After an impressive 4-1 win over Barcelona, Sevilla will be looking to carry their momentum into their next league game when they host Mallorca at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán. Under coach Matías Almeyda, the Andalusians are showing positive development and are in sixth place in the table with 13 points, level on points with Atlético Madrid. The visitors from Mallorca are going through a difficult phase and are in 20th place with only five points, still without a single away point this season. While the head-to-head record in recent years is even, with a 1-1 draw in the last meeting at the end of February, the hosts have not lost their last three home games against Mallorca. The betting market clearly favors Sevilla, although recent encounters suggest that low-scoring games are likely, even if Sevilla’s current attacking momentum could provide more goal-scoring opportunities.
- Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville
- Date and time: October 18, 2025, 2:00 p.m.
- Competition: La Liga (Matchday 9)
Sevilla’s status as favorites is based on several factors: their home strength, their offensive resurgence under Almeyda, and their recent 4-1 win against Barcelona. The breadth of their attack, with four different goalscorers in their last game, and strong individual players such as Azpilicueta underpin their superiority against a Mallorca side that has lost four consecutive away games. The market odds of around 1.9 for a home win seem fair to slightly undervalued, as the analysis suggests a greater advantage for Sevilla. A bet on over 2.5 goals also seems interesting, as both teams have recently shown a high goal involvement, with Sevilla involved in at least three goals in around 80% of their games and Mallorca always conceding goals away from home. Another option would be Sevilla to score over 1.5 goals, as they have scored at least two goals in around 60% of their last five games. Tactically, Almeyda can vary between three center backs or an additional defensive midfielder, which has an impact on space and vulnerability to counterattacks. Agoumé as a link player increases the chances of profitable combinations, although short-term fluctuations in form or a particularly defensive Mallorca game plan remain risk factors.
Sevilla Form & Record Check
Sevilla are in sixth place with 13 points, level on points with Atlético Madrid and Elche. The upward trend under Matías Almeyda is reflected in the record of the last five league games: three wins, one draw, and one defeat. Particularly noteworthy is the 4-1 win against Barcelona, in which Lucien Agoumé dominated the midfield and was involved in three goals. The team has shown consistency in attack, scoring in all five of its most recent games and proving particularly dangerous after half-time. Isaac Romero has established himself as an option up front with three goals already this season and is likely to be given the nod again due to Akor Adams’ absence on international duty. The attacking trio of Romero, Rubén Vargas, and Alexis Sánchez is increasingly harmonizing well. Defensively, however, there are still concerns: Sevilla have conceded at least one goal in four of their five games, with Odysseas Vlachodimos conceding in three consecutive games. Almeyda is experimenting tactically and is apparently considering a return to a back five to close down space more effectively. Tanguy Nianzou remains sidelined with a thigh injury and Alfon González with a sprain. A back five with Fábio Cardoso as an additional center back alongside César Azpilicueta and Marcão would help against Mallorca’s counterattacking play, while Batista Mendy and Lucien Agoumé should provide balance and ball control in midfield.
Coach Matías Almeyda is likely to return to a back three, as successfully tested in Vallecas. César Azpilicueta and Marcão form the central defensive pairing, with Fábio Cardoso slightly favored as the third center back. José Ángel Carmona plays on the right and Gabriel Suazo on the left. Batista Mendy and Lucien Agoumé will play in central midfield, with Agoumé currently impressing with his precise passing and emphasizing the importance of his partnership with Mendy. Isaac Romero starts up front with three goals this season, most recently against Barcelona. Alfon González is out with an injury, so Alexis Sánchez takes over on the left wing, while Rubén Vargas plays on the right with freedom to move towards the number 10 position. Akor Adams is unavailable despite his debut goal for Nigeria. Odysseas Vlachodimos returns in goal after international duty with Greece.
Mallorca Form & Record Check
RCD Mallorca has lost four consecutive away games, each by a narrow margin: 2-1 against Real Madrid, 3-2 at Espanyol, 1-0 at Real Sociedad, and 2-1 at Athletic Bilbao. With only five points, the team is currently in 20th place. Despite creating good chances in many games, scoring in 80% of their last matches, they lack efficiency and consistency, especially in critical moments and in the first half. Their defensive record is not disastrous, but they have conceded at least one goal in four of their last five games. In their last five competitive games, Mallorca have only picked up four points thanks to a home win against Alavés and a draw against Atlético. Across the season, their away form under Arrasate was better last year, with 21 points from 19 away games. What is striking is their weak first half, better stabilization after the break, and frequent goals conceded in decisive phases. The problems lie in a lack of control and nervousness in the early stages, a lack of efficiency in critical finishing situations despite goal threats, and discipline issues, as seen against Bilbao. The upcoming matches against Sevilla, Betis, and Villarreal will be difficult, which could exacerbate the situation. A win or a more stable performance against Sevilla would take enormous pressure off the team, otherwise a prolonged away crisis looms.
Coach Jagoba Arrasate is likely to field a 4-2-3-1 formation. Román is expected to start in goal, with Maffeo, Valjent, Raíllo, and Mojica forming the back four. Costa and Morlanes could provide stability in defensive midfield. Ahead of them, Rodríguez, Darder, and Torre will be responsible for creativity, while Muriqi will be the lone striker. There are no injured or suspended players, so Arrasate has a full squad to choose from. This gives him the opportunity to field the best possible starting eleven to finally pick up points after four consecutive away defeats.
H2H Sevilla – Mallorca Head-to-head & Statistics
The last five head-to-head matches between Sevilla and Mallorca have been evenly balanced, with two wins for Sevilla, one for Mallorca, and two draws. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw in Sevilla in February 2025. The defensive approach is striking: in four of the five games, a maximum of two goals were scored, and in 80% of the games, both halves remained below 1.5 goals. This trend has become more pronounced over the years, as since February 2023, there has not been a single game with more than 3.5 goals in a series of five matches. Overall, there is much to suggest that these will be controlled, tactical games rather than high-scoring affairs. For those interested in betting, this means that markets such as under 2.5 goals, half-time/full-time with low goal totals, or “both teams to score: no” appear more likely.
