EuroLeague Final Four 2025, Semifinal on Friday, 23.05.2025, 8:00 p.m.
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My personal Olympiacos Piraeus Monaco prediction? The Greeks will win the semi-final and most likely march through without overtime. Their defense is first-class and will be difficult for the Monegasques to overcome.
It’s crazy how the top teams in the Euroleague have come together here: Olympiacos Piraeus, Monaco, Fenerbahce, and Panathinaikos – these are exactly the four teams that were at the top of the Euroleague table after 34 match days and are now in the Final Four.
It’s an absolute spectacle and also shows how close and high-class the league is this year. Olympiacos stands out: 24 out of 34 league games won. An impressive record that shows how confident and consistent the Greeks are.
In the playoff round, they eliminated Real Madrid 3-1 in the best-of-five series – no easy task, but Piraeus showed a rock-solid defense, especially at home.
Monaco, on the other hand, narrowly prevailed 3-2 in a thrilling duel with Barcelona in the same phase. This also speaks to the mental strength of the Monegasques, who never give up on a game.
Nevertheless, in the do-or-die game of this Final Four phase, I see Olympiacos with a clear advantage. The bookmakers are similarly convinced, as evidenced by the odds for a “home win” of around 1.50 at PayPal bookmakers.
These low odds are no coincidence, as Piraeus has won all of its last five competitive games at home – a streak that deserves respect.
Most recently, the “Thrylos” celebrated a resounding victory in the Greek league against Athens with a score of 90:64. Such a dominant performance shows that the team is currently in top form and going into this duel with confidence.
If they can defend against Monaco with the same intensity as against AEK Athens, it will be extremely difficult for the Monegasques to get into the game. The Greeks are a wall, especially defensively, which makes it difficult to score easy points.
However, one should also be cautious and not forget the past Euroleague league phase: Olympiacos won the first duel against Monaco 89-80 away, but then lost the second game, which took place at home, 77-80.
This shows that Monaco is definitely capable of fighting back. And they have enough quality to keep the game close even on a bad day.
Jaron Blossomgame has been outstanding in the past, scoring 18 points in the aforementioned victory over the Greeks.
However, he seems to have lost some of his punch in recent weeks, which is an advantage for Olympiacos.
Overall, the game is a real test of strength: Olympiacos with plenty of self-confidence and dominant defense against a Monaco team that has impressed so far with close series and mental toughness.
For us, this means that the Greeks are favorites, but they are not clearly superior and should not be underestimated. The most realistic prediction is an intense game with a controlled tempo, in which Olympiacos takes an early lead and defends it confidently until the end.
As far as betting options are concerned, it is worth looking at handicap bets in addition to the classic two-way bet on a home win (odds approx. 1.50).
Olympiacos will probably win by at least 5 to 7 points, for which there are good odds in the range of 1.85 to 2.40.
A bet on “points under 160.5” could also be interesting. Both teams have defensive quality, and in the Final Four they will not only play offensively, but possibly also play a little more cautiously. The odds for this are around 2.10.
For the more risk-taking bettors, a bet on Olympiacos to win at halftime is also an option – the odds here are usually around 1.60, as they often start very focused and make their mark early on.
Conclusion: In my opinion, Olympiacos Piraeus will win their semi-final tie in sunny Abu Dhabi.
The Greek team has more consistency, more self-confidence and will put in such a strong defensive performance that Monaco will struggle to find the right balance.
The experience gained in the playoffs and their recent dominant performances will tip the scales in their favor. Monaco will give everything, but the Greeks are currently a team with more fire and control – exactly what you need in such an important game.
If you want to play it safe, bet on Olympiacos to win at odds of around 1.50. For those who prefer a little more excitement, the handicap betting market is a smart choice to increase your winnings.
All in all, this is a game that shows how close and exciting the Euroleague is this season – and Olympiacos is on the verge of taking a step towards the final.
My tip: Olympiacos wins!
