Wimbledon, quarter-finals, Tuesday, 08.07.2025, 14:30
History is being made once again in women’s tennis – and this time it’s a German player who is causing a sensation! Laura Siegemund is rocking Wimbledon, having sensationally played her way into the quarterfinals without losing a single set.
Is a match against the world number one, the best player in the world, a reward or a punishment? One thing I am certain of is that the Swabian will leave her heart on the court on Tuesday in the biggest match of her career.
She had to wait until she was 37 years old for her great success, but it was worth the wait. What does she have to do in the quarterfinals? Quite simply, go “all in.” That’s exactly what I’m doing in my current Sabalenka Siegemund tip, and I’ll tell you why I think the underdog can win a set!
Can Laura Siegemund even comprehend what is happening to her in London these days? Admittedly, she knows the feeling of great victories in doubles very well, having been among the best here for some time now.
In singles competition, however, the tournaments are usually over very quickly for the 37-year-old. Nottingham and Bad Homburg, the two Wimbledon warm-up tournaments, ended without a win in the main draw.
And suddenly, this very same Laura Siegemund shows up at Wimbledon and celebrates victory after victory. Her journey began with a 6-4, 6-2 win over Peyton Stearns, followed by a 6-2, 6-3 victory over Leylah Fernandez, which was particularly surprising given how clear-cut it was.
Slow down? Not Siegemund, who swept Madison Keys off the court 6-3, 6-3 a few days later. And anyone who thought that after such a big win she might stumble against a much weaker opponent was mistaken.
Against Solana Sierra, the scoreboard showed 6-3, 6-2 at the end. Anyone who has been keeping count will notice that Siegemund has not even dropped a set, despite not even being in the top 100 in the world before the start of the tournament.
She conceded a total of four breaks, which is an excellent result for a player who is only 1.68 meters tall. In the round of 16, she had her serve almost perfectly under control, with 88% of her first serves successful.
Even against Keys, the figure was anything but bad at 72%. While she only converted five of 13 break points against the American, her conversion rate against Sierra (five out of eight) was significantly higher.
The 37-year-old made four double faults, proof that she has her nerves under control. I’m sure I don’t need to tell tennis experts that she has never played in the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam tournament in her career.
She has faced Aryna Sabalenka twice so far. She lost both matches in straight sets, but that was six years ago. And she has never played a match on fast grass.
If you take a look at our bookmakers offering tax-free betting, you will see that they show no mercy. Siegemund is considered a clear underdog, with odds averaging 10.0 to 1.05.
But while she can only win on Tuesday, Aryna Sabalenka risks losing everything. The world’s best player is the clear favorite to win the title, even though she lost the French Open final to Coco Gauff despite leading.
The transition to grass was a little bumpy shortly afterwards. In Queens, she beat Rebeka Masarova and Jelena Rybakina, but needed three tiebreaks to do so. She finally lost to Marketa Vondrousova in straight sets.
The Belarusian has not yet dropped a set at Wimbledon, BUT: Close results are the order of the day here too! While her 6-1, 7-5 victory over Carson Branstine in her opening match was clear-cut, it wasn’t long before the close results started coming.
7-6, 6-4 against Marie Bouzkova, 7-6, 6-4 against Emma Raducanu and 6-4, 7-6 against Elise Mertens – Sabalenka did not face any of the top players. Three times in a row, she achieved virtually the same result.
Against Mertens, the 27-year-old still served strongly, winning 84% of points on her first serve. In the second set, however, that figure didn’t even reach 40%.
At 1.82 meters tall, she is of course several centimeters taller than Laura Siegemund, 14 to be precise. But Sabalenka has yet to experience what it feels like to win a title at Wimbledon.
She has lost twice in the semi-finals recently. Although the quarter-finals don’t start until Tuesday, perhaps the absence of the coveted trophy on the hallowed turf will have a negative effect on the favourites?
My Sabalenka Siegemund tip
Both my German thumbs are crossed, how could it be otherwise? Laura Siegemund is floating on cloud nine in London, making the impossible possible. Anyone who is in such a flow knows that nothing is impossible.
Aryna Sabalenka is currently the best player in the world. BUT: After three very close victories, I don’t consider her unbeatable. That’s why I’ve decided to take a risk and predict:
Siegemund wins a set against Sabalenka!
