ATP tournament in Acapulco, quarter-finals, Friday, 01.03.2024
Koepfer coup! The Black Forest player defeated the 16th player in the world, Frances Tiafoe, in the round of 16 in Acapulco. Anyone who has read my predictions for the match will know that this is no surprise to me. After all, the American is in a slump.
Koepfer’s journey now continues in the quarter-finals of the Mexican 500 tournament. The level of difficulty increases again. He now faces Holger Rune, the seventh-ranked player in the world. Once again, I’m going for a bet that excludes the tiebreak in the match. Betano has strong 1.70 odds for my Koepfer Rune tip
Will Koepfer even make it to the semi-finals? Either way, the week in Acapulco will be a successful one for him. He will also set a new best performance. He is currently ranked 48th in the live ranking, which means he will achieve a new record ranking after the tournament.
Depending on how the tournament progresses, he could advance much further. But to do so, he now has to take a top 10 player out of the field. The underdog role is even bigger than against Tiafoe and once again the favorite odds of 1.25 at Winamax are a hot bet! The hot odds at the betting provider are outlined in red.
In addition, the number of bets placed on these odds is shown in the top right-hand corner. In general, the betting provider shows how the stakes are distributed as a percentage according to the current status of the individual markets. A great feature to see what other sports betting fans have decided on
Only three percent are backing Koepfer to win (3.95). While I was unsure against Tiafoe, I think it will be over against the 20-year-old Dane. As free bets of 100 euros are waiting at Winamax, the Rune odds could still result in a profit of 125 euros.
Alongside the Rune win odds, the “Rune wins a set” bet is the second most popular. However, customers are likely to place higher stakes here, as there is only 1.08 on the betting slip.
Against Tiafoe, I ruled out the tiebreak after both players had 35 break chances in their opening matches and had the right instinct with the 1.78 odds. This time, I’m also taking a punt on this bet
The most likely outcome for me is 2:0 for Rune, who has extremely strong defensive qualities. His returns are dangerous, and Boris Becker’s protégé is also known for his speed and agility on the court.
And Koepfer often struggled against Tiafoe and also against Terence Atmane in the service game and has now lost six service games. Tiafoe alone had ten opportunities.
And Rune? He is still at zero after his victories against Michael Mmoh and Alexksandar Kovacevic. He took both US-Americans out of the field in two sets. Incidentally, I also landed another winner with my tip for the Dane’s opening match
In the first two rounds, Rune fought his way to five breaks. I think there will be a few more against Koepfer. At the same time, the double winner of the ATP tournament in Munich is more stable in his own statements.
I expect a class difference on the court, so I can also imagine the 2:0 for the favorite, for which there is also a 1.74 at Winamax. Another top odds that also convinces with its tax-free betting and super simple Winamax registration.
Rune and Koepfer, the tennis world will see this duel for the first time on Friday night. In fact, they have never faced each other on the court before. But in my opinion, the premiere should be a clear-cut affair
My Koepfer Rune tip
Koepfer will occupy a new record position in the world rankings after this week, that is already certain. How far up he will go depends on how he performs in the remaining Acapulo matches. However, I reckon that the last German in the field will now also be eliminated in the quarter-finals.
Although the 29-year-old proved against Tiafoe that he can hold his own against the greats, the man from Maryland is currently in a crisis. Rune, on the other hand, is getting closer and closer to his top form and is likely to be the more reliable player on the court against Koepfer.
After all, he hasn’t lost a service game yet, whereas Koepfer has lost three in each of his first two matches. As I expect him to lose several service games again, I predict that Koepfer will once again not have to play out a tiebreak, as he did against Tiafoe.
Incidentally, Betano is also offering a tempting free bet of 20 euros, with the huge advantage that you don’t even need to make a deposit!
My Koepfer Rune tip: No tiebreak in the match
