Key Facts
- AS Roma heads into the final round in fourth place with 70 points, level on points with Milan and just two points ahead of Como, so the pressure to secure their position remains high.
- Verona has gone five league games without a win, but showed resilience with draws against Juventus and Inter despite poor finishing.
- At the Bentegodi, Verona failed to score in their last three league games against Milan, Lecce, and Como, which makes Mosquera’s absence even more critical.
- Roma have won four of their last five league games and scored before halftime in each; in the derby win, Mancini scored and Dybala assisted.
- Roma are missing Ferguson and Zaragoza in attack, while Wesley’s likely suspension limits Gasperini’s options on the right flank.
- The 1.73 odds on Roma leading at halftime are based on goals scored before the break in all recent matches and four first-half wins.
The injury list sets the tone for this final Sunday at the Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi: Verona heads into Matchday 38 without Daniel Mosquera and Suat Serdar, AS Roma travels without Evan Ferguson and Bryan Zaragoza, and Wesley is likely to be suspended following his red card in the Serie A derby. Added to this is the current momentum and pressure in the league, as Paolo Sammarco’s team has gone five league games without a win, though they did manage draws against Juventus and Inter in their last two matches, indicating resilience. Gian Piero Gasperini’s AS Roma comes in fourth with 70 points, level with AC Milan and just two points ahead of Como.
- Venue: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona
- Date and time: May 24, 2026, 8:45 PM
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 38)
On the betting market, AS Roma is the clear favorite, but a closer look suggests we shouldn’t simply blindly follow this away-win scenario. The first-half scoring pattern certainly points to an early lead, while Verona’s lackluster home attack and Daniel Mosquera’s absence point toward both Under 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score: No.
Verona Form & Record Check
Verona’s most recent league outing was a hard-fought 1-1 draw at Inter, secured by Kieron Bowie in the 90th minute after an own goal by Andria’s Edmundsson had put the team behind. That was a decent response to the 0-1 home loss to Como and followed another respectable 1-1 away draw at Juventus. The bigger issue, however, remains finishing.
At the Bentegodi, the pattern has been more limiting than convincing: Verona failed to score in their last three home league games against AC Milan, Lecce, and Como, picking up just one point from those matches. With Daniel Mosquera out and Suat Serdar unavailable, Paolo Sammarco is likely to rely once again on tight marking, second balls, and late substitutions rather than extended periods of possession.
Verona could start in a 5-3-2: Lorenzo Montipò at goalkeeper (No. 1), in the back line Rafik Belghali (No. 7), Victor Nelsson (No. 15), Andrias Edmundsson (No. 5), Nicolás Valentini at 6, and Martin Frese at 3. In midfield, everything points to a three-man central midfield consisting of Sandi Lovrić at 4, Roberto Gagliardini at 63, and Antoine Bernede at 24. Up front, the duo of Tomas Suslov at 10 and Kieron Bowie at 18 is expected. Daniel Oyegoke is out with a sprained ankle, so Rafik Belghali (No. 7) is likely to take over on the right wing, while Suat Serdar remains unavailable following his ACL surgery. With Daniel Mosquera sidelined due to meniscus issues, Kieron Bowie (No. 18) is considered the likely replacement up front.
AS Roma Form & Record Check
AS Roma’s 2-0 derby win over Lazio was a clear statement, driven by good timing and control, with goals from Gianluca Mancini and Paulo Dybala, who was involved in the second goal. The catch is Wesley’s red card in that very Serie A match, which is likely to rule him out for this final round and narrow Gasperini’s options on the right flank. Their league form is impressive: four wins and a draw in their last five games, including a 3-2 victory at Parma, a 4-0 win over Fiorentina, and a 2-0 win at Bologna. AS Roma scored before halftime in each of those five games, a pattern that makes the first half particularly interesting. Even without Evan Ferguson and Bryan Zaragoza, the lineup still poses enough of a scoring threat.
AS Roma could line up in a 3-4-2-1: Mile Svilar in goal behind Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, and Mario Hermoso. Bryan Cristante and Manu Koné are expected to form the central midfield duo, while Paulo Dybala and Niccolò Pisilli support Donyell Malen. With Bryan Zaragoza sidelined due to knee inflammation and Evan Ferguson out with ankle issues, this attacking setup seems like the obvious solution.
Verona – AS Roma Head-to-Head & Stats
The last five meetings have been unusually one-sided, with no draws and a narrow 3-2 advantage for AS Roma. The most recent meeting took place in September 2025, when AS Roma won 2-0 at home; AS Roma also beat Verona 1-0 in 2025. Prior to that, Verona won 3-2 at the Bentegodi in 2024. The venue plays a role, as Verona also defeated AS Roma there in 2023, while AS Roma won 2-1 in Rome in 2024. Nevertheless, AS Roma has scored in all five of the most recent head-to-head matches, and Verona has conceded a goal in each of them. Four of the five games saw over 1.5 goals, while four also saw under 3.5 goals.
