Five draws in a row, no win in over a month: Atalanta Bergamo is in an unusual results crisis and will be playing away at Udinese Calcio at the Bluenergy Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The hosts recently ended a negative streak with a 3-2 win over Lecce, but then suffered a 1-3 defeat in Turin and are now in 12th place in the table with 12 points. Atalanta are only slightly better off in 9th place with 13 points after their recent 1-1 draw with Milan.
- Venue: Bluenergy Stadium – Stadio Friuli, Udine
- Date and time: November 1, 2025, 3:00 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 10)
The betting market clearly favors Atalanta with odds of 1.8, but this may underestimate the current form and tactical approach of the Bergamo team. There are three betting approaches with different risk-return profiles: The value bet is on under 2.5 goals. Atalanta has scored less than three goals in five consecutive competitive games, with 80% of those games seeing no more than one goal in the second half. The tactical changes with Brescianini replacing de Roon also point to more control and defensive stability. The bet on both teams scoring is considered medium risk. Udinese has scored in each of its last five games and has offensive options in Buksa, Bayo, and possibly Bravo. Atalanta has continued to concede goals despite its defensive orientation. The combination with under 3.5 goals seems particularly sensible for higher odds. The safe option would be the double chance X2. Atalanta has only managed draws recently and is tactically programmed for stability, while Udinese could be weakened in terms of personnel after their 1-3 defeat in Turin. The market odds of 3.6 for a draw offer good value. The recommended betting strategy is: small stakes for high risk such as both teams to score, moderate stakes for under 2.5 goals, and conservative amounts for double chance X2.
Udinese Calcio form & record check
Udinese are in inconsistent form. Their 3-2 win against Lecce was promptly followed by a 1-3 defeat at Juventus, where, despite Zaniolo’s equalizer before the break, they lacked a defensive response to Juve’s offense, especially in the second half. With 12 points, the team is in 12th place, level on points with Lazio and Torino. Their form shows only one win from their last five league games, along with two draws and two defeats. Their offensive consistency is striking, as Udinese scored in all five games, but also conceded at least one goal in each match. Defensive instability remains the central problem. The team is particularly weak in the first half: they have gone into the break trailing three times in their last five games, while often looking more active in the second half. There are question marks over the squad ahead of the Atalanta game. Davis’s availability remains doubtful after a muscle injury forced him off at half-time in Turin. Coach Runjaić is playing down the situation, with a decision to be made at short notice. Buksa, Bayo, and Zaniolo are available as alternatives up front. In defense, Bertola could replace Goglichidze in the starting lineup, while Zanoli would be an option on the right wing for the injured Ehizibue. Udinese needs more stability, especially defensively, and an injury-free attack to be competitive against Atalanta.
Coach Runjaić is expected to stick with his 3-5-2 system. The biggest question mark concerns striker Keinan Davis, who had to leave the field injured against Juventus. The coach is playing down the injury, but his availability remains uncertain. If Davis is ruled out, Buksa, who recently scored against Lecce, would move into the starting lineup. In defense, there are signs of a rotation between Goglichidze and Bertola, with Bertola having a slight advantage. On the right wing, Zanoli looks likely to start after Ehizibue had physical problems in Turin. In central midfield, Palma could return to the starting lineup, while Lovrić and Ekkelenkamp are battling for another spot. Kristensen, Bravo, and Nunziante remain sidelined with injuries.
Atalanta form & record check
Atalanta are in a remarkable slump, with five league games without a win, all of which ended in draws. Their last three points came over a month ago. In these games, the team usually fell behind, fought their way back, but lacked the punch to score the winning goal. With only five goals in their last five league games, they have an obvious problem in attack, which was also highlighted by their goalless Champions League draw against Slavia Prague. However, their performances are not entirely alarming. Atalanta create chances, often control phases of the game and show offensive structure. The main problem lies in their efficiency in front of goal and their lack of punch in decisive moments. Captain de Roon is out with a thigh injury, which is why Brescianini is set to take over the central midfield alongside Ederson. This line-up could bring more dynamism and acceleration to the center. Lookman may be rested for the upcoming Champions League game in Marseille, with Sulemana ready as an alternative. Tactically, coach Jurić is hinting at a return to a three-man attack, with two wide forwards plus a true center forward. This formation should increase the width and depth of the offensive play and allow the striker to act as a clear target in the center. In defense, Djimsiti returns to the starting lineup after his break, bringing more experience and stability to the central defense. With Brescianini and Ederson in the center, Djimsiti in defense, and a more versatile three-man attack, Atalanta could be more determined going forward. The decisive factors remain finishing and precision in the final 20 meters, as this is the only way to break the streak of draws.
As expected, coach Ivan Jurić will field Atalanta in a 3-4-2-1 formation, but will have to make changes in central midfield. Captain Marten de Roon is out with a contracture in his left hamstring, so Marco Brescianini will move into the double six alongside Éderson. Brescianini, a left-footed player, completes the central midfield and recently posed a threat in front of goal against Cremonese. In attack, Jurić could return to a classic three-pronged attack. Kamaldeen Sulemana could start on the left wing to rest Ademola Lookman for the Champions League game in Marseille. Gianluca Scamacca is likely to be preferred as the central striker after he and Nikola Krstović were heavily involved recently. Charles De Ketelaere is expected to act as the link between midfield and attack. In the back three, Berat Djimsiti is back in the center after his break, alongside Odilon Kossounou and Isak Hien. Giorgio Scalvini is still out with a thigh injury, and Mitchel Bakker is unavailable due to his long-term cruciate ligament rupture.
Udinese Calcio – Atalanta Head-to-head & statistics
The record from the last five meetings clearly favors Atalanta: no wins, two defeats, and three draws. The most recent encounter in January 2025 ended in a goalless draw at Udinese’s home stadium. The low scoring rate in this pairing is striking. Four of the last five games have had fewer than 2.5 goals, which is unusual for Serie A and indicates cautious play or efficient defensive work on both sides. The pattern is even more evident in the second half: in the last three encounters, there has been a maximum of one goal, and often none at all. Udinese has not scored in the second half of the last five games against Atalanta, while Atalanta has also kept a clean sheet in these halves. Both teams tend to play risk-averse against each other after the break, which suggests close finishes and low goal expectations. For Udinese, the ongoing lack of goals after the break against Atalanta is likely to be a particular problem.
