Hoffenheim – Mainz Tip, Prediction & Odds – 10/09/2022 Bundesliga

Home » Hoffenheim – Mainz Tip, Prediction & Odds – 10/09/2022 Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim vs. FSV Mainz

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim suffered their second defeat of the season last Friday night. Coach Andre Breitenreiter’s team lost 0:1 at Borussia Dortmund. At the same time, this defeat marked the end of Hoffenheim’s winning streak, as they had previously won three games in a row. The next difficult task awaits the Sinsheim team in the Bundesliga in the form of FSV Mainz 05. TSG lost the last three games against Mainz.

The Nullfünfer surprised the entire Bundesliga last Sunday with a 1-0 away win at Borussia-Park in Mönchengladbach. The previous week, coach Bo Svensson’s team had lost 3-0 to Bayer Leverkusen and was thus defeated for the first time this season. Only a few people thought that Mainz would be able to redeem themselves so quickly from this result, especially not Gladbach, who had previously taken a point against FC Bayern. This performance speaks all the more for the zero-fivers. To find out whether Mainz will also take home a point in Hoffenheim, read our Hoffenheim – Mainz betting tip.

Hoffenheim – Mainz info:

 – Date & Time: 10.09.2022, 15:30 hrs.
 – Venue: Sinsheim, Pre-Zero Arena
 – Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 6
 – TV broadcast: Sky

Hoffenheim Form & Balance Check

Despite losing 1-0 at Borussia Dortmund, TSG Hoffenheim are the best team in the Bundesliga based on their last four games. No other team has taken nine points or more from its last four games. Nevertheless, the defeat at BVB destroyed the spirit of optimism under coach Breitenreiter. After the Sinsheim side lost 1-0 at Mönchengladbach on matchday 1, Hoffenheim won three games in a row. It is the desire for consistency that Breitenreiter is expected to fulfil and bring back. His predecessor Hoeneß was doomed by the changing results.

First time without a goal

The last game at BVB was the first game this season in which Hoffenheim did not score. Before that, TSG scored eight times in four games. The average of two goals per game was corrected to 1.6 goals per game by the result at Signal Iduna Park. Nevertheless, the Sinsheimers have already managed to score three times in two games this season. Against Bochum and Leverkusen, Hoffenheim scored three goals each. However, TSG have already conceded six goals, so Hoffenheim are conceding more than one goal per game on average.

Hoffenheim facts & analysis

 – With 9 points on the 7th place in the table.
 – Last lost with 0:1 in Dortmund
 – Won all home games so far

Mainz Form & Balance Check

The 0:3 defeat against Bayer Leverkusen was not foreseeable for Mainz 05, with Leverkusen having previously lost all their Bundesliga matches this season. Before this result, coach Bo Svensson’s team was still unbeaten on the road. So this defeat came as all the more of a surprise, even though the Werkself is nominally better placed. What is much more surprising, however, is the fact that the Nullfünfer made up for this setback directly in Gladbach. Mainz won 1:0 at Borussia-Park, their third victory in five games. The development and especially the mentality under Bo Svensson is remarkable.

New record?

From a purely statistical point of view, the win in Mönchengladbach was perhaps not entirely surprising after all. Mainz have a penchant for scoring away from home this season. In fact, this win was their third away victory in their third appearance as guests. In Bochum and Augsburg, the Nullfünfer won 2-1, and now with 1-0. For the first time, the waistcoat of keeper Zentner remained white away from home. FSV also won all three of their matches this season on away soil. That Mainz will also win in Hoffenheim is indeed likely in view of the following statistics: The Nullfünfer won the last three games in Sinsheim with 5:1, 2:1 and 2:0. In addition, FSV lost only one of the last eight duels with TSG.

Mainz facts & analysis

 – With 10 points on the 5th place in the table.
 – Most recently won 1:0 at Gladbach
 – Won all 3 away games so far

Predicted line-up – last update on 8 September 2022

Further Bebou, Bicakcic, Hühner and Pentke will not be able to take part due to injury. Andre Breitenreiter is expected to use the familiar 3-5-2 system against Mainz, which TSG also used recently in Dortmund.

In Sinsheim, coach Bo Svensson will also revert to his 3-4-3 system, which the Nullfünfer play in a 5-3-2 formation at the back. The wing-backs Widmer and Aaron drop back when the opponent has possession of the ball and form a five-man back line with the three centre-backs. In the offensive, they act with many crosses and feed Onisiwo in particular with high and slot passes. Against Hoffenheim, only Ingvartsen will be missing due to his knee injury.

Hoffenheim – Mainz direct comparison & Statistics

In fact, Mainz have won their last three games in a row against Hoffenheim. The last time Mainz lost a match against TSG was on 30 May 2022. Hoffenheim have thus waited five matches in a row for a three-goal win against FSV. Mainz won the last encounter at home with 2:0.

 – Mainz scored a free-kick goal last week for the first time since 2017. Both goals were scored by Aaron Martin.
 – Both teams have scored three headed goals already this season.
 – Bo Svensson has never lost a Bundesliga match against Hoffenheim.
 – If Mainz win at Hoffenheim, it would be a new record. Never before have Mainz won four away games in a row at one club.

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