Canadian Grand Prix in Montreal, Sunday, 09.06.2024
Is the dominance finally over? In my eyes, Max Verstappen’s time of serial victories is over. Yes, Monaco and Miami are not Red Bull’s flagship tracks, but there are still several more of this type of circuit on the racing calendar.
In addition, Ferrari and McLaren in particular have made up a lot of ground with the updates, while the world champion team is literally treading water. It could be another difficult weekend for Verstappen in Montreal. The Ile Notre-Dame also has some tough kerb crossings, which is a thorn in the side of the RB20
Red Bull has not won three races this year. Of the last three races, there was only one Verstappen victory, in Imola, a mammoth task for the star driver from Holland. McLaren in particular has been consistently at the front on all circuits since the Miami update, and Norris is one of the best drivers.
The orange racer is also likely to be well on the tarmac again in Canada, so I frown in amazement that Norris has been given useful 1.57 odds for a top 3 finish at Bwin, definitely a hot bet and my Formula 1 Canada GP tip
A lot has happened away from the track in Formula 1 in the last two weeks. Esteban Ocon will leave Alpine after the season, Mick Schumacher is lurking for a comeback, Sergio Perez has extended his contract with Red Bull and rumors of a Verstappen switch to Mercedes are intensifying.
Whether the superstar really will leave will become clear in the coming weeks or months. A lot will depend on the track performance of Red Bull and the Silver Arrows.
In Canada, Verstappen is still the favorite, but the odds show that the coffee runs for 25 points are over. At Happybet, one of the best betting providers for the upcoming European Championship in Germany, there is a 1.55 for Verstappen to win. Leclerc (4.50) and Norris (6.50) follow.
A single bet on Leclerc and Norris could pay off given the still high odds of the drivers who have closed in on Verstappen. Their respective teammates Perez, Carlos Sainz and Oscar Piastri have been weaker than their teammates in terms of race pace recently
It could be quite a turbulent race weekend overall. As a good alternative to the Leclerc and Norris single bet victory variant, Bwin offers 2.50 odds that no Red Bull will win the World Championship race. If Verstappen’s RB20 is not enough to win, then Perez certainly won’t.
The Mexican is once again clearly outperforming Verstappen in 2024. The weather could also provide action. Rain is forecast for all days. Admittedly, the three-time world champion is one of or perhaps the best driver in the rain. However, if the vehicle is a bitch, even the superstar can’t pull out any trees
And Red Bull always has problems, especially on practice Fridays when the set-up is usually still not right. Verstappen keeps complaining on the radio about the drivability. And on paper, Canada is not predestined for the RB20 either.
Regardless of whether the rain sets in for the race or not, the probability of a safety car is high. Despite its narrowness, the circuit always offers scope for exciting duels. At the same time, track barriers are always waiting at the end of the kerbs and mistakes are punished dearly
Interwetten has 1.53 odds for a safety car deployment, 1.60 for the virtual one, which is used if no serious crash affects the race. The over/under safety car phase option is also very practical at Interwetten, which also offers a first-class European Championship bonus.
If Bernd Mayländer has to race twice, this can be accompanied by 3.45 odds. Another good option is the odds for under 18.5 drivers at the finish. Although only 1.30 odds beckon, two retirements are very likely. Bet365 offers even more lines in this market. Under 17.5 pilots stand at 1.87.
The last 5 races at the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve:
For those who don’t want to hope for accidents but for the performance of individual drivers and teams, here is another possibility. Both Aston Martins in the points? No, 1.57 odds to fall in love with.
After all, the British racing team is in reverse gear. Lance Stroll in particular, who will be contesting his home race in Montreal, is stumbling. Red Bull, Mercedes, McLaren and Ferrari are currently out of reach.
It is also unlikely that Alonso and Stroll will at least be able to finish ninth and tenth due to the resurgence of the midfield teams around Haas and Alpha Tauri, Alpine
Not only do we have a suitable betting tip for every race in Formula 1, we also provide you with a complete package for the European Championship, from analyses and predictions to thoroughly researched betting odds.
The opening match between Germany and Scotland is just five days after the World Cup in Canada, but first I’ll tell you in the conclusion which bets are suitable for the classic on the Ile Notre Dame
Conclusion: Verstappen and Red Bull are wobbling. McLaren are proving to be extremely consistent at the moment. In Norris, the team also has a consistent driver who has tasted blood after his first GP success in Miami. Canada should also suit the traditional racing team.
I also see Ferrari as being close, but ultimately Norris should make the difference against a somewhat stumbling Sainz to jump into the top 3. In any case, the Briton’s car should be stronger than the red goddess. Norris was also Verstappen’s worst rival on the two more ordinary circuits.
My Formula 1 Canada GP tip is therefore: Norris in the top 3
