Juventus welcomes Atalanta at a time when both teams are searching for their identity under new coaches. The Bianconeri sit in second place with 10 points, but recent losses in Verona and against Borussia Dortmund raise questions about defensive stability under Igor Tudor. Atalanta travel from fifth place with eight points, still reeling from their 4-0 debacle against PSG but buoyed by a convincing 3-0 win at Torino.
Lookman’s return after his transfer drama continues to be a talking point for the Bergamaschi, while both coaches have to do without key players. Tudor is missing Milik in attack, while Juric has to cope without the injured Scalvini and possibly without De Ketelaere.
The interesting thing is that The last league clash in March ended in a crushing 4-0 win for Atalanta at the Allianz Stadium, a humiliation that Tudor has certainly not forgotten. The statistics show an interesting pattern in the head-to-head matches: while the first halves are usually uneventful, the games regularly explode after the break.
- Venue: Allianz Stadium, Turin
- Date and time: 09/27/2025, 6:00 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 5)
Juventus form & record check
The Bianconeri are in a period of transition under Igor Tudor. After a promising start to the season with three consecutive wins, Juventus have drawn their last two games, revealing structural problems. The goalless draw against Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League and the 1-1 draw in Verona show that the defense is no longer as stable as it used to be.
Statistically speaking, the offense is quite productive. The Turin side has scored in all five league games, but against Verona it became clear that Tudor is still searching for the ideal lineup. Vlahović, Conceição, and the other attackers showed promise, but the necessary punch was lacking for long stretches. Conceição’s early goal could not hide the lack of efficiency.
Defensively, the current form is a cause for concern. Bremer alone cannot stabilize the defense, and the goals conceded are piling up. They conceded four goals against Dortmund, and in Verona, an unfortunate handball penalty led to the equalizer. Statistics show that Juventus were level at halftime in 80% of their last five games, which suggests they are struggling to get going.
Nevertheless, with ten points after four matchdays, the Old Lady is still in a good position. They are only two points behind leaders Napoli, while they are one point ahead of second-placed Milan. Tudor will have to prove against Atalanta that his team has overcome its recent setbacks.
Juventus are likely to start with the tried-and-tested 3-4-2-1 formation that Tudor has favored in recent weeks. Di Gregorio will be in goal, with a back three of Kalulu, Gatti, and Kelly in front of him. João Mário and Cambiaso are expected to occupy the wing positions, while Locatelli and Thuram could provide stability in the center.
In attack, I expect Conceição and Yıldız to play behind striker Vlahović. After recent problems in defense and attack, Tudor could make changes. Miretti is still out with a thigh injury, and Milik is also unavailable. That could give McKennie or Koopmeiners a chance if the coach wants to adjust the system.
Atalanta Form & Record Check
Atalanta Bergamo are in 5th place in the table after four league games with eight points, level on points with Cremonese in 6th. They are just one point behind Roma, but two points behind Juventus in second place.
The recent Serie A match at Torino was a typical Atalanta performance. A dominant 3-0 win with three goals in the first half quickly made up for the defeat against PSG in the Champions League. Krstović with a brace and Sulemana had already made the result clear by half-time.
However, this performance stands in stark contrast to the 4-0 debacle against Paris Saint-Germain just four days earlier. In the first Champions League match of the new league phase, Dea was completely off their game and received a real lesson. Defensively, they seemed overwhelmed, and offensively, little stuck.
The personnel problems continue to worsen. Scalvini is out with an adductor injury after getting injured in Paris after only ten minutes. With Kolasinac and Bakker, two important defensive players are out long-term, while Éderson is sorely missed in midfield.
Lookman’s return has been the subject of much discussion recently. After weeks of wrangling over his future, the Nigerian is back in the squad, even though some fans have made their displeasure at his behavior clear. His substitution in Turin was a first step back to normality.
Atalanta are likely to line up in their usual 3-4-2-1 formation, which coach Ivan Juric prefers. However, the team is missing some key players: Éderson is still out with a meniscus injury, while Giorgio Scalvini is out for about three weeks after suffering an adductor injury in the PSG game.
In defense, Juric could rely on the trio of Kossounou, Hien, and Djimsiti. Lookman’s return after his reintegration into the squad will be particularly exciting, as the Nigerian has been sidelined for weeks. De Ketelaere, on the other hand, is still struggling with a minor groin problem and could possibly be rested. Krstović, who recently shone with a brace in the 3-0 win in Turin, has established himself as a reliable striker.
H2H Juventus – Atalanta Head-to-head comparison & statistics
The head-to-head record between Juventus and Atalanta shows a balanced picture in the last five encounters. Both teams have won two games each, with one draw. Interestingly, the wins are distributed according to the venue.
The most recent meeting took place in August 2025 in a friendly match, which Juventus won 2-1 away. Prior to that, Atalanta had caused a stir in March 2025 with an impressive 4-0 home win against the Old Lady. This result was particularly striking after the two teams had previously played out a 1-1 draw in January 2025.
A remarkable pattern emerges from the course of the previous encounters. All five games started cautiously, with no more than one and a half goals scored in the first half. After the break, the pace usually picked up, with at least two goals scored in the second half in four of the five encounters.
Juventus has scored at least once in each of the last three direct encounters, but has also conceded goals on a regular basis. Atalanta has also been accurate in front of goal, making particular use of the second half for their offensive actions. The Bergamaschi have scored at least one goal after the break in four of the five games.
The “both teams to score” tip at odds of 1.9 seems particularly attractive considering that Juventus has a 100% scoring rate this season, while at the same time Tudor’s defense has become considerably more vulnerable. The eight goals conceded in the last two competitive games speak for themselves.
Atalanta benefits from the expected return of De Ketelaere, but loses an important organizer in defense in Scalvini. Interestingly, the betting market estimates the probability of both teams scoring as more moderate than recent form would suggest.
The over 2.5 goals bet at 2.02 is based on clear data: Four of Juventus’ last five games have exceeded this mark, while Atalanta proved after their 3-0 win in Turin against Torino that they can also be explosive away from home. The combination of Juve’s offensive power through Vlahović and Yıldız and Juric’s philosophy of compensating for defensive weaknesses with even more offense makes a high-scoring game likely.
The boldest tip remains an away win at 3.9, which goes against the market assessment that sees Juventus as the clear favorite, but possibly underestimates the fatigue after the 4-3 spectacle against Inter.
