Real Oviedo’s personnel worries could hardly be greater when CA Osasuna comes to the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere on Monday (9:00 p.m.). With Josip Brekalo out for weeks with a torn muscle fiber in his left adductor, and Santi Cazorla and Ovie Ejaria also injured, the 19th-placed team will be without three key offensive players for the important match in the 11th round of LaLiga. After an embarrassing cup defeat to third-division side Ourense CF (2-4 after extra time), Oviedo are deep in the relegation battle with only seven points, while Osasuna are under pressure themselves in 15th place with ten points. The visitors are coming into the game with renewed confidence after a 5-0 cup win over third-division CD Sant Jordi, in which Raúl García scored a hat trick, but they suffered a bitter 2-3 home defeat to Celta Vigo in their last league game. Interestingly, the two teams last met on June 8, 2019, in the Segunda División, when Osasuna won 1-0, and in the four previous encounters there has never been a draw, but always low-scoring games with a maximum of 1.5 goals at halftime.
- Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
- Date and time: November 3, 2025, 9:00 p.m.
- Competition: La Liga (Matchday 11)
The market odds suggest a close game, with Osasuna slightly favored at around 2.6. However, form, injury, and playing style factors clearly point to an away win or at least a game with multiple goals. The away win seems particularly attractive as Oviedo are in real crisis and have lost the second half in 80% of their last games, suggesting physical and mental weaknesses that a stronger Osasuna side, with Jutglà in good form, could exploit. The bookmaker’s odds of around 2.6 therefore seem slightly undervalued. A bet on over 2.5 goals also offers good value at odds of around 1.8, as at least two goals have been scored in all of Oviedo’s last five games and Osasuna has both scored and conceded in 80% of its games. The 3-3 draw in Girona shows the offensive potential, but also the defensive gaps of both teams. As a conservative hedge, the double chance (X2) with odds of around 1.4 is a good option, reducing the risk for those who favor Osasuna but respect Oviedo’s home strength at Carlos Tartiere. Of course, no tip is guaranteed, as injuries, home motivation, or early red cards can turn the game around. For bankroll management, we recommend the following as a guideline: 2 to 4% of your betting capital on the away win, 2% on over 2.5 goals, or, if you prefer a conservative approach, 3 to 5% on double chance instead of a single bet, whereby stakes should always be adjusted to your individual risk and budget profile.
Oviedo form & record check
Real Oviedo is in serious crisis: after being knocked out of the cup by third-division side Ourense (2-4 a.e.t.), the promoted team is in 19th place in the league with only seven points and has conceded goals in each of its last five competitive games. The statistics show a clear pattern, with problems accumulating mainly in the second half. While the first 45 minutes are often reasonably stable, the defense regularly collapses after that, which applies to both goals conceded and carelessness in build-up play. The situation is exacerbated by injuries. Coach Luis Carrión will have to do without three key players against Osasuna: Brekalo is out for several weeks with a muscle injury in his left adductor, while Cazorla and Ejaria are also unavailable. The signing of youth players such as Pérez and Agudín from the reserve team underscores the personnel crisis. It is still uncertain whether Bailly, who has recently only been doing running training, will be fit in time. In sporting terms, the 3-3 draw at Girona offered short-term hope, with Viñas and Rondón scoring and the two-striker system working well at times. However, this point did nothing to change the precarious situation in the table: Oviedo is level on points with Girona and only two points behind Valencia. Their only league win in the last five games dates back to the end of September (1-2 at Valencia). Oviedo urgently needs stability in defense and relief in midfield. Against Osasuna, the main focus will be on avoiding weak phases after the break.
Coach Luis Carrión can largely rely on his tried-and-tested formation against Osasuna, but will have to do without three players: Josip Brekalo is out for several weeks with a muscle injury, Santi Cazorla has been struggling with knee problems since the defeat to Levante, and Ovie Ejaria is doubtful after being substituted against Girona. Carrión is likely to stick with a two-striker system, especially as Viñas and Rondón both scored against Girona. Leander Dendoncker and Germán Colombatto could provide stability in central midfield, with Hassan and Chaira providing creativity on the wings. Vidal, Carmo, Calvo, and López are expected to start in defense. Whether Eric Bailly will be fit in time depends on his reaction to running training and is still open.
Osasuna Form & Record Check
Osasuna is currently experiencing ups and downs: in La Liga, the team has only won two and lost three of its last five games and is currently in 15th place with ten points, level on points with Celta Vigo. The most recent league game against Celta ended in a 2-3 home defeat despite Budimir giving the team a two-goal lead; Budimir also missed a late penalty, which hit the post. Defensively, it is noticeable that Osasuna has conceded goals in four of its last five games, which is a cause for concern. Away games have been particularly difficult, with defeats at Atletico Madrid and Real Betis, so a pattern is emerging: the team is more vulnerable away from home. Offensively, the team is heavily dependent on Budimir and Raúl García. Osasuna performed much more confidently in the Copa del Rey: Raúl García scored a hat-trick in the 5-0 win over fifth-division side Sant Jordi, with Budimir and Barja also getting on the scoresheet. Coach Alessio Lisci also fielded several young players such as Pedroarena, Echegoyen, and Osambela, which meant that, in addition to a routine victory, the team also gained playing time for promising young players. The cup success brings confidence, but the challenge remains to consistently reproduce this scoring threat in the league and stabilize the defense. With only ten points, the gap to the critical regions of the table is still small, which is why consistency in the line-up, defense, and performance will be crucial to avoid slipping further down the table.
Osasuna are likely to line up in their tried-and-tested 4-2-3-1 formation. Sergio Herrera will be in goal, with Cruz, Boyomo, Catena, and Rosier forming the defense from left to right. Torró and Moncayola will play in the double six, while Becker on the left, Oroz in the center, and Gómez on the right will provide the threat in attacking midfield. Ante Budimir will lead the attack as the lone striker. Coach Alessio Lisci appears to have a full squad to choose from, with no known injury absences. Budimir is likely to be particularly motivated to regain his form after missing a penalty against Celta.
Oviedo – Osasuna Head-to-head & statistics
The head-to-head record from the last four meetings is even: two wins each for Real Oviedo and CA Osasuna, with no draws during that period. The last meeting took place in June 2019 in the Segunda División. The wins are split according to home advantage: Oviedo won both home games in December 2017 (1-0) and October 2018 (2-1), while Osasuna took advantage of home advantage for both wins, in May 2018 (2-1) and June 2019 (1-0). The encounters were consistently close and low-scoring: never more than three goals were scored in a game, the first half remained without more than one goal in all four games, and many games were defensive in nature. Historically, there are many indications that this will be a close, tactical duel with limited scoring opportunities, whereby home advantage could once again be decisive. A cautious prediction would be a close result with relatively few goals.
