Men’s US Open in New York, Round on Friday, September 11, 2026, 9:00 p.m.
You can’t say that Zverev’s path to the US Open semifinals was littered with seemingly insurmountable challenges on paper! After all, bookmakers have given him odds of no more than 1.20 to win in every round so far.
It’s no different in the semifinals. For a Zverev vs. Khachanov bet, you can expect odds of no better than 1.22 for the German to advance! That’s why I’m going with a 3-0 win for Zverev at much more attractive odds of around 2.15.
I simply can’t imagine Sascha dropping even a single set to the Russian. He’s been playing better and better as the tournament has progressed—and on top of that, he simply masters everything that sets Khachanov apart just a little bit better!
Zverev vs. Khachanov AI Predictions:
Our data model has ventured a Zverev vs. Khachanov prediction that doesn’t align with my own bet, but is also within the realm of possibility.
Personally, I’m torn between a straight 3-0 win and a 3-1 victory. There’s actually a strong case for both set bets—depending on how well Zverev’s first serve holds up!
However, I’m leaning slightly more toward a victory in three straight sets. After all, in their last five head-to-head matches on fast hard courts, the German won four without dropping a set.
Predicted probability of winning:
| Zverev to win |
Khachanov to win |
| 87.5% |
12.5% |
Another interesting bet—one that you could potentially use to successfully clear a sports betting bonus with simple requirements—is, in my opinion, a bet on Zverev to win the first set at (unfortunately somewhat low) odds of around 1.37.
Although the German has dropped several sets at the US Open so far, he has always won the first set—even in his 1-2 loss to Paul in the Cincinnati final.
When the world No. 2 is physically fit and his first serve is on, his opponents usually can’t do much but watch at the start. If Zverev has shown any weaknesses in this tournament, it’s been more in the later stages of matches.
What to Keep in Mind for Zverev vs. Khachanov Bets
- Head-to-Head Dominance: Zverev leads the head-to-head record 6-3; he won Olympic gold in 2021 in straight sets against Khachanov.
- Serve Strength: Zverev impressed in the tournament with nearly 79% of points on his first serve and over 60 aces.
- Physical Factor: Khachanov expended an enormous amount of energy in grueling five-set matches.
- Consistency in 2026: Zverev is the only professional to reach the semifinals at all four Grand Slams in 2026.
