Important Facts
- Wolves are bottom of the table with 13 points (six behind Burnley), while Liverpool are fifth with 48 points, playing between Aston Villa and Chelsea to catch up with the leaders.
- The 2-0 win against Aston Villa was based on more consistent defending; goalscorer João Gomes and assist provider Armstrong represent the upward trend that urgently needs to deliver points in the relegation battle.
- Liverpool are coming off strong results (including a 5-2 win over West Ham) and, according to analysis, often find ways to score after the break, led by target player Ekitiké.
- The Wolves are missing Hwang and Toti, while Liverpool are without Wirtz, Isak, Endo, Bradley, and Leoni; which shifts a lot of responsibility onto Szoboszlai, Salah, Gakpo, and Ekitiké.
- Liverpool has won the last five head-to-head matches, but three 2-1 wins in a row and Wolves goals in four of five games support Over 2.5/Both Teams to Score at odds of ~1.4.
Thirteen points, bottom of the table, but still with a 2-0 win over Aston Villa behind them: Wolverhampton go into this match with the rare feeling that the relegation battle does not have to be lost against the big names. On Tuesday, Wolverhampton Wanderers host Liverpool at Molineux on Matchday 29 of the Premier League, and the starting positions could hardly be more different: Rob Edwards has Wolves on 13 points, 6 behind Burnley, while Arne Slot’s Liverpool are fifth on 48 points, 3 behind Aston Villa and 3 ahead of Chelsea, most recently with a 5-2 win over West Ham.
- Venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
- Date and time: March 3, 2026, 9:15 p.m.
- Competition: Premier League (matchday 29)
The bookmakers see Liverpool as clear favorites, with the away win at around 1.4 – but it is precisely this confidence that can create value in markets that are more closely linked to the course of the game than to the winner. Liverpool’s last game ended 5-2, the Wolves just beat Aston Villa 2-0, and both results point to a change in rhythm that favors over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, especially since Liverpool will be without Wirtz and the Wolves are showing plenty of bite with Gomes and Mosquera.
Wolverhampton Form & Record Check
The Wolves have been more stable at times in recent weeks, even if their position in the table remains bleak.
The 2-0 win against Aston Villa on February 27 was no fluke; it was based on more consistent defending and a midfield that finally won its tackles cleanly, with Gomes scoring and Armstrong providing the assist. Mosquera’s performance was strong enough to earn him a nomination for the team of the week, which says a lot about the necessary concentration. This small upward trend comes alongside a 1-0 defeat at Crystal Palace and a 0-0 draw at Nottingham Forest, games in which the Wolves looked more in control but were unable to convert their dominance into clear chances. The 2-2 home draw against Arsenal was the exception and remains their best argument that they can compete with top opponents when the game is open. What has also been noticeable recently are rather quiet first halves, which will shape how Wolverhampton might try to approach Liverpool. Personnel and player types are crucial here. Hwang is still missing, and without his directness, the Wolves will have to work hard for many moments through Gomes, André, and Bellegarde, rather than relying on a constant stream of chances. Edwards can continue to rely on Tchatchoua’s pace in transition situations, but the bigger truth is simple: with Burnley 6 points ahead, Wolves cannot afford moral victories. They need points, and it is precisely this pressure that could force them to take more risks late in the game.
Edwards is likely to stick with a 3-4-2-1 formation, with Sá probably behind a back three of Mosquera, Bueno, and Krejci. With Toti still out with a hamstring problem, this trio looks like the safest option, and Mosquera’s recent clean sheet suggests that he can once again be the one to step up to the plate at the right moment. Defensively, the team should remain compact, then quickly spread out wide when switching play. Tchatchoua and Bueno are ready to cover the flanks as wingbacks, while André and Gomes secure the center. In front of them, Bellegarde and Mané would be the two creative players operating behind Armstrong, especially since Hwang is out with a calf injury. Arokodare, who has been training with the team this week, is a strong alternative if Wolverhampton wants more power and presence up front.
Liverpool form & record check
Liverpool’s recent results in competitions have been strong, even if their performance from week to week has not always lived up to the club’s expectations. The 2-1 defeat to Manchester City was followed by narrow away wins at Sunderland and Nottingham Forest, then they knocked Brighton out of the FA Cup with a 3-0 win, before really getting going with a 5-2 win over West Ham. Slot has openly admitted that some of the clearer results have masked minor hiccups in the first halves. The advantage for Liverpool is the range of weapons at their disposal. Ekitiké set the tone early against West Ham and has been a reliable target for weeks, while Mac Allister and Szoboszlai can dictate the pace once Liverpool are in the game. It is also striking that they have repeatedly found a way to score after the break recently, which will be particularly important at Molineux if Wolves deliberately try to slow the game down in the first half. If the Reds play with this patience consistently, they tend to force their opponents into mistakes. Injuries bring a small degree of unpredictability. Wirtz is out again, Isak is still sidelined, and Endo is also unavailable after surgery, which means Liverpool’s offensive balance depends even more on the combinations around Ekitiké, Salah, Gakpo, and Szoboszlai. The 5-2 win still included two goals conceded, and that is precisely the starting point for anyone thinking beyond a simple away win. If Liverpool’s remaining defense is not on point, Wolves can strike.
Slot is likely to stick with a 4-2-3-1 formation in this predicted starting eleven, with Alisson behind Frimpong, Gomez, van Dijk, and Kerkez. The double six of Gravenberch and Mac Allister should dictate the tempo in build-up play and cover Szoboszlai’s back so that he can act as a central link-up player. Salah and Gakpo are the most likely options on the wings, with Ekitiké set to lead the line up front. Wirtz is out again with back problems, so Szoboszlai remains in the number 10 role in the prediction, rather than a more fluid rotation. Endo’s ankle surgery also reduces the options for the classic defensive midfielder, so the duo of Gravenberch and Mac Allister seems logical. Bradley and Leoni remain sidelined long-term, and Isak’s broken fibula pushes the center forward role towards Ekitiké, with Chiesa a possible substitute during the game.
Wolverhampton – Liverpool Head-to-head & Statistics
Liverpool have won the last five encounters, a five-game winning streak that is fresh in the minds of both teams. The most recent meeting was in December 2025, another close 2-1 win, and that was also the result in 2025 and 2024 at Molineux. Even when Liverpool weren’t at their absolute best, they found ways to narrowly beat Wolverhampton, often by controlling the decisive moments rather than applying pressure for the full 90 minutes. Nevertheless, there is an exciting twist for goal scorers. The Wolves have scored in four of these five games, and Liverpool have also conceded goals in four of the five matches. This fits with the observation that this pairing can produce chances at both ends, even if the result ultimately goes one way. The games have reliably gone over 1.5 total goals, and three 2-1 results in a row show quite clearly how often Wolverhampton stays close enough to keep the game open.
