Wimbledon, round of 16, Sunday, 07.07.2024, 15:30
Jannik Sinner dropped a set against Yannick Hanfmann and compatriot Matteo Berrettini, but then kept his slate clean in the third round match against Miomir Kecmanovic. The South Tyrolean is on fire in 2024 and confirmed his form on grass as well.
He won his first title in Halle and is now heading for his ninth win in his ninth match in the round of 16 at Wimbledon. I believe he can win against the hard court specialist. However, one or two rounds should take a little longer.
That’s why in my Sinner Shelton betting tip I’m going for the “Sinner win and over 0.5 tiebreaks” with the Bet365 configurator! After the set win for Berrettini and the 3:0 bet against Kecmanovic, I’m aiming for my third goal in a row in a Sinner match!
Alcaraz, Sinner or Djokovic, who will win the 2024 Wimbledon title? This trio was already considered a real threat at the French Open and is also clearly ahead in London in terms of odds with the best betting providers.
Sinner has impressed me the most of the three stars so far, with a relaxed win against Hanfmann, a strong performance with mental strength against Berrettini, who played with confidence on grass and reached the Wimbledon final in 2021, and a demonstration of power against Kecmanovic.
Shelton is likely to make life more difficult for him in the round of 16. Especially in the service games, he hardly allows anything, a completely different house number to Kecmanovic, who was only able to hit two aces and had to concede two thirds of the points to Sinner on the second service
However, the odds also speak for themselves against Shelton. Sinner is assigned a 1.05 by Bet365, Shelton a 12.0. The win odds are more lucrative in combination with at least one tiebreak in the match. Then a 1.63 awaits.
That’s my combination for this match. I think the smooth 3:0 I gave you against Kecmanovic is at risk this time. If Shelton serves one run perfectly, one run is quickly lost.
Shelton is a very different type of player to Kecmanovic. The US-American is not as agile on the court, but has wit and an outstanding forehand in addition to dangerous serves.
By the way: A big advantage at Bet365, a betting provider without tax, is the livestream feature. All Wimbledon matches are broadcast by the betting provider!
Shelton has already made a name for himself on hard court, playing Djokovic in the semi-finals of the US Open last year. He played on grass for the first time in 2023, finishing the season with two wins and three losses.
Before Wimbledon, he started with two opening defeats in Stuttgart and London and also lost early on Mallorca. He only managed to beat Rinky Hijikata on the popular vacation island. At Wimbledon, he fought his way more and more into the tournament.
He had to play over five sets three times, Mattia Bellucci, Lloyd Harris and Denis Shapovalov all started the match with a lead, but none of them were able to overcome it. 15 sets in the last few days, that’s a lot!
Specially as Shelton had to serve on Saturday because the rain slowed down the match on Friday, while his opponent Sinner was able to buy his ticket comfortably on Center Court with a roof over his head and had time to recover on Saturday.
Sinner leads the direct duel 2:1 and has won the last two matches without losing a set. Each time a tiebreak was played, which puts the tiebreak odds in a better light. Especially as Shelton hardly allowed a break despite the many runs and service games.
Shapovalov and Harris were each only able to take one service game from him, which makes it clear once again that Sinner faces a big task in the return game.
Against strong servers, a tie-break is therefore easy to come by; against Berrettini, for example, it was three. In the Halle final against Hubert Hurkacz it also went to two tiebreaks, just like against Struff, who is one of the top servers in the tennis world
My Sinner Shelton tip
Good servers, grass and Sinner, this mixture always offers potential for a tiebreak. In Halle, the world number one played one in every match, and three against Berrettini in the second round of Wimbledon.
In 2024, he has 41 wins from 44 matches played and has been able to raise his level of play once again since last fall. He has won the last two duels against Shelton outright.
Despite his young age of 22, he has considerably more experience on grass. In general, Sinner is the more mature player who makes fewer mistakes. For me, he is the heavy favorite, but he is likely to pay tribute to his strong serve over some phases.
Therefore, my Sinner Shelton tip is: Sinner & tiebreak in the match
