Lazio Rome has won all of its last five encounters with Cagliari, and when the Sardinians take to the field at the Stadio Olimpico on Monday evening, there is little to suggest that this streak will change. While Lazio are unbeaten in five league games despite important absences such as Rovella and Castellanos, Cagliari have been waiting for three points since September 19 and have conceded at least one goal in the first half in each of their last five games. Particularly explosive: Pedro has announced that this will be his last season with the Biancocelesti, which should provide additional motivation. With only nine points and three consecutive home defeats under coach Walter Pisacane, most recently a 1-2 loss to Sassuolo, Cagliari desperately needs a win, but lacks consistency.
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Date and time: 03.11.2025, 8:45 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (matchday 10)
The recommendations are based on a clear discrepancy in the form and condition of both teams. A home win for Lazio (market odds ~1.6) seems plausible, especially since the Romans recently beat Juventus 1-0, while Cagliari failed to win any of their last five games. Despite the absences, Sarri’s team has sufficient depth in its squad. An alternative betting idea is a Lazio win after halftime: Cagliari lost the second half in four of its last five games and regularly conceded goals after the break. The third recommendation (under 2.5 goals) fits in with what is likely to be a tactical encounter. Four of Lazio’s last five games have remained below this mark, including goalless draws against Pisa and Juventus. Without Castellanos, who is not expected to return until early December, Lazio are likely to play a controlled and efficiency-oriented game.
Lazio Rome Form & Record Check
Lazio are unbeaten in five league games (2 wins, 3 draws), a run that looks solid at first glance but, on closer inspection, reveals weaknesses in the quality of their chances and their attacking play. Recent results: 0-0 against Pisa with a lucky point after a strong final offensive by the hosts, 1-0 win against Juventus thanks to a gross error by the opponent, 0-0 at Atalanta, a turbulent 3-3 against Torino with a vulnerable defense, and a convincing 3-0 in Genoa. Lazio often stabilizes defensively in the second half, but lacks the final bite in attack. The important absences of Castellanos and Dele-Bashiru (muscle injuries), Rovella (pubic bone inflammation), and Tavares are forcing Sarri to make tactical compromises. With Lazio in 12th place, level on points with Torino and just one point behind Atalanta, small leaps forward are possible if things improve.
Coach Maurizio Sarri is expected to stick with a 4-3-3 formation. Ivan Provedel will likely start in goal. The back four could consist of Marušić (RB), Gila (CB), Romagnoli (CB), and Pellegrini (LB). In midfield, Matteo Guendouzi will organize the center, flanked by Danilo Cataldi and Tijjani Reijnders, with Basic named as the attacking midfielder. In attack, Isaksen is expected to start on the left, Dia in the center and Zaccagni on the right. Pedro remains an experienced option on the bench.
Cagliari Form & Record Check
Cagliari are in a prolonged slump, picking up just two draws and three defeats from their last five league games. Their weakness in the second half is particularly striking: in all five of their most recent games, they have conceded at least one goal after the break, losing the second half four times. In contrast, the first half is often uneventful, with no more than 1.5 goals scored before halftime in any of the last five games. Despite occasional morale-boosting performances, such as the late 2-2 draw in Verona thanks to Idrissi and Felici, such comebacks do not mask the fundamental defensive problems. Previously, there was a 2-0 home defeat to Bologna, among other results. With nine points in 14th place, Cagliari are only three points ahead of Turin. Personnel setbacks are exacerbating the situation: Belotti (cruciate ligament rupture), Deiola, Rog, and goalkeeper Radunović are all missing.
Fabio Pisacane is likely to stick with his tried-and-tested 3-5-2 formation. Caprile is expected to start in goal, while Radunović continues to struggle with a calf injury. The back three of Mina, Zé Pedro, and Obert should provide stability, with Zappa and Idrissi providing width on the flanks. In midfield, the trio of Adopo, Prati, and Folorunsho are expected to provide balance between defense and offense. Up front, the duo of Esposito and Luvumbo will likely start. However, this is only a prediction, with final confirmation coming shortly before kickoff.
Lazio Rome – Cagliari Head-to-head comparison & statistics
The head-to-head record clearly favors Lazio, who take an early lead in these games. Lazio led at halftime in all five games, with Cagliari conceding at least one goal in the first 45 minutes. The most recent match in February 2025 ended 2-1 for Lazio in Cagliari, and in November 2024 there was a 2-1 home win at the Olimpico. The games were mostly high-scoring, with at least three goals scored in four of the five games. Notable results include Lazio’s 3-0 away win in March 2022 and the 3-1 win in February 2024, with only December 2023 seeing a 1-0 victory. Cagliari must end their losing streak, which will be particularly difficult at the Olimpico, as the form curve and historical record clearly favor the Romans.
