Betting odds, tennis tip & prediction for Alcaraz – Djokovic ➔ Australian Open, Final, Sunday, 01.02.2026, 09:30
If you’ve missed it so far, it’s no big deal. But to miss the Australian Open again today would be almost unforgivable for tennis fans.
The men’s final is on the schedule and “Djoker” has the chance to crown himself the oldest Grand Slam winner in tennis history.
In my Alcaraz Djokovic prediction, you’ll find out everything you need to know about this final and why I’m favoring Alcaraz to win with HC -1.5 at odds of around 1.60.
In addition to a reference to the Interwetten freebet for your entry into the betting adventure, my Australian Open final tip also covers crucial facts about the physical condition of both players – an aspect that should not be ignored when placing your tennis bets on this match.
The whole world will want to be there when the final, scheduled for 9:30 a.m., gets underway. Can Novak Djokovic celebrate his 25th Grand Slam title and thus – if it’s not already clear to you – finally crown himself the best tennis player of all time?
In any case, betting providers with PayPal are offering you an extremely wide range of bets for this special occasion in Melbourne, which I will take a closer look at in the next section.
I would like to draw your attention to the Alcaraz Djokovic bets, which I believe currently have the best chances of success.
The betting providers’ prediction?
Both established and new bookmakers have given this final a lot of thought and announced Alcaraz Djokovic odds that are very close to my own perception of the actual balance of power between the two players.
According to this, a victory for the world number one at Alcaraz odds of around 1.30 is considered relatively certain. On the other hand, you can expect to be paid out between three and four times your stake if you correctly predict a victory for “Djoker.”
Analysis: Alcaraz vs Djokovic
What clearly plays into Djokovic’s hands on his way to the final is his significantly shorter playing time. Jakub Mensik withdrew before the start of his round of 16 match, while Lorenzo Musetti was unable to continue after only two sets due to injury.
Carlos Alcaraz, on the other hand, had to play every round in full, but was much more convincing for long stretches. Until his cramps in the semifinal against Zverev, the Spaniard had not dropped a single set at this Australian Open.
Players such as Tommy Paul and crowd favorite Alex de Minaur were both clearly defeated 3-0, before Zverev – precisely because of his physical problems – took him to five sets in one of the highest-class Grand Slam semifinals of all time.
What sets Djokovic apart is the fact that, despite his advanced age, he has lost hardly any of his quality. His forehand shots are still strong, precise, and powerful, and, amazingly, his body is still performing reliably.
Against Sinner, I even had the feeling in the fifth set that Djoker had even more power in his legs than the Italian – and that’s exactly how it turned out in the end!
However, when it comes to pure power, Alcaraz simply has to be ranked at an even higher level.
The Spaniard seems to have an almost infinite amount of it, and it is precisely this aspect that could ultimately make the decisive difference – provided he is not slowed down again by sudden cramps.
Odds analysis
Viewed objectively, I can absolutely understand why you wouldn’t want to miss out on betting on Djokovic to win at odds of 3.60.
The reasons for this are obvious: the Serbian has never lost a final at the Australian Open and has beaten the top favorites for the title several times in the final.
Personally, however, I would prefer the option of Alcaraz winning 3:1 in sets for the Australian Open final bets. The odds for this are also around 3.60 on average, but for me this is the most likely outcome, provided the match proceeds reasonably “normally.”
A tie-break in the match at around 1.55 is also worth considering. I’m expecting four sets, in which Djoker should be able to keep up very well, at least in the first two – and even win one of them!
The special bet 1st set: Djokovic / Win: Alcaraz reflects exactly this course of play. If successful, odds of around 5.00 await, but this tip also requires a good dose of courage.
Alcaraz plays differently than Sinner!
In direct duels, the score between the two opponents is 5:5. Exactly one year ago in Melbourne, Djokovic won 3:1, but in September 2025 – in their most recent matchup to date – he didn’t stand a chance.
At the US Open, he lost 0:3 to a furious Carlos Alcaraz, who may prefer clay, but is getting better and better every year. In fact, I even think that 2026 will be the Spaniard’s most successful year yet…
Djokovic deservedly beat Sinner in the semifinals, but the Italian was too passive at times and was severely hampered by the weather conditions in Melbourne on several occasions.
Alcaraz, on the other hand, is a much more physically dominant player who, when fit, makes much better use of the width of the court and is more aggressive overall than Sinner.
This could force Djokovic to engage in even more intense rallies than he did in his match against Sinner.
And that’s exactly why I think that if his adductors hold up and Alcaraz can give 100%, it will be difficult for the 38-year-old Serb to keep up over the entire distance.
Both have a 5-set match under their belts, but …
These were probably the two most spectacular semifinal matches of the same Grand Slam tournament I have ever seen – but even though both players spent many hours on the court, there is much to suggest that Alcaraz will recover better.
At 22, the body simply recovers differently than at 39. In addition, Djokovic had to play Sinner in the evening match, which meant he was on the court late into the night. That is, of course, an enormous strain on the Serb.
The only question that remains is whether Alcaraz will have another slump for two sets because he is plagued by cramps. However, this question cannot be answered definitively hours before the start of the match.
If necessary, he has the infamous cucumber juice, which he already used to save himself in the fifth set against Zverev and then functioned fully again.
My gut feeling is that his adductors will hold out until the end this time – and if that’s the case, the Spaniard should win the Australian Open title for the first time!
An Alcaraz Djokovic tip is also particularly interesting as an Australian Open final bet because it’s simply a matter of tennis history.
The Serb could further improve his own record and win his 25th Grand Slam title, while the young Spaniard could become the youngest player ever to successfully complete the prestigious Career Grand Slam.
My Alcaraz Djokovic tip:
After the two semifinal matches, we are naturally spoiled and expect an epic five-set match full of passion, intensity, and emotion.
However, if Alcaraz does not suffer from cramps again, he should be able to skillfully drive a weary Djokovic around the court with wide balls covering the entire width of the court.
Unlike the Italian, he will not be passive in the long rallies, but will deliberately use his age advantage to impose his intense game on the Serb and gradually wear him down.
My Alcaraz Djokovic prediction: The world number one wins in four exciting sets!
