Miami Masters, quarter-finals, Friday, 29.03.2024
Carlos Alcaraz is in full swing. He stormed to the title defense in Indian Wells after dropping just two sets in the entire tournament. After his first three rounds in Miami, no opponent has been able to take a set off him either.
Will Grigor Dimitrov now succeed? The Bulgarian has already made two comebacks in Florida, most recently against Hubert Hurkacz. He had a much tougher time than Alcaraz, who leads 3:1 in the direct duel.
Also because he always won smoothly against Dimitrov, I opt for the 2:0 for Alcaraz in my Alcaraz Dimitrov betting tip at NEObet.
In this form he is hard to beat. Alcaraz makes an impressive comeback after a rather mediocre Australian Open and an ankle sprain. Background: In Rio, the Spaniard had to retire in the first round due to injury.
He had previously failed to reach the quarter-finals in Melbourne and the semi-finals in Buenos Aires. The two weeks of rest did the number two player in the world good. At the first Masters of the year, he drove the competition to despair.
After initial difficulties against Matteo Arnaldi in the first match, only Jannik Sinner was able to take a set off him in the semi-finals. In the end, however, the South Tyrolean lost to Alcaraz, his first defeat in 2024
The successful title defense has spurred the 20-year-old on. His opponents from Miami were also overrun in no time at all. A 6-2, 6-1 against Roberto Carballes Baena was followed by a 6-2, 6-4 against Gael Monfils and 6-3, 6-3 against Lorenzo Musetti.
Now Dimitrov stands in his way. In my opinion, the 1.24 for the Alcaraz win is set too high and belongs on sports betting enthusiasts’ combination tickets on Thursday. In addition, the odds are tax-free, like all bets at NEObet.
A huge advantage at NEObet, new customers are also welcomed with a whopping 200 percent bonus. One of the best sports betting apps is also available for relaxed betting on the couch or on the go:
As a single bet, the 1.24 for Alcaraz to win is a little too low for me personally, so instead I’m going for the next outright 2:0 win for the favorite. Unfortunately, the odds slipped from 1.74 to 1.52, but this is still enough to convert the bonus. The minimum odds requirement of 1.50 is extremely low compared to other betting providers anyway.
Dimitrov has had a much harder time in Miami so far. Against Alejandro Tabilo in round one and Hubert Hurkacz in the round of 16, he had to chase a set deficit. He only managed a quick breakthrough against Yannick Hanfmann from Karlsruhe, whom he only allowed to win one game.
However, all three of his opponents so far are no match for Alcaraz in his return game, who will present him with completely different tasks. The Miami doubles champion already has 13 successful breaks after three matches
Musetti and Monfils only had the pleasure of taking a service game from the high-flyer once. Dimitrov knows how difficult it is against an Alcaraz in strong form. He lost outright in his first three duels and didn’t even make it into the tie-break.
The surface didn’t play a role. Alcaraz has beaten him once indoors, on the red clay of Madrid and at the Queens Club on grass. But in the last match in Shanghai, Dimitrov came out on top.
Definitely an exclamation mark. However, the world number two struggled in the final months of 2023, scattering an unusually high number of errors in the rallies. No comparison to the current Alcaraz, who has now won nine matches in a row
My Alcaraz Dimitrov tip
Alcaraz is currently rolling over one opponent after the other. He hasn’t lost a set in Miami yet and has even managed to avoid a tiebreak. Dimitrov, on the other hand, has had more complicated matches.
He is likely to have some problems in his service games against the young Spaniard, who has already earned 13 breaks in his first three matches despite the rather fast conditions.
In top form, he has already beaten Dimitrov three times, each time without losing a set, which is also the perfect odds for their fifth meeting.
My Alcaraz Dimitrov tip: Alcaraz wins 2:0
