ATP Finals in Turin, Group Stage, Monday, 11/11/2024, 8:30 p.m.
Two-time ATP Finals champion Alexander Zverev gets under way in Turin on Monday. He has already triumphed at the tournament of the best players of the season in 2018 and 2021, and he is also one of the favorites in 2024.
Especially after his Masters success in Paris a few days ago. In the final, he played one of his best matches, and his weak point, the inconsistent forehand, was a dangerous weapon against Ugo Humbert.
This year it was not enough for a Grand Slam, nor for an Olympic medal, but in Turin he could still win big! I see him in this condition clearly in my Zverev Rublev tip and go for the victory in the first set and match at Bet365.
Zverev and Rublev have already fought many battles on the world’s tennis courts. Off the court, the two 27-year-olds, who regularly met each other in junior categories, are friends. The eleventh professional duel is scheduled for Monday!
The current world number two leads narrowly with 6-4. The last time they faced each other was in last year’s ATP Finals. Zverev won the last group match 6-4, 6-4, but like Rublev, he was eliminated at the end. Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz advanced to the knockout phase.
Alcaraz will be part of this group again in 2024. With Casper Ruud as the fourth player, I think Zverev has a very good chance of progressing.
In any case, the German is in much better shape than he was at this point last year, at least technically. Physically, he has been affected by pneumonia and its consequences.
Nevertheless, he has not given up on the tennis year. I am even convinced that the mindset of being handicapped, no longer fresh, but still trying to go through the year without great expectations, helped him on his way to winning the title in Paris. It took the pressure off.
In an interview with Sky, he revealed that he could be found on the Maldives immediately after the finals. A well-deserved vacation after a record season. He won 66 matches, more than ever before in a season.
He has also reached a new high in the world rankings, coming in second. Only high-flyer Sinner is ranked well ahead of the man who is still waiting for his first major title.
But before that, he is going on the offensive again in Turin. After the strong tournament in Paris, the betting providers see him in the lead. Winamax gives the Hamburg-born player 1.30, Rublev 3.60. By the way, free bet credits of 115 euros await you there! You can also follow the games live there via the stream.
As I look at the odds here, after 271 bets have been placed in the betting market, there is a clear opinion: everyone has gone for the Zverev odds at Winamax, not a single person has bet on Rublev.
To bet against Zverev in Paris would be negligent. If he maintains his level, the Russian will go under. Zverev played aggressively, had a good touch with his forehand and, needless to say, his service games were good.
He has only lost two service games in five matches at the Masters. Only Arthur Fils was able to steal a set from him. However, Zverev’s recent dominance should not be the only reason for the community to take the German’s odds with such conviction.
It also depends on Rublev’s current form. After the final in Montreal, he was hardly able to attract attention, but still reached the quarterfinals in Cincinnati and Beijing. At the last two Masters, however, he suffered a defeat at the start.
He is very vulnerable to good returners on his second serve, but he doesn’t have the odds of a Zverev on his first serve either. In addition, he is often said to play too one-dimensionally. In fact, he doesn’t like to move away from the baseline.
That was also Zverev’s problem for a long time, as he seemed overwhelmed at the net for many years, and even now he doesn’t always execute his attacks perfectly. Overall, however, he has developed his game much better than Rublev.
Service, return, variability and then there is the point mentality, where I see an advantage for the German. Rublev is known for his outbursts of rage, in the last finals he even beat his left leg bloody with frustration.
My Zverev Rublev Tip
Zverev is really turning up the heat towards the end of the season, even though he was supposed to be drained after the long season and the pneumonia. In any case, technically he is currently playing his best tennis, and his forehand in particular is a joy to behold.
After his triumph in Paris, I definitely believe he can beat his buddy Rublev at the start of the ATP Finals.
His Russian opponent will occasionally cause him to falter with his forehand whip, but ultimately the German serves more consistently, has the necessary aggressiveness himself and showed strong returns in Paris.
Rublev, who didn’t look good at the last major tournaments and was already beaten in two sets by Zverev in Turin last year, is likely to have a tough time again this time.
Be sure to keep an eye on our odds boost overview for this match. Betano, for example, often has increased odds for victory!
My Zverev Rublev tip: Set 1 & Match Zverev.
