Freiburg – Wolfsburg Tip, Prediction & Odds – 19/05/2023 Bundesliga

Home » Freiburg – Wolfsburg Tip, Prediction & Odds – 19/05/2023 Bundesliga

SC Freiburg – VfL Wolfsburg

The last match of the season will be played on Friday evening in the Bundesliga. And the first duel on the 33rd matchday really has it all. SC Freiburg will welcome their neighbours from Wolfsburg. For both teams, European places are still at stake and whether the Wolves will also be successful in Freiburg, you can find out in our Freiburg vs Wolfsburg tip.

The hosts from Breisgau are desperate to win the last two games in order to have at least a small chance of qualifying for the Champions League. However, after the recent defeats against Leipzig and Union, SCF will enter the final two matchdays three points behind the top 4.

The good thing from Freiburg’s point of view, however, is that SCF can no longer be knocked out of fifth place. The Breisgauers are already seven points ahead of sixth place. As luck would have it, this place is held by the upcoming opponents from Wolfsburg. The Wolves will do their utmost to defend this place on the last two match days. Should Frankfurt not win the DFB Cup final, this sixth place would even entitle them to participate in the Europa League. The current form definitely speaks in favour of the Lower Saxons, as VfL won three of their last four games.

Freiburg – Wolfsburg info:

  • Date & Time: 19.05.2023, 20:30 hrs.
  • Game venue: Europa-Park Stadium, Freiburg
  • Competition: Bundesliga, 33. matchday
  • TV broadcast: DAZN

Freiburg Form & Balance Check

Freiburg are playing another formidable season this term. The Breisgauer already have the fifth place in the Bundesliga in the bag and also in the Europa League the Breisgauer entered the round of 16 and thus showed that they can keep up with the European competition. In the last few weeks, however, the SCF squandered an even better season.

Coach Christian Streich’s team was among the best four teams in the Bundesliga for a long time. However, the Breisgau side recently lost to Leipzig and Union Berlin in the league and slipped down to fifth place. And in the DFB Cup, the Breisgauer also recently failed to reach the semi-finals against RB Leipzig and thus missed the second cup final in a row.

Petersen says goodbye!

Nils Petersen, who is currently on his farewell tour in the Bundesliga, will end his active career after this season. So this coming Friday, Freiburg’s number 18 will play in front of his home crowd for the last time.

The Wernigerode native has been active for SC Freiburg since 2015 and is particularly known for his role as an extremely effective substitute. With 33 goals as a wild card, he still holds the record in the Bundesliga. So far this season, however, the attacker has not managed to score a goal.

Freiburg facts & analysis
  • Fifth in the Bundesliga table
  • Three competitive defeats in a row
  • First three home defeats in the league

Wolfsburg form & balance check

For a long time, it didn’t look like VfL Wolfsburg would be active at international level next season. For the first 31 match days, VfL never finished among the top six teams in the Bundesliga. But the 2-1 win against Hoffenheim the previous week then catapulted the Wolves into the safe international places for the first time.

Wolfsburg seem to be reaching their top form just in time. The Wolves won three of their last four Bundesliga games and thus climbed from ninth to sixth place at this point. Before the last two games, however, the Lower Saxons have only a razor-thin lead over the competition. Leverkusen are currently level on points with the Lower Saxons and only have a goal difference that is one goal worse.

Suddenly a three-man backline

For almost the entire season, VfL Wolfsburg operated with a back four under coach Niko Kovac. For three games now, however, the three-man backline has been set at VfL. This is particularly surprising as the Wolves currently only have two trained centre-backs at their disposal, Micky van de Ven and Sebastiaan Bornauw.

The third position in central defence is currently occupied by Josuha Guilavogui. The 32-year-old is doing a solid job and brings a lot of experience with him. Maximilian Arnold, who occupies the central midfield position, is also extremely important for the system.

Wolfsburg facts & analysis
  • Three wins in the last four games.
  • Sixth in the Bundesliga
  • In tenth place in the second round table

Predicted line-up – last update on 17 May 2023

Although SCF have often operated with a three-man backline recently, we expect the Breisgauer to play in a 4-4-2 again on Friday. It will be the last game in front of a home crowd for long-time Freiburg striker Nils Petersen. Therefore, we expect the 34-year-old to be in the starting eleven against Wolfsburg.

On the other side, we expect VfL Wolfsburg to play in a 3-1-4-2 again, with Luca Waldschmidt’s goal the previous week earning him a starting berth against his former club. Lacroix, Otávio and Lukas Nmecha are still injured for the Wolves.

Freiburg – Wolfsburg direct comparison & Statistics

Freiburg will not have good memories of the Wolves. The SCF lost their first competitive match in 2023 against the Lower Saxons clearly with 0:6. The VfL also has a positive record against the Sport-Club in other respects. Wolfsburg have won 16 of the 41 direct duels, while SCF have only won 14 games.

  • Both teams are separated by seven points in the league.
  • Wolfsburg’s last win at Freiburg was on 07/04/2018.
  • When Freiburg lead 1-0 in home games, they win 77% of them
  • Did you know that Wolfsburg score 28% of their goals between the 76-90 minute?
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