Key Facts
- Napoli sits in 10th place with 11 points, while Monza is in 15th with 7; a positive result would be especially valuable for Monza.
- Gustavo Varela scored the equalizer in the 2-3 loss to Turin and is one of Monza’s key offensive players against Napoli’s recently shaky defense.
- Matteo Pessina and Jan Ziolkowski are out for Monza; Alessandro Buongiorno is sidelined for Napoli.
- A Monza win remains a risky bet because Napoli has won the most recent head-to-head matchups. However, Napoli’s recent away losses suggest a possible upset.
- Monza or a draw is the safer bet: Monza has won two of its last five games, while Napoli lost its most recent away match.
- The bet on over 2.5 goals is based on Monza’s goals in their last five games and Napoli’s recent goals conceded.
Match Preview
Napoli squandered a two-goal lead against AS Roma and later gave up another advantage. Massimiliano Allegri’s team now faces Monza, whose attack is spearheaded by Gustavo Varela. Ivan Jurić hopes that Monza can turn its recent goals into a good result this time.
Naples, in tenth place with 11 points, is falling short of expectations. For Monza, in fifteenth place with seven points, a good result would be particularly valuable. The last recorded competitive match between the two teams in 2025 ended in a 0–1 loss for Monza. Monza has been scoring regularly of late and could turn things around this time.
- Date and time: Oct. 28, 2026, 8:45 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 9)
The bookmakers see Napoli as clear favorites. However, across all competitions, Napoli has lost both of the listed away games. A Monza win is therefore a risky bet with attractive odds; Monza or a draw is the safer choice. However, Napoli’s three goals against AS Roma show just how dangerous the visitors can be for both betting options. Their defensive lapses and Monza’s recent goal-scoring record also point to over 2.5 goals. Napoli’s recent away results support the picks in Monza’s favor; for the goal bet, the most relevant factors are the recent offensive and defensive performances of both teams.
Monza Form & Record Check
Monza lost 2–3 to Torino in Serie A, but Gustavo Varela’s equalizer underscored his importance. With seven goals in seven league games, he is one of Monza’s biggest threats to Napoli’s recently shaky defense. The wins against Cagliari (4–0) and Sassuolo (2–1) in the two listed home league matches point toward the Double Chance bet. However, the loss in Turin showed how quickly Monza can lose control.
Jurić will be without Matteo Pessina in midfield and Jan Ziolkowski in central defense. It remains to be seen whether Yvan Maye is fit enough to play. These absences make a Monza victory a riskier bet than the Double Chance. At least Monza didn’t give up in Turin: a late cross from Cyril Ngonge forced an own goal.
Monza’s projected starting lineup could play in a 3-4-2-1 formation: Noel Törnqvist in goal, with Saba Goglichidze, Lorenzo Lucchesi, and Andrea Carboni in front of him. Jan Ziolkowski is out with heel problems, and there’s still a question mark over Yvan Maye’s availability due to muscle issues. With Matteo Pessina sidelined by a knee injury, Foe Ondoa and Ebenezer Akinsanmiro could start in midfield. Gustavo Varela could be in line to start as the lone striker.
Napoli Form & Record Check
Napoli drew 3-3 against AS Roma in Serie A. Frank Anguissa and Scott McTominay initially put the team ahead, and McTominay later scored again to extend the lead. But AS Roma equalized again. The fact that Napoli couldn’t hold onto their leads speaks against them as favorites on the betting market. They also had defensive issues in their 4-3 Champions League win over Bodo/Glimt. Added to that is their 0-1 league loss at Venezia, which argues against an away win.
Alessandro Buongiorno, Leonardo Spinazzola, and David Neres are out, and Benoît Badiashile’s availability is questionable. Buongiorno’s absence could increase Monza’s chances of scoring. Rafa Marín’s strong performance against AS Roma, however, speaks in Napoli’s favor. That said, the team has conceded goals in four consecutive matches across all competitions. That makes over 2.5 goals an attractive bet.
Monza – Napoli Head-to-Head & Statistics
Napoli has won four of the six recorded competitive head-to-head matches. Their three-game winning streak includes Monza’s 0–1 loss in 2025 and the 0–2 defeat in 2024. This record underscores Napoli’s strength in the documented head-to-head matchups. However, Monza’s 2–0 victory in 2023 shows that the outcome can go either way. Napoli’s recent away losses also make an upset more plausible than the older results might suggest.
