Miami Grand Prix, Sunday, May 4, 2025, at 10:00 p.m.
After a weekend break, the premier class of motorsport continues. Formula 1 stops in Miami. On the street circuit, the McLaren drivers are the ones to beat. Oscar Piastri won the third of five races in Saudi Arabia.
Due to his strong mentality, I see the Australian once again ahead in the team duel against Lando Norris, who celebrated his first GP victory in Florida last year. But in 2025, the Brit is far too prone to mistakes.
And that’s exactly what makes the odds for Piastri so interesting, which are even 3.75 due to his suboptimal starting position of fourth! Max Verstappen will start from pole, his third this season. However, I doubt he can bring home the victory. Keyword: tire wear!
McLaren should make the difference in Sunday’s long main race. We’re getting strong odds of 1.80 at Bet365 for Piastri to finish in the top two!
Purely in terms of pace, McLaren is ahead, but both drivers faltered in Q3. They have enough time in the race to correct their mistakes and pull ahead!
Miami GP start times: TV and stream broadcast
In addition to Bet365, Bwin is offering one of the best Formula 1 betting options alongside a voucher promotion, with a huge selection and a wide range of markets.
Here, for example, we can place duel bets on the top drivers competing against the entire field. In other words, we can bet that a certain driver will not win a race.
And I think 1.47 for a bet on the “entire remaining field” against Verstappen is really strong!
Ferrari brought a new underbody to the penultimate World Championship race. The next major update will follow at their home race in Imola. This is desperately needed, because nothing is working in Miami.
Hamilton’s podium finish in the sprint was just a stroke of luck due to a pit lane collision in front of him. He then failed in Q2, and things didn’t go much better for Leclerc in eighth place.
Leclerc’s race pace was at least strong in the previous races. If you have a free bet left, you could try your luck and go for 17.0 for a podium finish for the Monegasque.
One or two retirements ahead of him, a Verstappen struggling with his tires, and a potentially unsatisfactory long-run pace from Mercedes, as in Saudi Arabia, and the podium would still be within reach. In any case, I wouldn’t write him off completely.
He should at least be able to get past the Williams drivers, which is why I can also recommend the top 6 odds for 1.50 at Winamax.
Leclerc feels comfortable with the car in general, but senses that it lacks pace. Meanwhile, Hamilton is still struggling with the drivability of his car despite various adjustments.
Some experts already suspect that this could be the record world champion’s last season if he doesn’t come close to Leclerc’s performance.
He said he never felt comfortable in the car in Jeddah. His body language also speaks volumes. Before the start of the race, Bet365 is offering odds that a driver will not finish in the top six. Hamilton is likely to be a popular choice.
The last five races at the Miami International Autodrome:
Hamilton, like a few other drivers, is under pressure and the track is tough, especially when it comes to wheel-to-wheel battles. Things could easily come to a head. We’ve already seen several accidents in the tight, tapered first corner.
Two retirements are definitely on the cards, and we’re getting strong odds of 1.69 for that at Bet365. What’s more, it’s supposed to rain on Sunday, just like on sprint day, which means even more accidents and fewer drivers crossing the finish line.
How do things look for our German driver Nico Hülkenberg? I’m not very optimistic for him unless the race doesn’t descend into chaos like it did in Australia. He finished behind his teammate in qualifying after a completely botched lap.
In the race, however, I think he has what it takes to overtake the Brazilian. This gives us lucrative odds of 1.72, another top bet for the Miami GP!
Conclusion: Yes, Piastri is only starting from fourth place, but I still see him finishing at least second. With a heavily fueled car, McLaren has the best speed and the lowest tire wear over long stints.
With the soft intermediates, which could well be used, the advantage would be even greater. Whether he or Norris will take the win in the end remains to be seen.
However, he should be able to get past Antonelli and Verstappen.
That’s why my betting tip is: Piastri in the top 2
