Parma – Torino Tip, Prediction & Odds Serie A 09/29/2025

Home » Parma – Torino Tip, Prediction & Odds Serie A 09/29/2025

Parma is in 18th place with only two points, while Torino is also navigating difficult waters despite having four points. On Monday at 6:30 p.m., the two struggling teams will face each other at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, with the recent record offering little encouragement for the hosts: Parma has never won in the last five encounters, while Torino has emerged victorious twice. The last meeting in March ended 2-2, but interestingly, four of the last five encounters have been low-scoring with less than 3.5 goals. The form curves show similar problems on both sides: Parma has only managed two draws from four league games, most recently a goalless draw in Cremona, while Torino suffered a heavy 3-0 home defeat to Atalanta last Saturday. Carlos Cuesta will be without Cremaschi, Hernani, and Djuric for Parma, while Marco Baroni will be missing two central midfielders in Ilić and Anjorin, although the visitors can at least draw some confidence from their 1-0 Coppa Italia win against Pisa.

  • Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
  • Date and time: 09/29/2025, 6:30 p.m.
  • Competition: Serie A (Matchday 5)

Parma form & record check

Parma is struggling through the early weeks of the new season and is in 18th place in the table with only two points from four league games. The record is sobering: not a single win in Serie A, two defeats against Juventus (0-2) and Cagliari (0-2), and draws against Atalanta (1-1) and most recently Cremonese (0-0). Coach Carlos Cuesta’s team is showing defensive stability, with the goalless draw in Cremona being their third draw in four league games, even if the offense continues to lack punch. It is striking that Parma has conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last five games, but has rarely lost by a large margin. There was a small ray of hope during the week in the Coppa Italia: against Spezia, the team fought its way to a penalty shootout despite a 2-2 draw after 90 minutes and a red card for Plicco, qualifying for the next round. Pellegrino and Cutrone, on whom high hopes are pinned according to recent reports, are now expected to provide the necessary goal threat in the league as well. The personnel situation remains tense with Ondrejka (fractured fibula), Frigan (torn cruciate ligament), and Djuric (ankle inflammation) out, and Cuesta also has to do without Cremaschi, who has been called up to his national team. Only one point separates Parma from Fiorentina in 17th place, while the gap to safety remains manageable.

Parma are likely to line up in their usual 3-5-2 formation against Turin. However, coach Cuesta faces a number of personnel challenges as he has to do without several key players. The loss of Djuric due to ankle inflammation is particularly painful, which is why the duo of Benedyczak and Pellegrino will likely be relied upon in attack. In midfield, both Hernani, who is out with an ankle injury, and Cremaschi, who has been called up for international duty, are unavailable. This could mean more responsibility in the center for Estevez and Ordóñez. Britschgi and Løvik are likely to fill the wide positions, where they will be expected to bring life to the wings. Suzuki is expected to start in goal.

Turin Form & Record Check

Turin is currently going through a rather turbulent phase of its season. After successfully qualifying for the Coppa Italia round of 16 with a 1-0 win over Pisa two days ago, the Granata are at least showing fighting spirit in the cup. Casadei sealed the deal early on, even though Cuadrado’s red card made the game exciting. Things are much more difficult in the league: last weekend’s 3-0 defeat to Atalanta was sobering, even if the opponents were clearly more motivated after their poor Champions League performance in Paris. The game was decided within eight minutes, with Krstovic and Sulemana putting the result beyond doubt. Zapata’s return from injury made little difference, and his missed penalty symbolized Turin’s current run of form. The league record of four points from four games reflects the problems. While the away win in Rome was encouraging, the disastrous 5-0 defeat at Inter in the opening game and the recent home defeat against Atalanta highlighted the weaknesses. With the team in 12th place and only one point ahead of Lazio, the position is anything but comfortable. Baroni continues to have personnel worries: Schuurs is out indefinitely after knee surgery, and Ilić is struggling with a bruise. Masina could possibly return tomorrow, but the absences weaken the already thin squad. The fans are making their displeasure with President Cairo clear, which is creating additional pressure.

As expected, coach Marco Baroni is likely to field his team in the usual 3-4-2-1 formation. However, the personnel situation remains tense: with Ilić, Schuurs, Anjorin, and Masina out, important regulars are missing. The absence of midfield playmaker Ilić weighs particularly heavily. Paleari could start in goal, while Dembélé, Ismajli, and Coco form the back three. Tamèze and Casadei are likely to form the midfield duo, with Casadei boosted by his decisive header against Pisa. Vlašić and Ngonge could play behind striker Adams in attack.

H2H Parma – Turin Head-to-head & statistics

The record between Parma and Turin from the last five encounters paints a clear picture: the visitors from Turin have remained unbeaten in these matches. They have two wins and three draws, with Parma never having won. The most recent encounter in March 2025 ended 2-2 and was also the highest-scoring game in the series. Prior to that, Torino had played out a goalless draw at home in January of the same year. The two matches in 2021 were much more one-sided: Turin won 3-0 away and 1-0 at home. A striking pattern characterizes these direct encounters: in four of the five games, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored. Turin has scored in each of the last three meetings, while Parma has conceded at least one goal in each of the same series. The first half has usually been quiet, with only one game seeing more than 1.5 goals scored. It is noteworthy that Torino has not lost any of the five games. For Parma, the aim will be to break this negative streak and finally secure their first win against the Granata in over five years.

The focus is on under 1.5 goals in the first half at odds of 1.33, as Parma have played a rather defensive first half in four of their last five games, while Torino have only scored once before the break under Marco Baroni. The injuries to Frigan, Djuric, and creative midfielder Ilić further reinforce this tendency to play cautiously in the early stages. The tip for “Both teams to score: No” at 1.91 is based on Parma’s failure to score in three of their four league games and Torino’s difficulties away from home, where they have failed to score in three of their last five away games. The bookmakers see Parma as only slight favorites at 2.3, even though they are unbeaten at home and Torino seem to be struggling after fan protests and a 0-3 defeat to Atalanta. The draw at 3.1 could well offer value, especially as both teams have already shared the points several times this season and are in a phase where safety takes precedence over spectacle.

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