Wolverhampton Wanderers host Burnley in a real basement battle, with both teams under immense pressure. The Wolves are bottom of the table with just two points and have been waiting for a win for eight league games, while Burnley are also deep in the relegation battle in 17th place with seven points. In terms of personnel, the hosts can take heart from the return of Jean-Ricner Bellegarde and Hwang Hee-chan, while Burnley, despite their recent 2-0 win over Leeds, will still be without key players such as Zeki Amdouni, Connor Roberts, and Jordan Beyer. Interestingly, the bookmakers see the out-of-form Wolves as slight favorites, which is mainly explained by their home advantage and their historical record, with Wolverhampton winning three of the last five encounters.
- Venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
- Date and time: October 26, 2025, 3:00 p.m.
- Competition: Premier League (Matchday 9)
Betting on over 1.5 goals seems sensible, as both teams have regularly seen more than 1.5 goals per game in their last five matches. The Wanderers in particular have conceded goals in 80% of their matches, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. A double chance on a home win or draw offers reasonable protection, especially as the odds of around 2.0 on a home win reflect the general nervousness. With Vítor Pereira’s “must-win” attitude and the return of Hwang and Bellegarde, there is every reason to expect a more stable performance from the hosts. The “Both Teams to Score: Yes” bet remains risky, but at odds of around 2.0 it is attractive, as both teams have been scoring consistently — Wolves four times in a row, Burnley five times. These analyses are based on form and goal statistics; stakes should be adjusted to suit your personal risk appetite.
Wolverhampton Form & Record Check
The Wolves are in deep crisis and are bottom of the table with only two points after eight league games without a win; they are now winless in twelve games overall. The recent 2-0 defeat at Sunderland, with an early goal from Mukiele and a late own goal from Krejci, was symptomatic of their negative run of six defeats in eight league games. Despite everything, coach Vítor Pereira remains confident and emphasizes that he has no doubt that he can lead the team out of the danger zone. He praises the mentality within the team, but had to pay a £15,000 fine after kicking a ball towards the bench during the 1-1 draw with Brighton and hitting someone. There is some good news on the personnel front with the return of Bellegarde after illness and Hwang after injury; Strand Larsen is also training more intensively again after Achilles tendon problems. The sporting problems lie mainly in attack, where only Burnley have fewer shots on goal, and from set pieces, where Wolves have already conceded eight goals — the worst record in the league. Over 80% of their last five games have ended with more than 1.5 goals, while the first halves have often been low-scoring.
Vítor Pereira is expected to use a 4-2-3-1 formation. Johnstone will be in goal, with a back four likely to be formed from the available center backs and fullbacks (for example, Santiago Bueno and Toti as center backs). André and João Gomes will occupy the defensive midfield, while Rodrigo Gomes could play centrally in the attacking trio, flanked by a creative attacking player and a fast winger; Strand Larsen would form the spearhead of the attack. Hwang Hee-chan, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, and Gonçalo Guedes could provide fresh impetus from the bench. Hoever and Doherty are still out with injuries.
Burnley Form & Record Check
Burnley are currently in 17th place with seven points, one point behind Fulham and two ahead of Nottingham Forest. Their recent record shows one win, one draw, and three losses from their last five league games. The 2-0 home win against Leeds brought relief, with Ugochukwu scoring early and Tchaouna sealing the deal in the 68th minute. This followed a series of heavy defeats, including a 5-1 loss at Manchester City and narrow defeats against Aston Villa and Cardiff in the League Cup. The team is struggling with injuries, as Amdouni is out long-term with a cruciate ligament rupture and Roberts and Beyer are not expected back until early January, which means there is a lack of depth, especially in attack. Statistically, there have been at least two goals in each of the last five games, with the attack scoring regularly but the defense remaining vulnerable, especially in the early stages of games. Scott Parker urgently needs to fix this defensive instability in order to pick up important points in the relegation battle in Wolverhampton.
Coach Scott Parker is likely to opt for a 4-2-3-1 system with Dúbravka in goal and a back four of Walker, Tuanzebe, Estève, and Hartman. Florentino and Cullen are expected to occupy the defensive midfield, with Tchaouna, Flemming, and Anthony forming the attacking trio in front of them, with Foster as the lone striker. Amdouni is out long-term with a cruciate ligament rupture, while Beyer and Roberts are also unavailable due to injury. Broja, Edwards, and Bruun Larsen are available as substitutes from the bench.
Wolverhampton – Burnley Head-to-head & statistics
The Wolves have dominated the last five meetings with three wins, while Burnley have won only once and one game ended in a draw. The Wolves won the most recent meeting in August 2024 in the League Cup 2-0; in the Premier League, they won narrowly 1-0 in December 2023. Burnley’s last win against the Wolves dates back to April 2022. Four of the five games had fewer than 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for low-scoring encounters. In four consecutive matches, there was a maximum of one goal after the break, a sign of cautious and tactically balanced play. Wolverhampton scored at least once in four of the five games, while Burnley conceded at least one goal four times in the same period. The historical record clearly favors the hosts, with the matches usually being close and low-scoring.
