ATP Tournament in Miami, 3rd Round, Monday, March 23, 2026, 5:00 PM
If a simple win bet offers odds that are too low for your liking, then the option “Medvedev wins 2-0” at absolutely fair odds of 1.70 might be just the thing for you at reputable bookmakers like NEO.bet!
A look at the stats shows anyway that once Medvedev gets rolling, he often completely dominates his opponents: In his appearance at Indian Wells last week, he even made it to the final without dropping a single set!
Cerundolo does have a strong track record in Miami (semifinals in 2022, quarterfinals in 2023), but against the top-10 elite, he has often lacked the punch lately to keep rallies going long enough.
Consequently, I would ultimately lean toward a straight-sets 2-0 victory for the Russian. Because while Cerundolo often gets entangled in grueling three-set thrillers, I’ve never seen Medvedev start a new ATP season as well as he did in 2026.
Cerundolo vs. Medvedev AI Predictions:
As an alternative to my suggestion above, you can bet on Medvedev to win the first set and the match at odds of 1.44. The numbers don’t lie: The Russian is good enough in 2026 to win a Grand Slam title!
He regularly gets off to a flying start anyway: In his last ten wins on hard court, he’s taken the first set a whopping nine times and then wrapped up the match in no time.
Cerundolo, on the other hand, is more of a “late bloomer” who often doesn’t find his rhythm in Miami until the middle of the second set—but by then, it could already be too late against the rubber wall from Moscow.
Since the Russian is brimming with confidence right after the Indian Wells final, he’ll apply pressure from the start and won’t let Cerundolo get into the match at all.
Predicted odds:
| Cerundolo win |
Medvedev win |
| 24% |
76% |
If you don’t think the sets will go to “tiebreaks,” then take a look at the Under 0.5 Tiebreaks option at odds of 1.45. A glance at the statistics confirms that this match likely won’t require seven games to win a set!
After all, Medvedev is a return monster who regularly attacks Cerundolo’s second serve, while the Argentine often shows a vulnerability to breaks on hard courts against top-tier players—a tendency that actually favors a quick end to the set!
Their last meeting in Madrid was also a clear-cut affair at 6-2, 6-2, with no nail-biting moments. In the humid heat of Miami, both players will likely prefer to go for an early break anyway, rather than trying to save themselves in an energy-sapping tiebreak.
What you need to know for Cerundolo vs. Medvedev betting
- Medvedev has won 10 of his last 11 matches on this surface, underscoring his absolute dominance and consistent form on hard courts.
- Cerundolo has lost his last 4 hard-court matches against a Top 10 player without winning a single set, revealing clear weaknesses against the elite.
- On this surface, the Argentine has lost 4 of his last 9 matches—mostly against players well outside the top 30.
- In 2023, Medvedev won the Miami Open with an impressive performance against Jannik Sinner in the final.
