Tennis Today – Matches on Nov. 11
Things are getting serious in Stockholm, as Taylor Fritz and defending champion Casper Ruud—the two top stars—enter the round of 16 on Wednesday. That’s why my tennis tips today take a closer look at four matches from the Swedish capital and two blockbuster matches from the WTA Finals in Indian Wells.
There, the second day of group play featuring Sabalenka, Andreeva, Svitolina, and Muchova is on the schedule, and for two of the four women, it’s already a matter of survival. As usual, I’ve put together six picks for you, and you can easily take advantage of a free bet on any of them at any time.
Today’s Tennis Picks – November 11, 2026: Fritz and Ruud Enter the Fray, Group Stage Finale in Indian Wells
From the round of 16 in Stockholm to the evening matches in the California desert, I’ve taken a close look at six matches. By the way, my tennis tips for today could also help you try your hand at successfully cashing out a generous sports betting bonus.
For the clear favorites, Fritz and Ruud, I’m going with the exact set bet because the straight-up win odds are too low. However, I find the late-night matchup between Sabalenka and Andreeva the most exciting, since it was on this very court that the young Russian previously defeated the world No. 2 in a final.
Stockholm Picks Today, Nov. 11: Fritz – Norrie (11:00 a.m.)
Taylor Fritz arrives from Paris riding a wave of momentum: There, the American knocked out Arthur Fils, among others, and forced Carlos Alcaraz into a third set in the quarterfinals.
While Cameron Norrie handled his routine match against James Duckworth with ease, he has recently lacked the necessary punch against players from the broader world elite. In Paris, he was swept aside by Ben Shelton, and in Vienna, he fell to Daniil Medvedev.
Their head-to-head record also speaks volumes, as Fritz won their last two meetings without dropping a single set. The odds for a 2-0 win by Fritz are 1.90.
My pick: Fritz will make short work of him!
Stockholm betting today: Gojo – Humbert (1:00 p.m.)
Borna Gojo is the man of the moment in Stockholm! The qualifier already has three wins under his belt; most recently, he sent Tomas Machac home without dropping a set.
Ugo Humbert, however, is in a different league. The Frenchman didn’t give Adolfo Daniel Vallejo a real chance in his 2-0 opening-round victory and, as his titles in Antwerp, Metz, and Marseille prove, has felt right at home indoors for years.
He proved he can hold his own against top-tier opponents as recently as late October in Basel, when he pushed Novak Djokovic to three sets. Interwetten is offering odds of 2.10 for a 2-0 win by Humbert.
My pick: The end of the road for the qualifier!
Stockholm Picks Today: Shevchenko – Ruud (1:00 p.m.)
Alexander Shevchenko has advanced to the round of 16 with three wins without dropping a set, most recently against Adrian Mannarino. Now, however, he faces the defending champion, to whom he has lost both official matches in Bastad and Indian Wells in straight sets.
Casper Ruud arrives from Paris brimming with confidence, having defeated players like Jan-Lennard Struff and Juan Manuel Cerundolo before falling to Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinals. Up until that point, the Norwegian hadn’t dropped a single set.
In this form, the Norwegian is the clear favorite, but a win alone at 1.22 doesn’t offer enough value. Bet365 is offering odds of 1.73 for a 2-0 win by Ruud.
My pick: Ruud gets off to a commanding start in his title defense!
Stockholm Prediction Today: Sonego – Tabilo (1:00 p.m.)
Lorenzo Sonego is currently enjoying a second wind in Stockholm. The Italian has played three matches here, winning all three in two sets—most recently against the in-form Quentin Halys.
Although Alejandro Tabilo is ranked more than 80 spots ahead of him, he has lost four matches in a row, including two straight-set losses to Rafael Jodar. Their head-to-head record so far is tied at 1-1.
For me, that makes the Chilean the shakier favorite, while Sonego now knows the court surface inside and out. Betano is offering odds of 1.62 for a Sonego victory.
My pick: Sonego stays on the winning track!
WTA Finals Betting Today, Nov. 11: Svitolina – Muchova (9:00 p.m.)
After straight-set losses in their opening matches against Andreeva and Sabalenka, Elina Svitolina and Karolina Muchova already have their backs against the wall. Whoever loses here can kiss the semifinals goodbye.
Their last two head-to-head matches delivered exactly the kind of nail-biter you’d expect in this situation: Svitolina won in three sets in Miami in 2025, and Muchova got her revenge this spring in Stuttgart, also going the full distance. This fall, too, both players regularly went the full distance—Svitolina twice in Wuhan alone.
Only one spot separates them in the rankings, so everything points to a long evening.
My prediction: This “do-or-die” match will go to three sets!
WTA Finals, Nov. 11: Sabalenka vs. Andreeva (10:30 p.m.)
Both won their opening matches in straight sets, so the winner of this match will already have one foot in the semifinals. Aryna Sabalenka enters the match as the favorite, but she had lost three of her last four matches leading up to the Finals, including one against Ann Li in Wuhan.
Mirra Andreeva, on the other hand, has fond memories of this venue: In the 2025 Indian Wells final, she defeated Sabalenka in three sets. With her 2-0 victory over Svitolina, the young Russian has also gotten off to a strong start at the Finals.
With odds of over 2.00, the underdog is simply too attractive for me to pass up.
My pick: Andreeva repeats her upset!
