. Gustav Isaksen equalized, Tijjani Noslin scored the late winner, and Nuno Tavares once again provided momentum down the left flank. Sarri’s team has looked significantly livelier in the second half recently, which could be relevant against an Inter side that rarely relinquishes control early on. Overall, Lazio has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches across all competitions; precision remains essential in the league.
They trail Atalanta by four points and lead Bologna by just two, so there’s no question of a risk-free game. Defensively, the absences are a cause for concern: Ivan Provedel is out, and Mario Gila and Samuel Gigot are also unavailable, leaving Sarri without his preferred defensive backbone.
Predicted Lazio lineup (4-3-3): Goalkeeper: Edoardo Motta (No. 40) Center backs: Patric (No. 4) and Alessio Romagnoli (No. 13) Midfield: Nicolò Rovella (No. 6) and Kenneth Taylor (No. 24) as key midfielders (Danilo Cataldi is out) Attack: Gustav Isaksen (No. 18) to provide pace on the left Note: Ivan Provedel, Mario Gila, and Samuel Gigot are out.
Inter Form & Head-to-Head Check
Inter secured the title with a 2-0 win over Parma; Marcus Thuram scored before halftime, Henrikh Mkhitaryan sealed the deal later, and Lautaro Martínez returned to make an impact in the closing stages with an assist. The result keeps Chivu’s team riding a wave of confidence, even in a week when thoughts are already turning to the Coppa Italia final. Inter are unbeaten in five matches across the league and cup, with four wins and goals in every game, and they have been particularly dominant after halftime. However, a 2-2 draw at Torino showed that they remain vulnerable. Hakan Çalhanoğlu is likely to remain sidelined, while Luis Henrique has returned to team training and Pio Esposito may be rested.
Predicted Inter lineup (3-5-2): Goal: Yann Sommer (No. 1) Center-backs: Yann Bisseck (No. 31), Manuel Akanji (No. 25), Alessandro Bastoni (No. 95) Midfield: Piotr Zieliński (No. 7), likely to replace Hakan Çalhanoğlu alongside Nicolò Barella (No. 23) and Henrikh Mkhitaryan (No. 22) Attack: Marcus Thuram (No. 9) and Lautaro Martínez (No. 10) Note: Hakan Çalhanoğlu is likely to remain sidelined; Luis Henrique has returned to team training; Pio Esposito could be rested.
Lazio Rome – Inter Head-to-Head & Stats
Inter is unbeaten in the last five meetings, with three wins and two draws, which explains much of the mood ahead of this match. The Milan side beat Lazio 2-0 in November 2025, drew 2-2 in May 2025, won 2-0 in the 2025 Coppa Italia, and recorded a 6-0 victory at the Olimpico in 2024. Lazio Rome’s last positive result in this series was the 1-1 draw in 2024. The pattern is telling: Inter has scored in all five meetings and has scored at least one goal in the second half in all five. Lazio has conceded a goal in the second half in each of these games and has never beaten Inter during that stretch. History suggests that Inter could come out on top in the end.
