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FSV Mainz vs. RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig also have only a short breather. After coach Marco Rose’s team hosted Celtic Glasgow at home in the Champions League on Wednesday evening, the next clash in the Bundesliga is already scheduled for Saturday. In this one, the Red Bulls will play away at FSV Mainz 05 and try to build on their recent 4-0 home victory over Bochum.
FSV Mainz, on the other hand, recently lost 2-1 in Freiburg and has now been waiting for a win for three games. There is a crisis in coach Bo Svensson’s team. Had they not equalised in the very last second in their last home match against Hertha BSC, they would have suffered three defeats in a row. Whether FSV will deepen their negative spiral and whether RB will continue the positive development under Rose, you can read in our Mainz – Leipzig betting tip.
Mainz – Leipzig Info:
– Date & Time: 08.10.2022, 15:30 Uhr
– Venue: Mainz, Mewa Arena
– Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 9
– TV broadcast: Sky
Mainz Form & Balance Check
Is it too early to call Mainz’s current form a crisis? With seven points from the first three games of the season, the new season got off to a furious start for the Nullfünfer. But since the 1-0 away win at Borussia Mönchengladbach on matchday 5, coach Bo Svensson’s team is unrecognisable. FSV have only picked up one point from their last three games and only managed a lucky 94th-minute draw against Hertha BSC in that match. Three games without a win in a row are now in the season’s balance for the first time. Especially the last match in Freiburg was a further step backwards. Mainz completely slept through the first 45 minutes and should have been more than 2-0 down.
Next disappointment in front of a home crowd?
Of course, eleven points after eight games isn’t too bad for Mainz 05, but it’s the performances in the home arena that cause concern. Three home games have resulted in only two points and a single goal. No other team scored less at home. In addition, Mainz needed a whole 47 goal attempts for that one goal. Away, FSV have already scored six goals with 67 shots. It’s not right at the back and front, what Mainz show so far in the Mewa Arena.
Mainz facts & analysis
– With 11 points on the 12th place in the table.
– Only 1 point from the last 3 games
– Last lost with 1:2 in Freiburg
Leipzig form & balance check
On Wednesday night, RB Leipzig saw off Celtic Glasgow 3-1 in the Champions League group stage. For the Leipzigers, the home victory represented their first three-goal win in the top flight. The day-to-day business in the Bundesliga has also been on the up since the change of coach. When Marco Rose took over for the game against Dortmund, the Red Bulls surprisingly beat Borussia 3-0. A regression followed in Gladbach and Leipzig lost 3-0. RB confirmed that the form curve is nevertheless going uphill last weekend against Bochum. With the 4-0 win, RB showed a strong reaction to the defeat against Gladbach.
Under Rose still weak away from home?
The fact that RB Leipzig lost in Mönchengladbach is no surprise given their away record so far. The Red Bulls have lost three of their four guest appearances so far and have only picked up one point away from home – in a 1-1 draw in Stuttgart on Matchday 1. Only VfL Bochum has yet to pick up a point away from home. In addition, Leipzig has already conceded ten goals away from home. Likewise, the offensive is not yet working on foreign grounds. With only two away goals, RB is running behind its expectations. The last two away results from the Saxons’ point of view were 0:4 and 0:3.
Leipzig facts & analysis
– With 11 points on the 11th place in the table.
– Under Rose won 2 of 3 matches in the Bundesliga
– Most recently won 4-0 against Bochum
Predicted line-up – last update on 6 October 2022
For Mainz 05, centre-back Hack returns to the starting eleven on Saturday after suspension. Hack replaces Widmer, who rotates back to his regular position in right defence. Fernandes has to make way for this change. Systematically, the Nullfünfer play a 3-4-2-1 system under coach Bo Svensson, which FSV interprets with high wing-backs, who form a five-man backline together with the central defence in generic possession. Mainz will have to do without Mustapha alone due to a muscle bruise in his thigh.
In contrast to Mainz, Leipzig no longer plays a back five. What Tedesco implemented, Marco Rose erased from the game of the Leipzig team. Under Rose, the Red Bulls now compete with more pace on the flanks in a 4-3-3 wing system. It is important to note that Leipzig recently used three different types of players in midfield with Schlager, Kampl and Nkunku. Schlager for the defence, Kampl for the eight and Nkunku for the creative. Marco Rose is changing the game of the Red Bulls for the better.
Mainz – Leipzig direct comparison & statistics
In fact, Mainz have won their last two home games against Leipzig. The last time RB won in Mainz was two years ago. At that time it was clear with a 5-0 win for the Red Bulls. The most recent duel also went to the Leipzigers. On matchday 18 of last season, RB won 4:1 against FSV.
– Marco Rose won five of six games against Mainz as coach.
– Leipzig already won 8-0 against Mainz to record the highest Bundesliga win in the club’s history.
– RB scored only twice away from home this season.
– Mainz scored only one goal at home this season.
