Key Facts
- Sassuolo sits in 15th place with eight points, while AC Florence is in 17th with five; this head-to-head matchup in the lower third of the table is crucial for both teams.
- AC Florence squandered a lead in their 2-2 draw against Atalanta; goals from Alieu Njie and João Mário weren’t enough for the win.
- Sassuolo’s suspended midfielder Kristian Thorstvedt is out, as is Ismaël Koné; for AC Florence, the absences of Marin Pongracic and Fabiano Parisi are compounding defensive concerns.
- Their most recent competitive match ended 0–0, and their head-to-head record is close; which supports the picks for a draw and fewer than 3.5 goals.
- AC Florence has gone winless in its last five games and is dealing with defensive absences; therefore, a Sassuolo win or a draw is a reasonable bet despite Sassuolo’s 2–6 loss to Lazio.
Match Preview
Kristian Thorstvedt is suspended, and following Sassuolo’s heavy league defeat against Lazio Rome, this absence comes at an inopportune time for Alberto Aquilani. Paolo Vanoli’s AC Florence is also traveling without momentum: the team has been waiting for a win for five Serie A matches. On Monday, both teams will face off at the Mapei Stadium, Città del Tricolore.
- Date and time: November 2, 2026, 6:30 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 10)
The betting market has Florence as a slight favorite. However, given their winless streak in the league and the absences in the defense, this favorite status is hardly convincing. Sassuolo’s decisive loss to Lazio Rome is the strongest argument against betting on Sassuolo. Florence’s draw against Atalanta Bergamo, on the other hand, shows just how quickly the goal total can be exceeded. Therefore, Sassuolo or a draw, under 3.5 goals, and—as a riskier bet—a draw after regulation time are good options. Neither team is playing consistently enough to warrant a win bet.
Sassuolo Form & Record Check
Sassuolo’s 2-6 loss to Lazio Rome in Serie A exposed weaknesses in the defense, even though Sebastiano Esposito scored after Thorstvedt was sent off. Sassuolo has conceded goals in each of its last five league games. A win is therefore hard to predict. Aquilani could bring Jay Idzes or Sebastian Walukiewicz into the starting lineup to stabilize the defense. Thorstvedt is suspended, and Ismaël Koné is out.
Sassuolo could line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation: with Stefano Turati in goal, Jay Idzes and Duje Caleta-Car at center back, and Luca Lipani alongside Nemanja Matić in midfield. Domenico Berardi and Armand Laurienté could support Sebastiano Esposito. The injured Fedde Leysen and Ismaël Koné are out, while Darryl Bakola is in contention to replace the suspended Kristian Thorstvedt.
Fiorentina Form & Record Check
The 2-2 draw against Atalanta Bergamo earned AC Florence a point, but it also highlighted how difficult it is for the team to hold onto a lead. Alieu Njie and João Mário scored, but out of 26 shots, only four were on target. That doesn’t bode well for an away win. Additionally, Marin Pongracic and Fabiano Parisi are out, while Luca Ranieri’s availability is questionable. This is causing Vanoli growing concerns about the defense.
AC Florence could line up in a 4-3-3 formation, with David de Gea in goal and Radu and Viery at center back. Nicolò Fagioli is expected to start in midfield, with Alieu Njie and Mateo Pellegrino leading the attack. Álex Jiménez and João Mário could take the fullback positions, while Cher Ndour could start in midfield.
Sassuolo vs. Florence Head-to-Head & Statistics
In the 24 recorded competitive matches, Florence has won nine times and Sassuolo eight times. There have also been seven draws. The record is close, making it difficult to identify a clear favorite. The most recent competitive match in April 2026 ended 0–0, suggesting bets on a draw and under 3.5 goals. Sassuolo’s 3–1 victory in December 2025 supports a bet on Sassuolo or a draw, but makes betting on a straight draw riskier.
