Men’s US Open in New York, 1st Round on Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 2:30 a.m.
Taking a cue from “To be or not to be, that is the question” from Shakespeare’s *Hamlet*, I’m personally turning it into “3-0 or 3-1, that is the question” when it comes to my planned Zverev vs. Sonego prediction.
Because no matter which odds boost you take advantage of as a bonus: For me, the only slightly tricky question is whether the German will march into the second round without dropping a single set or whether he’ll instead use this match to warm up a bit against the world No. 89.
Ultimately, though, I’m betting on a 3-0 win for Zverev at 1.55 with Oddset. After all, Sascha has won all six head-to-head matches, including two of the three contests played on this surface in straight sets!
Zverev vs. Sonego AI Predictions:
Our tennis betting prediction model has actually predicted a victory for “Sascha” after dropping a set. While I’m sticking with a straight-sets victory for the German, I’d also like to point you toward a reasonable bet in this context.
That’s because, thanks to a bet365 odds boost, you’re currently getting odds of 3.50 on a 3:1 outcome for Zverev—which is significantly above average. So even if this outcome isn’t all that likely, it at least offers you a good risk-reward ratio.
But unless the Italian plays the match of his life, he won’t pose much of a threat to the reigning French Open champion. After all, the combination of Zverev’s serve and two-handed backhand on this surface is extremely difficult to crack!
Predicted Chance of Winning:
| Zverev to Win | Sonego to Win |
| 94.5% | 5.5% |
That’s because Zverev’s serve will likely be very difficult to break. Back in September 2025, the German allowed Sonego just a single break point opportunity throughout the entire match—a 6-4, 6-3 victory in Beijing on this surface—and should cruise through this match without any trouble as well.
What to Keep in Mind When Betting on Zverev vs. Sonego
- Zverev’s Impressive Opening Run: I see tremendous consistency from the German in New York; Alexander Zverev hasn’t been eliminated in the first round of the US Open since 2016.
- Short matches for Sonego: The Italian has tended toward quick finishes in his recent appearances; only one of Lorenzo Sonego’s past eight tournament matches was not decided in straight sets.
- Sonego’s persistent curse at Flushing Meadows: Despite being 31 years old, Sonego just can’t seem to find his rhythm in New York; he has won only 27% of his matches at the US Open and has never reached the third round.
- Serve dominance in their head-to-head matchups in Beijing: In their most recent matchup in Beijing in September 2025, Zverev’s first-serve statistics played a key role in his 2-0 victory; the German won the point on his first serve 82% of the time, while Sonego managed only 64%.
