The 5-1 away win in Turin has put Como in a real flow, and now Sassuolo is coming to the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia for the start of matchday 13. This result saw Como jump to 6th place, while Sassuolo currently occupies 9th place after a lucky 2-2 draw against Pisa, in which Thorstvedt saved the day late on. Como looks more stable in the league, with three wins from their last five games and clear favorite status on the betting market. Sassuolo shows morale and fighting spirit under Fabio Grosso, but is not yet consistent and faces a difficult task away from home. Como will be without Smolčić due to a yellow card suspension, with Vojvoda likely to move into central defense. Offensively, Nico Paz is the most important factor with 5 goals and 4 assists, and Addai recently added to that with his brace. Sassuolo has to cope with several absences, including Turati, Boloca, and Vranckx, which limits Grosso’s tactical options. Como are likely to dominate the game and play a fast-paced game through Paz and Addai, while Sassuolo will have to remain compact defensively and hope for counterattacks, set pieces, and late chances, as they did against Pisa. Grosso’s adjustments are likely to be defensive in nature in order to cover for the personnel gaps. We expect Como to have more possession and better chances, while Sassuolo will be looking to capitalize on individual moments. Given Como’s form and home advantage, a narrow home win seems likely, perhaps 2-1 or 2-0 for Como. Those betting on goals will find value in a combination such as “Como wins and both teams score” as a moderately likely option, while safety-oriented tips would suggest a straight bet on Como to win without taking too much risk.
- Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
- Date and time: 11/28/2025, 8:45 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 13)
From the bookmakers’ point of view, Como is the clear favorite, with odds of around 1.7. This is based on their strong form with a 5-1 win in Turin and the fact that the team has not lost a second half this season, which points to very successful tactical adjustments during the break. Nico Paz, with 5 goals and 4 assists in 12 games, and Jesús Rodríguez, who stood out with assists against Torino, further strengthen the offensive threat. Sassuolo, on the other hand, are traveling with a weakened squad, with goalkeeper Turati and midfielders Boloca and Vranckx all out. Defensive problems have been a recurring theme throughout the season, with many games ending in high-scoring affairs and over 2.5 goals scored in around 80% of recent games. This suggests a high-scoring encounter, especially as both teams have been playing offensively of late. This gives rise to a betting idea with value potential. Combination bets such as “Como wins and over 2.5 goals” seem plausible, based on Como’s strong nerves after the break, Sassuolo’s defensive vulnerability, and personnel losses. Those looking for higher risk can look at markets around Como leading or more goals in the second half. Nevertheless, risks remain, odds can change, surprises can never be ruled out, and injuries or late line-up changes can significantly influence the game.
Como Form & Record Check
With a spectacular 5-1 away win at Torino, Como has made an impressive comeback and is now in 6th place in the table with 21 points. Cesc Fàbregas’ team has thus overtaken Juventus, sitting one point ahead of the Old Lady and three points behind Bologna. Como has remained unbeaten in its last five league games, with two wins and three draws, although this streak is somewhat deceptive. Before the Torino game, there were three goalless draws in a row against Cagliari, Napoli, and Parma, with a less than convincing 3-1 win against Verona in between. It is striking that Como never went into halftime with a lead in these five games, with the score tied five times at the break. This points to a clear pattern of weaker starts but significantly stronger second halves. In this phase, Como also did not concede a goal in any second half, which speaks for defensive stability after the break. The resounding victory in Turin was liberating, with Addai scoring twice, both times set up by Jesús Rodríguez, and Ramón, Paz, and Baturina scoring the other goals. Nico Paz stands out anyway, with five goals and four assists in twelve league games, and Real Madrid are apparently planning to bring him back in the summer of 2026. Smolčić is missing after a yellow-red card suspension, and Goldaniga, Sergi Roberto, and Diao are also injured, which is putting pressure on the squad’s stability in defense. Nevertheless, the defense makes a stable impression overall, with the main problems recently lying in build-up play and finishing. Whether Como can confirm their form from Turin or fall back into a series of goalless draws depends heavily on better starts to games and the return of injured players.
Como are missing several players in defense and attack, with Smolčić suspended, Diao and Sergi Roberto unavailable due to thigh problems, and Goldaniga out with heel problems. The team is likely to start in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Caqueret and Perrone expected to play as double sixes in central midfield. In the attacking trio, Fàbregas will play centrally behind the striker, but Diao and Sergi Roberto are missing as options on the wings. Álvaro Morata is likely to be the striker, with Paz, Rodriguez and Addai in front of the defense, who is expected to start alongside Paz and Rodriguez again after his brace against Torino. In summary, a 4-2-3-1 formation is emerging with Caqueret and Perrone in central midfield, Fàbregas as an attacking number 10, Addai and the other wingers supporting Morata as center forward, but several regulars are missing due to injury or suspension.
Sassuolo Form & Record Check
Sassuolo is currently presenting itself as a typical mid-table club with inconsistent performances. With 17 points, the team is in 9th place, just one point behind Lazio and two points ahead of Udinese. Their recent league record is two wins, one draw, and two defeats from their last five games. The recent 2-2 draw against Pisa showed both strengths and weaknesses. Sassuolo fell behind early on due to a penalty goal from Nzola, but Matic quickly equalized. After the visitors took the lead again, Thorstvedt saved the draw in stoppage time. This game underscores the mentality of the team, which never gives up until the final whistle. A striking pattern has emerged in the last five games, with less than two goals scored before the break in 80% of the games, while more than 1.5 goals were regularly scored after the break. Sassuolo clearly needs some time to get going, but is then dangerous, scoring in the second half in four of its last five games. The team is currently weakened in terms of personnel, with regular goalkeeper Turati out with wrist problems and Boloca and Vranckx out in midfield, although Boloca seems likely to return soon, while there is no fixed timetable for Vranckx. Romagna, Paz, and Pieragnolo are missing in defense, which could further weaken the back line. Tactically, we can therefore continue to expect a rather sluggish start and a stronger second half, with the personnel shortages making the defense more vulnerable, especially against strong attacking lines. For predictions and betting considerations, the second 45 minutes and Sassuolo’s injury situation should therefore be taken into account.
Coach Fabio Grosso is likely to stick with his tried-and-tested 4-3-3 formation, with Muric expected to start in goal as Turati is out with a wrist injury. Boloca and Vranckx are out with injuries in midfield, so Matic, Kone, and Thorstvedt will provide stability, with Matic and Kone already showing their scoring prowess in the recent 2-2 draw against Pisa. In attack, Berardi is expected to start on the right, supported by Pinamonti and Laurienté, who will provide offensive threat.
Como – Sassuolo Head-to-head & statistics
The head-to-head record between Como and Sassuolo is limited, with the teams meeting just two months ago in the Coppa Italia, when Como won 3-0 at home at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. All three goals were scored in the first half, after which the game lost much of its momentum. Sassuolo failed to score in this cup game and never really got into the game, while Como played efficiently in front of their home crowd and made sure of the result early on, a result that will certainly provide the hosts with positive memories. However, caution is advised when interpreting the upcoming first league duel, as a single cup game does not provide a reliable basis for predictions, especially since league and cup games differ significantly in terms of tactics and importance.
