Como vs. Inter: Prediction, Preview & Odds – Serie A, April 12, 2026

Home » Como vs. Inter: Prediction, Preview & Odds – Serie A, April 12, 2026

Key Facts

  • Lautaro Martínez will miss Inter’s crucial title run due to a muscle injury, which significantly weakens an attack that has already been inconsistent of late.
  • Como is unbeaten in five competitive matches and sits in fourth place, just one point ahead of Juventus – which adds extra motivation for this match.
  • Four of Inter’s last five matches have had fewer than 2.5 goals; combined with Lautaro’s absence and the 0-0 draw in their most recent cup clash, there is a strong case for a low-scoring, defensively oriented match.
  • In their last four head-to-head matches, Como has failed to score a single goal, a clear pattern that highlights the hosts’ struggles against Inter.
  • Como is missing three attacking players (Rodríguez, Addai, Lahdo), which is why Morata and Nico Paz will have to shoulder significantly more responsibility in attack.
  • Inter’s slump (just one win in five competitive matches) puts their lead over Napoli into perspective and makes Como’s chances of an upset more realistic.

The big story heading into this Sunday evening is Lautaro Martínez. Inter travels to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia without its captain and leading striker, right in the thick of the title race. Cristian Chivu’s team still leads the table by seven points over Napoli, but this is no ordinary away trip. Como is unbeaten in its last five competitive matches and remains in fourth place, just one point ahead of Juventus. Their motivation is therefore more than clear. The most recent meeting also serves as a warning to Inter: The Coppa Italia semifinal on March 3 ended in a scoreless draw, while the league match in December went clearly to the Nerazzurri with a 4-0 victory.

  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
  • Date and time: April 12, 2026, 8:45 PM
  • Competition: Serie A (Matchday 32)

While the bookmakers see Inter as slight favorites, several signs point to a tough, low-scoring match: Four of Inter’s last five games have had fewer than 2.5 goals, Lautaro Martínez is out, and the most recent cup match ended 0-0, which increases the likelihood of “Both Teams to Score: No.” This is countered by Como’s strong form and surprising home wins against Roma and Pisa, which adds weight to the possibility of an upset victory for the hosts.

Como Form & Record Check

Como heads into this match off the back of a scoreless draw at Udinese, a result that speaks volumes about this team’s maturity. While the team didn’t show the same offensive pressure as in the 5-0 home win against Pisa or the 2-1 victory over Roma, Como limited the damage and picked up another league point.

This means Cesc Fàbregas’s side is now unbeaten in five competitive matches across all competitions.

Interestingly, Como has recently learned to control games better after the break. In their last five matches, the team hasn’t lost a single second half, and their attacking display against Pisa was followed by a patient performance at Udinese. There is, however, a downside: Jesús Rodríguez, Jayden Addai, and Adrian Lahdo are all out, which means Morata and Nico Paz will have to shoulder significantly more responsibility.

Como is likely, though not confirmed, to once again rely on Cesc Fàbregas’s usual 4-2-3-1 formation. In this lineup, Jean Butez – 1 starts in goal behind Ignace Van der Brempt – 77, Diego Carlos – 34, Marc Oliver Kempf – 2, and Álex Valle – 3, while Máximo Perrone – 23 and Lucas Da Cunha – 33 form the first line of midfield.

Further up the field, the expected lineup features Nico Paz – 10 in the hole and Álvaro Morata – 7 as the target striker. Assane Diao – 38 and Maxence Caqueret – 6 are likely to be the supporting players, especially since Adrian Lahdo, Jesús Rodríguez, and Jayden Addai are unavailable, leaving Como somewhat thin on the wings.

Inter Form & Record Check

Inter recently responded to criticism with a 5-2 win over Roma, their most convincing offensive performance in weeks. But the joy was short-lived, as Lautaro Martínez is out with a muscle injury. This is a major blow, as Cristian Chivu’s team had previously earned just two points from three league matches, following draws against Fiorentina and Atalanta and a derby loss to Milan. The reaction was strong, but the stability behind it was significantly less so.

In their last five competitive matches, Inter have won just once and kept a clean sheet only once; the Roma result feels more like an outlier than a new norm. Nevertheless, a seven-point lead over Napoli provides enough breathing room to manage the race. Thuram, Barella, and Çalhanoğlu must now take on more responsibility, especially since Yann Bisseck remains unavailable.

Inter is likely to line up in a 3-5-2 formation as usual: Yann Sommer in goal behind a back three of Manuel Akanji, Stefan de Vrij, and Alessandro Bastoni. Yann Bisseck remains out, meaning the defensive line continues to offer stability and allows play through the middle.

There is one key change in attack: Lautaro Martínez is out with a muscle injury.
As a result, Marcus Thuram could start alongside Ange-Yoan Bonny up front, which changes the front line both physically and dynamically.

In midfield, Nicolò Barella and Hakan Çalhanoğlu form the central duo tasked with directing play. Denzel Dumfries and Federico Dimarco are responsible for width, ensuring Inter remains a threat down the wings.

Special note: After serving his suspension, Carlos Augusto is once again a viable option on the left flank, providing additional options in terms of lineup and tactical approach.

Como – Inter Head-to-Head & Statistics

The last four head-to-head matches clearly favor Inter. A 2-0 win in 2024 was followed by another 2-0 victory in May 2025 and a decisive 4-0 win in December 2025, before Como forced a 0-0 draw in the Coppa Italia semifinal in March 2026. This draw ended the winning streak but did not change the overall picture: Inter has clearly dominated this matchup recently.

The most striking pattern here is crystal clear: Como has not scored in any of these four games, and every first half has seen fewer than 1.5 goals. Inter also won the second half in three consecutive matches before the draw in March broke the streak. This suggests that the Nerazzurri have often only truly established their dominance as the game progressed. For Como, this means: anyone looking to turn the tables must strike early, before Inter gets into their rhythm.

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