Basketball Olympics, semi-finals, Friday, 09.08.2024
My USA-Australia betting tip is not based on any sensations or “clickbait”. Because there simply doesn’t seem to be a nation on this planet that can hold a candle to the WNBA pros from North America over the full distance.
However, they have already given away many a first quarter at this Olympic tournament. In view of the USA Australia odds and the abilities of the ladies from Down-Under, this fact tempts me to make a special bet of a very special kind:
You want to hear a good reason for my USA Australia tip right at the start?
Diana Taurasi is aiming to win gold with the US team in Paris 2024 in 5-on-5 mode after winning in 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016 and 2020.
Incredibly, the 42-year-old Taurasi was too young to have been on the floor at the start of this run of success, as it began before the turn of the millennium.
Overall, the United States could win gold for the eighth time in a row
The American women have played like the best team in the world so far at the 2024 Olympic Games in Paris, winning their three group games by an average margin of 19.3 points.
In the quarter-finals, things got a little tighter for the first time, as the Nigerians were the toughest opponent to date with a difference of “only” 14 points.
However, it is also true that the USA deliberately slowed down the pace in the final period when they had a very comfortable 28-point lead.
For this very reason, I would not recommend using the handy Bet365 app to place a high handicap bet on the top favorite.
The risk is simply too great that the USA will lose their appetite at some point and start to conserve their strength for the final.
Now let’s move on to the USA’s opponents! Interestingly, Australia lost their only game at this Olympiad against Nigeria at the very beginning with 62:75.
This was followed by victories over Canada (70:65) and France (79:72), which initially secured their place in the quarter-finals.
In the last eight, it was then Serbia who had to bow to the immense pressure of the women from Down Under with 67:85.
The question now, of course, is how well the Australians will perform against the “basketball goliath” in women’s basketball
At the last Olympics three years ago, the USA were able to eliminate the Australians from the race for the medals in the quarter-finals with a difference of 24 points.
The USA squad is very experienced; no player is under the age of 26 and so far no team has managed to put this dream team under serious pressure.
The Australians are therefore unlikely to win, but I’ve identified a betting offer based on the USA’s playing tendencies so far that you should take a closer look at
If you build up pressure early, the Americans can be caught off guard in the first period.
Despite their dominance, which mostly came to the fore in the middle period, the USA only managed to win the first quarter twice at this tournament (1 draw, 1 defeat).
In their group game against the USA, for example, the German women even led for a while after the first quarter, which clearly surprised the sports commentator
For my part, I will use the Bet365 offer code as an opportunity to take full risk on my USA Australia bet. The payout is worth taking that gamble too.
Because if the Australians win the first half of the match, the bookmaker giant in question will offer great odds of around 4.10.
It may be that the USA will still come out on top, but if you put this payout in relation to the risk, then this is a betting offer that you simply can’t afford to miss.
Conclusion: The bookmakers are once again sending the US women into the race with symbolic odds of around 1.01 to win.
If they tilt the game in their favor early on, Australia can be expected to reduce the deficit to under 20 points in crunch time, as they did against Nigeria.
Meanwhile, given the fantastic USA Australia odds and the slight tendency of the top favorites to oversleep the start of the game, I expect a small surprise after the first 10 minutes of the game …
My USA Australia tip? AUS leads after the first quarter