Brazil Grand Prix in Sao Paulo, Sunday, 03.11.2024 at 18:00
Will it be exciting again in the World Championship after all? After Austin and with 57 points, the situation had actually eased for Max Verstappen. But things look different again after the Mexican GP. As was to be expected, he clashed with Lando Norris again.
This time, the three-time world champion was penalized twice with a total time penalty of 20 seconds. Verstappen only finished sixth and lost ten points on the McLaren driver – and now he has to start five places further back due to a new engine in Brazil.
So he is unlikely to be in contention for victory and the podium in a normal race. But will he be? A lot of rain is expected on Saturday and especially on Sunday, the perfect conditions for Verstappen. Norris is also one of the better rain drivers.
I’m curious to see how far Verstappen will advance. First and foremost, however, I expect Norris to finish in the top two, and my Formula 1 Brazil GP betting tip at Bet365 is
My streak continues. For the last eight World Championship races, I have always given you a successful betting tip, eleven of the last twelve predictions were a bull’s eye. Of course, I want to keep this streak going until the end of the season.
One of the most spectacular races of the year is coming up this weekend, the Brazilian GP. The Autódromo José Carlos Pace has already been the scene of several Formula 1 stories.
The 2008 final is unforgettable, when Lewis Hamilton became world champion with an overtaking maneuver in the last corner, but also the last race in 2012, when Sebastian Vettel was spun by local hero Bruno Senna on the first lap and, with a damaged car, made a mega comeback to win his third world title.
Let’s see how exciting the “Chapter 2024” will be. In any case, the weather forecasts make us even more excited for the race. It’s supposed to be a rainy Sunday, but hopefully it will at least be limited enough for us to see cars on the track.
I have very fond memories of the race in Belgium, when the drivers only completed a few laps behind the safety car in order to score points for the race. The fans in the grandstands were kept waiting for hours.
However, it was mostly changeable in Brazil, which made it even more exciting. It could be an intense day of work for the pit crews.
Let’s take a look at Betano’s win odds. Here Norris is ahead at 3.00, and it’s currently a close battle between McLaren and Ferrari. Most recently, Oscar Piastri, who has improved overall in 2024, fell away from this quartet.
He only has an 8.00. The McLaren quota sandwich includes Charles Leclerc (3.30) and Carlos Sainz (4.45). The race winners of the last two world championship races in Texas and Mexico City. In terms of speed alone, Norris was the fastest last race.
However, a weak qualifying session and the skirmish with Verstappen put him behind, meaning that there was not enough time left at the end of the race to prevent Sainz from taking his second win of the season.
McLaren is the most consistent team in 2024 and also leads the constructors’ championship. Why still? Ferrari is piling on the pressure, overtook Red Bull in Mexico and now wants to assert itself against McLaren in the duel between the traditional racing teams.
Only 29 points separate the teams, and an upturn in form from Piastri would be hugely important for McLaren, who have only finished eighth and fifth recently.
With a desolate Perez, who may be replaced after the race in Brazil, and a Red Bull that has recently been unable to keep up with Ferrari and McLaren in the long run, the 2024 world champion team will probably only be able to finish third.
Verstappen will now also start five places further back in Brazil because he has to go beyond the permitted engine quota. This is a great opportunity for Norris to make up more points on the defending champion and increase the pressure.
Like the bookmakers, I expect both Ferrari drivers and Norris to finish on the podium, all three top 3 odds combined with the Bet365 betting configurator make a 3.00 possible.
After the strong race pace in Mexico and also in Austin, I am sure that the Briton will finish in the top 2. I also rate him as stronger than Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz in the adverse conditions.
The last 5 races at the Autódromo José Carlos Pace:
The Norris top 3 odds of 1. 41 seems a bit safer and is definitely something for a combination ticket on a sporty Sunday, but I’ll take the top 2 variant at 1.69.
Last year, he finished second behind Verstappen in both the sprint and main race on the circuit.
I wouldn’t completely rule out a charging Verstappen when the rain comes. I expect him to be able to plow through the field quickly in difficult weather conditions.
A safety car phase in the second half of the race or a red flag is not unlikely, in which case the gap to the front runners would also be closed.
Winamax is currently offering a €15 free bet without deposit for new customers, and you can also secure an additional €100 free bet budget.
And what about Nico Hülkenberg, the only German driver in the field? He is currently regularly scoring points with the new update from Haas. He already led the race in Sao Paulo in 2012 and surprisingly took pole in his debut year in 2010 in the inferior Williams.
Oddset is offering 1.55 for another top 10 result in the Haas. Here, too, you can expect a fabulous new customer bonus.
Before I sum up, I would also like to mention the “Under 17.5 drivers in the final classification” bet. In the rain, it is more difficult to keep the car on the track, at the same time there is a high crash potential on lap one and the track layout provides plenty of opportunities for exciting duels.
Incidentally, only 14 cars crossed the finish line last year.
Conclusion: Hülkenberg in the top 10, at least three retirements, Norris in the top 2, some lucrative betting opportunities await on Sunday.
Ultimately, I trust in the consistency of the MCL38, consistently the fastest car in recent races, only in Austin did McLaren make a slight mistake in the setup with the new parts, but again the second half of the race was strong from Norris.
On a wet track, I rate him as stronger than the Ferrari guys, he finished the sprint and the race in second place in 2023.
My Formula 1 Brazil GP tip: Norris in the top 2
