Key Facts
- Liverpool has won four of its last five games; however, the low number of clear-cut scoring chances created suggests a pick of Liverpool or a draw.
- Arsenal lost in a penalty shootout after a 1-1 draw against Fleetwood Town; their poor finishing makes it harder to assess Arteta’s offense ahead of the Liverpool match.
- Arsenal will be without center back William Saliba; Ezri Konsa could step in, while Kai Havertz and Viktor Gyökeres barely clicked against Fleetwood Town.
- The most recent head-to-head match ended 0-0, and draws have been a common theme in their history; this supports a bet on a draw despite Liverpool’s recent successes.
- The prediction of a high-scoring game is supported by Liverpool’s 15 goals in their last five matches, but remains risky following the recent 1-1 draw.
Match Preview
Arsenal’s elimination from the League Cup against Fleetwood Town has heightened concerns about their finishing ahead of the match against Liverpool. Once again, there are strong arguments for a draw.
- Date and Time: November 1, 2026, 5:30 p.m.
- Competition: Premier League (Matchday 9)
Arsenal is considered a slight favorite by the bookmakers. However, Liverpool’s improved defense in the league suggests a draw after regulation time or a win for Liverpool or a draw. The 0–0 draw in January 2026 makes the “Over 2.5 goals” bet riskier. Nevertheless, Liverpool’s open European matches and Arsenal’s draw against Bayern Munich provide arguments in its favor. The picks are: Draw, Liverpool, or Draw and Over 2.5 goals.
Liverpool Form & Record Check
Liverpool most recently drew 1–1 against Chelsea FC and then advanced in a penalty shootout in the League Cup round of 16. Things are currently going better in the Premier League: a 2-1 win at Brentford was followed by a 2-0 victory over Brighton. Four clean sheets in their last six league matches make a bet on Liverpool or a draw a solid defensive choice. Arsenal, however, is likely to be a tougher challenge than their last two league opponents.
Despite the recent results, the quality of scoring chances remains a concern. Liverpool’s 11 big chances in the league are the second-lowest total among all teams. That makes hedging with a draw more attractive than betting solely on another win. Jeremie Frimpong and Conor Bradley are out. Ronald Araújo could therefore start at right back again following his strong performance against Brighton.
Arsenal Form & Record Check
Arsenal’s League Cup match at Fleetwood Town ended 1-1, and the team lost in a penalty shootout. They managed just one goal from 26 shots. This lack of finishing makes an away win seem less likely. In the league, however, the picture is different: Arteta’s team beat Everton 2–0 and previously won 1–0 at Nottingham Forest. These results, combined with Arsenal’s strong defense, explain why the betting odds still favor the champions by a narrow margin.
William Saliba is out; Ezri Konsa is an option at center back. That could open up an opportunity for Liverpool’s attack, even though Arsenal has allowed the fewest shots on goal in the league. Arteta also has to decide on his attacking lineup: Kai Havertz and Viktor Gyökeres barely connected against Fleetwood Town. That makes Arsenal’s offense harder to assess.
Liverpool – Arsenal Head-to-Head & Statistics
In the 29 recorded competitive matches between the two teams, there have been 13 draws—another argument for a draw. In January 2026, Liverpool and Arsenal played to a 0–0 draw. In 2025, Liverpool had won 1–0 after a 2–2 draw in their previous matchup. The two most recent low-scoring encounters make betting on over 2.5 goals seem risky. Liverpool’s open-style European matches, however, provide a case for this risky bet.
