Milan vs Atalanta – betting tip, prediction & odds Serie A 20.04.2025

Home » Milan vs Atalanta – betting tip, prediction & odds Serie A 20.04.2025

AC Milan – Atalanta Bergamo

Ten points separate Milan from Atalanta – a gap that hangs over the Rossoneri like a sword of Damocles in the season finale. When the lights come on at San Siro on Sunday evening, one thing is clear: only a win will keep the door to Europe open. The first leg was lost 1-2, and Milan have only won once in their last five direct encounters, with the score often level at half-time. After the 4-0 win in Udine, Conceiçãos’ 3-4-3 formation seems to be working offensively, while Atalanta is using the 2-0 win against Bologna as a boost – albeit without the injured Kolasinac. Lots of excitement, hardly any safety net.

Milan – Atalanta info

  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
  • Date and time: 20.04.2025, 8:45 p.m.
  • Competition: Serie A (matchday 33)

Milan form & record

Milan have been inconsistent in their last five competitive games: two wins, two draws, and a 1-2 defeat in Naples. Remarkably, the Rossoneri have always scored, mostly after the break, but have conceded goals in four of their last five games. The 3-4-3 formation gives Leão, Pulišić and Reijnders more freedom, but the back three looks vulnerable, especially if Maignan is still out with a head injury and Sportiello has to step in. With 51 points and ninth in the table, every slip-up is now costly.

Conceiçao is likely to stick with the 3-4-3 formation: Sportiello – Pavlović, Gabbia, Tomori – Hernández, Reijnders, Fofana, Florenzi – Pulišić, Jović, Leão. Walker (broken arm) and Loftus-Cheek (appendectomy) are still out, while Maignan is doubtful. The back three has recently reduced gaps in transition, with Leão benefiting most from his greater freedom in attack.

Atalanta form & record check

Atalanta is currently living by the motto “all or nothing”: two wins and three defeats in their last five league games, with no draws. Striking: in four of these games, the total number of goals scored was less than 2.5, because Gasperini’s team is playing in a more controlled manner. The 2-0 win against Bologna ended a home slump; Retegui is emerging as a key player, while De Ketelaere is struggling and Kolasinac is out for the long term. Bergamo has a slight lead in the battle for the Champions League, but any slip-up could allow Juventus to overtake them again.

Gasperini is also likely to stick with a 3-4-3 formation: Carnesecchi – Djimsiti, Hien, Kossounou – Zappacosta, de Roon, Éderson, Bellanova – Lookman, Retegui, Pašalić. Kolasinac, Scalvini, Scamacca, Palestra and De Ketelaere (doubtful) will all be missing. Early pressing remains important, as it rewarded Atalanta with chances against Bologna after just a few minutes.

Milan – Atalanta Head-to-head & Statistics

The last five head-to-head matches have gone Atalanta’s way: three wins, one draw, and one victory for Milan. There have always been plenty of goals – never fewer than two, often before half-time on both sides. Milan have scored in all five encounters, but have also conceded at least one goal each time. Offensive determination meets defensive wobbles – a trend that could continue on Sunday.

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