AS Roma welcomes Parma to the Stadio Olimpico and goes into the game as the clear favorite. The Romans are level on points with Napoli at the top of the table and have conceded only three goals in seven league games this season – clear evidence of their defensive stability. Parma, on the other hand, are stuck in the bottom third of the table with only seven points and are showing clear problems in attack. The head-to-head record also favors the hosts: Roma have won four of the last five encounters, with fewer than four goals scored in four of those games and Roma often leading at halftime. The hosts will continue to be without Angeliño due to asthmatic bronchitis, while movement in attack seems possible due to winter transfer rumors surrounding Joshua Zirkzee. Parma has to cope with five absences, including the injured Oristanio and the suspended Ndiaye, which further limits their already weak offensive options. Roma is relying on its proven back three with Gianluca Mancini as the central anchor. Parma coach Carlos Cuesta is calling for humility and concentration and is hoping for compact lines and efficiency from set pieces and on the counter. The bookmakers see Roma as clear favorites with a 65% chance of winning; a close, low-scoring result such as 1-0 or 2-0 seems realistic.
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
- Date and time: October 29, 2025, 6:30 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 9)
Three combinable betting tips are available, as they logically fit together: AS Roma home win (odds ~1.5), under 2.5 goals and Roma to keep a clean sheet for increased odds and good value. Roma have been very solid defensively, conceding few goals in recent league games, and with Paulo Dybala back on the scoresheet after his injury, they have an attacking threat who takes responsibility. Parma are traveling with a depleted squad, with absences on the wings and in midfield, showing clear weaknesses in attack and scoring hardly any goals after halftime in recent games. Both teams tend to play disciplined football after the break, which increases the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter. Roma are likely to control the game and play targeted football in attack, while remaining compact defensively – ideal for betting on few goals and a possible clean sheet. Parma’s personnel problems on the wings weaken their transition and creative play, which means that scoring chances against the Roma defense are likely to be rarer. A home win and under 2.5 are relatively conservative tips with low to medium odds, while a clean sheet win brings higher returns but is riskier. Combination bets reduce the overall risk, but also the probability of winning, so the stake should be adjusted accordingly.
AS Roma form & record check
Roma are currently in second place with 18 points, level on points with Napoli and one point ahead of Milan. After initial difficulties, the defense in particular has stabilized significantly: only three goals conceded in seven Serie A games clearly demonstrate improved organization and compactness. Gianluca Mancini has become the central figure in the back three and has even played his way back into the Italy squad thanks to consistently good performances. The pattern in the course of the game is striking: most goals are conceded in the first half, while the second half is often played out with almost no goals. The form curve is mixed, with three wins from five league games; most recently, there was a 1-0 win in Sassuolo thanks to Dybala, who is back on the scoresheet after injury. However, there have been setbacks in the Europa League against Plzen and Lille. Offensively, the team still seems too inconsistent and unpredictable over 90 minutes. In terms of personnel, Angeliño (asthmatic bronchitis) and Edoardo Bove (heart problems) are causing concern; Baldanzi is not eligible to play in the Europa League competition. The attack lacks punch: Evan Ferguson is still waiting for his first competitive goal and could return in January, while talks are underway about a loan deal for Joshua Zirkzee. Defensively, Roma have brought the expected stability, but to defend their top spot in the long term, they need more consistency in attack and a solution to their vulnerability in the first half.
Roma are likely to line up in their tried-and-tested 3-5-2 system. Angeliño is out with asthmatic bronchitis, the duration of which is still unclear, while Edoardo Bove is unavailable due to heart problems. Baldanzi is not eligible to play in the Europa League. Mile Svilar will be in goal. As expected, Gianluca Mancini will take the central role in the back three, with Çelik and Ndicka likely to fill the other positions. New signings Wesley and Tsimikas are expected to start on the wings in midfield. Koné, Cristante, and El Aynaoui are likely to occupy the central defensive midfield positions to ensure stability and control of the game. Paulo Dybala is expected to start up front after his long injury layoff; Leon Bailey is likely to start alongside him, as Evan Ferguson has seen little playing time recently.
Parma Form & Record Check
Parma are stuck in the bottom third of the table with seven points from eight games and are showing little attacking power. The team has not won a second half in its last five games, which suggests a lack of fitness or tactical problems after the break. The only bright spot was the 2-1 win against Torino; otherwise, low-scoring games dominated, and the team only advanced in the cup on penalties against lower-ranked opponents. The squad is extremely stretched: Oristanio is out with adductor problems, Ondrejka is suffering from a broken fibula, Almqvist has ankle problems, and Valeri is out with an injury. In addition, Ndiaye has to serve a yellow card suspension. These absences particularly affect the already weak offense, which lacks creative impetus. Coach Carlos Cuesta demands humility and discipline from his team, but he is aware of the limited options available to his decimated squad. Against Roma’s strong defense, Parma will have to rely on compactness, set pieces, and efficient counterattacks to score any points at all.
Coach Carlos Cuesta is also likely to start with a 3-5-2 formation. Suzuki will be in goal, with Delprato, Circati, and Valenti forming the back three. Estévez and Keita are expected to play in central midfield, with Bernabé playing a more attacking role. Ordóñez and Britschgi are planned to play on the wings. The strike duo will consist of Cutrone and Djuric. The squad is stretched thin: Oristanio is out with adductor problems, Ondrejka is struggling with a broken fibula, Almqvist has ankle problems and Valeri is out with injury; in addition, Ndiaye has to serve a yellow card suspension. Despite the absences, there are some alternatives on the bench: Pellegrino and Benedyczak are available for the offense, while Hernani and Sørensen can be brought on in midfield. The 3-5-2 remains the clear basic system, although personnel shortages could force Cuesta to make tactical adjustments or earlier substitutions.
AS Roma – Parma Head-to-head comparison & statistics
The head-to-head record clearly favors Roma: In the last five meetings, Roma have won four times and Parma only once (2-0 in March 2021). It is noteworthy that there has not been a single draw during this period. The two most recent games were very different: in December 2024, the match ended 5-0 for Roma at the Olimpico, while in February 2025, it ended 1-0 for Roma in Parma – an indication of Roma’s stronger home performances and closer away games. In four of the five games, at least two goals were scored, but rarely more than three, with the exception of the 5-0 win. The second half remained low-scoring in three consecutive games, suggesting tactical caution or energy conservation. Roma scored before the break in four of the five games, while Parma often came under pressure early on, suggesting a stronger start from Roma and tactical problems for Parma at the beginning of games.
