US Open, semi-final, Saturday, 07.09.2024, 01:00
Summit meeting at the US Open. Or is the term overstated? After all, Jack Draper has won just one 250 tournament in his young career and the bookmakers don’t give him much of a chance.
However, the Brit has not dropped a single set in the entire tournament and has not even had to go into a tie-break. In terms of numbers alone, he has been the best player in the tournament so far. A real opponent for Sinner!
Against the number one in the world, a Grand Slam semi-final, the biggest tennis stadium in the world, a 22-year-old has to keep his cool. But Draper hardly shows much emotion, just like Sinner.
I wouldn’t put it past him to win a few close sets or even one or two. That’s why I think Tipwin’s “Over 33.5 games” odds are the best bet for my Sinner Draper tip
Admittedly, the odds on first serves could be better, but that is one of the few values that stand out negatively with Draper.
Due to the rather high risk on the first serve, he also grabs a lot of free points when the ball lands in the targeted diagonal small court.
Over the entire tournament, he only lost three service games in 15 sets, an absolute top figure, which equates to 0.2 breaks per set. Top 10 player Alex De Minaur managed two, but he also felt Draper’s return qualities, conceding six out of 20 break points.
There have been 29 in the entire tournament so far. Astonishing numbers, even if the level of the opponents was limited
De Minaur was the only heavyweight on his way to the last four. Before that, he had to deal with an ailing Zhizhen Zhang, a clay court specialist, Facunoda Diaz Acosta, Botic van de Zandschulp and Tomas Machac.
The smooth 3:0 against De Minaur came as something of a surprise despite his flawless record. After all, the Australian is a completely different player. Can the next coup against Sinner now be achieved?
Betano gives Sinner odds of 1.17, Draper stands at 5.20. Keep an eye on the odds here. Betano likes to serve up increased odds in the match outcome market, so-called super odds, if you want to place a player bet.
By the way, at Betano you get a 20 euro free bet without a deposit, part of the all-round perfect sports betting bonus package
If I still had mine, I’d play Draper’s “-1.5 set handicap” win bet at 6.70 without the risk of losing. Maybe I’d also go for the 3:0 at an even higher 22.0 given the perfect US Open stats.
In terms of real money and bonus money bets, however, I favor odds between 1.50 and 2.00 with a high probability of occurrence. Not only the best tennis players in the world strive for as many winners as possible.
That’s why I switch to an over bet from Tipwin. There are 1.65 odds for the “Over 33.5” line, and Tipwin’s odds are free of betting tax, by the way, which means you get five percent more profit.
An alternative at Winamax is the “Over 3.5 sets” bet. However, I would like to hedge my bets for a 7-6, 7-6, 6-4 or 7-5, 7-5, 6-4, for example, i.e. a three-set match.
We also had long sets in the only meeting so far between Sinner and Draper, who incidentally is currently ranked 25th in the world. In the Queens Club, the score in the first round was 7-6, 7-6.
Sinner only played out a double tie-break against Tommy Paul in the round of 16 and in Cincinnati there were also three throughout the tournament.
If you like the odds to be at least a little higher, you could also combine the tiebreak with over 3.5 sets using the betting configurator at Bet365. There and at Winamax you can also watch the matches in the livestream.
As you can see, our betting providers have a lot to offer when it comes to tennis! Each site has its strengths
My Sinner Draper tip
Sinner is seeded number one, but had a more complicated path to the semi-finals than Draper. In the end, however, he held his own brilliantly against Medvedev, Paul and co. and can add to his mega hard court statistics in 2024.
Now the man who hasn’t lost a set in the entire tournament and has won the only direct duel awaits. He is facing the most important match of his career so far, is in the form of his life and has only lost three service games in New York.
Sinner came through confidently overall, but occasionally had a few weak phases. Draper’s aggressive style of play could prove to be his undoing, and not just for a brief moment.
My Sinner Draper tip: Over 33.5 games
