Key Facts
- Everton sits in fifth place with ten points; Chelsea is tied on points in sixth. A win would give Everton the edge in the head-to-head standings.
- Everton has remained unbeaten in its last five games, but squandered a lead in the 2-2 draw against Hull despite goals from Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Thierno Barry.
- The double chance bet on Everton or a draw is supported by Everton’s three draws in its last five games, while a straight win bet remains riskier.
- Chelsea’s 5-1 win over Bournemouth showcased the attacking quality of João Pedro and Jordan Henderson, though the goal total was well above the expected goals.
- Chelsea has the better head-to-head record, but Everton’s victory in their most recent competitive matchup puts the visitors’ favorite status into perspective.
Match Preview
Chelsea’s decisive victory over AFC Bournemouth poses a question for David Moyes: Can Everton turn its resilience into wins? Saturday’s Premier League match will take place at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Everton sits in fifth place with 10 points, while Chelsea is in sixth, also with 10 points. A win would be valuable for both teams. Everton remains undefeated in the league, while Chelsea’s results have been inconsistent. Everton’s 3-0 victory in their last recorded competitive match against Chelsea also shows that a win against them is certainly within reach.
- Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool
- Date and Time: October 17, 2026, 1:30 p.m.
- Competition: Premier League (Matchday 7)
Chelsea is the clear favorite with the bookmakers. However, given the two away losses listed this season, the bet leans toward Everton or a draw. The Asian handicap of Everton -0.5 is riskier: Chelsea’s rout of AFC Bournemouth argues against it, but Everton’s unbeaten streak and the absence of Reece James make an upset conceivable. “Over 2.5 goals” is also a good bet, as every listed Chelsea match has featured more than 2.5 goals. However, Everton’s narrow victories make it difficult to predict the exact number of goals in this match. Anyone looking to place one of these bets should check not only the odds but also the terms and conditions for a new-customer betting bonus.
Everton Form & Record Check
Everton’s 2-2 league draw at Hull was a missed opportunity: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Thierno Barry scored, but the lead was squandered. Moyes’ team created six clear-cut chances there. So it was more a matter of finishing and controlling the game than a lack of opportunities. Their last five games across all competitions have yielded two wins and three draws. That argues more strongly for “Everton or a draw” than for a handicap bet on an Everton win.
The 1-0 league win against Ipswich and the 1-0 League Cup victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers show how Moyes can control games. However, the close scores don’t allow for a clear prediction about the number of goals in this match. Jarrad Branthwaite and James Tarkowski are expected to anchor the defense, while Jack Grealish and Barry can be dangerous on the counterattack. Chelsea has conceded at least one goal in each of the listed matches.
Chelsea Form & Record Check
Chelsea’s 5-1 league win against AFC Bournemouth initially suggests more goals. However, those five goals came against an expected goals total of just 1.08—a conversion rate that will likely be difficult to replicate. João Pedro and Jordan Henderson each scored twice. As dangerous as Chelsea is going forward, the goal they conceded shows Everton a possible way into the game.
The 0–3 league loss at Brentford highlighted Chelsea’s vulnerability despite being the favorite. In all five of the listed matches across all competitions, the team conceded at least one goal. Reece James, Jamie Gittens, and Emmanuel Emegha are out. Xabi Alonso could opt for a more controlled approach with Moisés Caicedo and Henderson, while Cole Palmer and Pedro Neto are expected to break through Everton’s defense.
Chelsea could field a back three: Emiliano Martínez in goal, with Josh Acheampong, Maxence Lacroix, and Levi Colwill in front of him. In midfield, Jordan Henderson and Moisés Caicedo could start, with Cole Palmer and Morgan Rogers playing behind João Pedro. Reece James, Jamie Gittens, and Emmanuel Emegha are out with injuries. Pedro Neto could take over on the right wing; Rogers and Pedro would also be called upon in the attack.
Everton vs. Chelsea Head-to-Head & Statistics
In the 30 recorded competitive matches, Chelsea has 15 wins, Everton has nine, and there have been six draws. Chelsea’s lead explains why they’re the bookmakers’ favorites. However, Everton’s 3-0 win in March 2026—the most recent recorded competitive match—supports the handicap bet. Chelsea’s 2-0 win in December 2025 serves as a reminder that the most recent result isn’t a blueprint for the future.
In the last four recorded competitive matches, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in each game, and in three of those, fewer than 2.5. This calls for caution when betting on over 2.5 goals. On the other hand, Chelsea has scored more than 2.5 goals in all five of the listed matches this season. Everton’s controlled style of play doesn’t make the decision any easier.
