ATP Tournament in Houston, 1st Round, Tuesday, 05.04.2022
Indian Wells and Miami are history, now some top players in the men’s tournament extend their stay in the USA by the tournament in Houston. From the German point of view, we can fully concentrate on the only representative.
Will he manage to get through the first round? The bookmakers are extremely sceptical! And since he’s got an absolute hammer opponent, I also find only a few indications in my Gojowczyk Paul tip that speak in favour of the underdog!
Outliers on the up? You’ve been looking in vain for Peter Gojowczyk lately. Just over six months ago, the player from Munich surprised everyone by reaching the last 16 at the US Open, and then he almost beat Carlos Alcaraz as well.
The 32-year-old is far behind this form in 2022. He has only played one tournament in which he overcame the opening hurdle. In Acapulco, a quarter-final actually sounds very strong, but here he also benefited from Alexander Zverev’s disqualification.
In the following 0-6, 1-6 against Cameron Norrie, it became clear just how hopeless Gojowczyk is against top players. In Miami, he was not even allowed to compete with the best, because he failed right in the qualification.
His biggest problem is his risky serve, it is not uncommon for not even 50% to successfully find their way over the net on the first attempt. Can he finally put an end to these serial mistakes in Houston?
Gojowczyk has fallen out of the top 100 in the world rankings again, so the bookmakers have little confidence in him. At Betano, a win on Tuesday is given an average of 4,50.
Of course, this also has to do with the fact that his opponent is always striving to reach the top. Tommy Paul has reached 34th place, but this should not be the end anno 2022. His results read much more pleasing than those of the German counterpart.
In Miami, he had a real chance against compatriot Taylor Fritz after a win over Karen Khachanov, but was eliminated in a very close and unfortunate 6-7, 4-6. In Indian Wells, he even managed to defeat Alexander Zverev.
Tommy Paul is not yet one of the absolute top players, but he is well on his way to establishing himself among the world’s elite. He showed where there is room for improvement, especially in Miami against Khachanov.
The American collected 16 break chances, but only used three of them. However, the fact that he only broke Taylor Fritz, the Indian Wells champion, twice a little later was again extremely strong.
My Gojowczyk Paul Tip
The betting companies have agreed quite quickly that Peter Gojowczyk should actually have no chance against Tommy Paul on a normal day. After my analysis, I can only share this assessment.
The German is not in form at all, eliminated in 2022 with only one exception immediately in the 1st round.
His American opponent, on the other hand, has sold himself very dearly against top players in recent weeks. Therefore, I finally come to the following tip:
Paul beats Gojowczyk straight up!
