Singapore Grand Prix, Sunday, September 22, 2024 at 2:00 p.m.
Formula 1 is more exciting than it has been in a long time. Various statistics prove this. One that I researched myself blows me away. In the last nine races, the pole setter was unable to win the race eight times.
Tuning in on Sundays is more worthwhile than ever. I am aware of the close situation at the top, which is why I have avoided the odds of victory every time.
By the way, in these eight of the last nine races, I have given you a successful betting tip above the 1.50 mark.
In the last few world championship races, I particularly liked Oscar Piastri. With his calm manner, the McLaren team-mate of Lando Norris is ahead of most of his opponents in terms of mentality. He showed how cool-headed the Australian is when he won in Baku last week.
A surprise maneuver against Charles Leclerc and then fending off attacks from the Monegasque for more than 20 laps without getting excited. Piastri has arrived in Formula 1, his performances are becoming more and more consistent.
He didn’t have the perfect lap in qualifying. I see him as stronger in the race. The Ferraris will also come forward. I doubt that Hamilton can hold the podium, my Bwin bet in my Formula 1 Singapore GP tip.
The air is getting thinner and thinner for Max Verstappen, but so are the races. With seven world championship races to go, the superstar from the Netherlands still has a 59-point lead over Lando Norris and 78 over Charles Leclerc, who is already hoping for Verstappen to retire.
In Baku, the three-time world champion was only trailing, with Red Bull bringing a new update. In the meantime, the team had found the right window of opportunity, but continued to adjust the RB20 and fell out again.
Due to the driveability, especially over bumps, curbs, Verstappen described his car as a “go-kart”.
Just one week later and a long trip to Singapore, Red Bull doesn’t have much leeway to get more pace out of the car. In Azerbaijan, the team was only the third force. Verstappen, in particular, had great difficulties this time.
Sergio Perez was at least able to catch up with the leading duo Leclerc/Piastri when they slowed each other down in wheel-to-wheel duels. Last year, Red Bull won every race except the Singapore GP!
City circuits are definitely a weakness of the world champion team this year. And since star designer Adrian Newey no longer has an eye on the Formula 1 circus due to his departure at the end of the year, things are going downhill.
Verstappen is now waiting seven races for a victory and was overtaken in Baku by Norris, who was eliminated in Q1. The championship lead is still quite large and the top teams are taking points away from each other.
Nevertheless, it could still be a close race. Three sprint races, which now also score well, are also still to come. In the Betano app, Verstappen is still ahead with odds of 1.45, Norris has 2.70, Lelcerc, by the way, has 20.0.
Baku winner Piastri, who is the fifth driver this season to win more than one race, has 50.0. He is 91 points behind. Everyone is hunting down the weakening Red Bull of Verstappen.
The distribution of victory odds is quite different. Norris has the lowest odds after his dominant qualifying with 1.50. Behind him are Max Verstappen (5.00) and Hamilton (8.50).
Hamilton starts from third place. Both his own team-mate, Piastri, and the Ferrari drivers are hungry for a podium finish. In terms of pace, I rate Charles Leclerc and Piastri as stronger. The 1.85 for a non-Hamilton podium is worth seeing.
In terms of victory odds, however, there is nothing for me. If I did, I would take the two individual victory odds with the same stakes from Leclerc and Norris. Leclerc is currently the clearly stronger driver at Ferrari and, even if the chances are small, has priority in the team.
And the same goes for the traditional British team. Team principal Andrea Stella has even let it be known that, in the event of a tie, Norris is favored due to the drivers’ championship.
The last 5 races at the Marina Bay Street Circuit:
Ultimately, I find the 1.69 for the Piastri podium more interesting. He was among the frontrunners in Baku and in Monza, only Ferrari’s ingenious strategy put a spoke in his wheel. He has splashed champagne after four of the last five Formula 1 races.
Alongside Leclerc, I think he is currently the most consistent driver at the front. Norris occasionally has qualifying outliers and is the man with the most lost positions after the start.
The weather could also influence the race. At the moment it only looks like rain before the race, but it is difficult to forecast in this region. Either way, the city circuit is always good for retirements.
For under 18.5 drivers in the final classification, Happybet offers odds of 1.40. The 2.10 for at least three retirements is really interesting. For the last World Cup race, I recommended the under 18.5 variant and got a nice 1.50 odds from Betano.
Important info for you: drivers who have completed 90 percent of the race distance count towards the final classification. So if you didn’t bet on the under, you wouldn’t have benefited from the Perez/Sainz crash on the last lap.
Conclusion: Red Bull has presented itself stronger than expected. I expect that they have also tuned the car well for the race and that Verstappen and Norris will pull away for the time being. Hamilton will come under pressure from behind.
Piastri has the clearly faster bike and Ferrari has also been fast in the last few races, but Leclerc’s lap was disallowed in Q3 and Sainz had an accident.
In the race, however, the Monegasque driver will be particularly prominent. In my opinion, one of them will knock Hamilton off the podium, maybe even his own team-mate. Overtaking is difficult, but not impossible, and then we still have the odd pit stop…
Therefore, my betting tip is: Hamilton not in the top 3
