United States Grand Prix in Austin, Sunday, 20.10.2024 at 21:00
The Formula 1 engines were resting for four weeks. This weekend, the action finally continues in Austin. There are still six races to go this year, and it’s non-stop: three race weekends in a row, then a three-week break, followed by the final triple-header!
Formula 1 betting has been going well for me this season. Nine of the last ten race tips were successful, all odds were above the 1.50 mark. Only in Great Britain did Ferrari put a spoke in my wheel with a debacle.
My Formula 1 USA GP tip is on a top-10 finish for Nico Hülkenberg, for which Oddset offers strong odds. He was comfortably in the top 10 in the sprint race, which Max Verstappen managed to win.
In qualifying for the main race, he only managed twelfth place on the grid after two mistakes in turn one. But given the well-functioning Haas, he should be able to finish in the points if he comes through normally.
Formula One has been racing in Austin since 2012. The Hermann Tilke-designed circuit has everything a track needs: long straights for overtaking, fast and slower corner combinations, and all of that is rounded off with considerable elevation changes.
In addition, countless fans lining the track every year make for a fantastic motorsport experience. However, in my opinion, the fact that two more races are held in the United States is still too much.
For years, I have wanted Hockenheim back, the track that, in my opinion, offers the best racing.
Test: Starting lineup for the US GP
Hot temperatures are expected over the weekend, around 30 degrees Celsius and sunshine. Since the track is very wide anyway and offers long run-off zones, I am not betting on the safety car. Instead, I see value in the opposite odds.
Anyone who bet that Bernd Mayländer would just twiddle his thumbs for the last nine races would have made a killing. Because we have been waiting for a safety car phase since that number of races. With the departure of Logan Sargeant, who caused a lot of accidents, the probability has decreased even further since Monza.
For the bet that there will be no safety car deployment, an interesting 1.65 odds are waiting at Betano. In general, I have the impression that the Formula 1 field is as high-class as never before. Besides, we only have 20 cars on the track.
Fewer cars also means less chance of chaos. At the same time, I don’t think the odds of over 17.5 drivers finishing are wrong at 1.40, and there’s even a 2.35 for a maximum of one retirement in the race.
As I mentioned at the beginning, McLaren is the team to beat, at least in the individual races. Max Verstappen continues to lead the World Championship with a still comfortable lead of 54 points.
In six races with three sprints still to come, one of which is taking place this weekend, such a lead can quickly be eroded. Verstappen is still ahead with the bookmakers, although his odds have risen considerably to 1.60. Norris has 2.25.
For the Austin GP, Verstappen is in first place with a 1.80 despite starting second in a strong sprint race, followed by pole setter Norris, who put in a mega lap in qualifying but is likely to have problems in the race against Verstappen and Ferrari.
The 1.40 for a non-Norris win is still a bit too high for my taste, but it definitely has value, is perfect as a single bet with a slightly higher stake, or as a combination ticket for Sunday.
The last 5 races at the Circuit of the Americas:
Winamax, a betting provider without tax, offers 2.50 for Sainz in the top 2. The same bet is also available for Leclerc.
I would suggest two single bets with the same stake. Mercedes is not a factor, Piastri also lacks pace this weekend and, in my opinion, like Norris, he also has the weaker material for the race.
You can even bet up to €100 on the two 2.50s without risking any loss, as Winamax gives you a freebet credit equal to the deposit amount when you register. You can withdraw your real money immediately after a one-time conversion.
I still think it’s stupid that the team order, which had been long overdue, was called out in favor of Norris, which was now announced after all, so that the Briton can put even more pressure on Verstappen in the World Championship fight.
Due to the late decision, McLaren has left points in the small double-digit range in the drivers’ championship race.
: Yuki Tsunoda, Fernando Alonso, Kevin Magnussen and Pierre Gasly, all drivers who start in front of Hülkenberg and, with the exception of his team-mate, drivers whom he easily kept behind him yesterday.
Without mistakes, the Emmericher would have had no problems getting into Q3. He definitely does not start from the place that matches the potential of the car. The tire wear in yesterday’s sprint race was also good.
And even if he has a hard time passing, there is still something possible through the pit stops. Besides, all the other cars have to get through in front of him first for him to stay out of the top 10.
I expect him to easily make it into the top 10. Even a Hamilton from behind may not be the biggest threat, in the sprint Haas was just behind Mercedes.
My Formula 1 USA GP tip: Hülkenberg in the top 10
