Wolfsburg’s spectacular 5-1 away win in Leipzig in November 2024 seems like a thing of the past, as the Red Bulls have since won three consecutive games against the Wolves. On Saturday, two clubs in different form will face each other at the Volkswagen Arena on the fifth matchday. While RB Leipzig has put together an impressive run of three consecutive wins after a disastrous start to the season with a 6-0 defeat in Munich, Wolfsburg has only collected three more points after a promising 3-1 opening win in Heidenheim. The Wolves are coming off a bitter 0-1 defeat in Dortmund, where Adeyemi’s goal in the 20th minute was the only moment when the defense was not alert enough. RB Leipzig, on the other hand, recently impressed with a 3-1 home win against Cologne, with Ouédraogo and Brazilian newcomer Rômulo sealing the deal. The head-to-head record promises a high-scoring duel, with at least three goals scored in each of the last five meetings. Both coaches are struggling with significant injury concerns: Paul Simonis is still without Lindstrøm, Paredes, and Vavro, while Ole Werner has to plan without the injured Haidara, Henrichs, and Schlager.
- Venue: Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
- Date and time: September 27, 2025, 3:30 p.m.
- Competition: Bundesliga (Matchday 5)
Wolfsburg form & record check
The Wolves are currently going through a mixed phase. After an optimistic 3-1 away win in Heidenheim at the start of the season, they only managed to pick up three points from their next three Bundesliga games. The 1-1 draw against Mainz was unspectacular, while the 3-3 draw against Cologne clearly highlighted the team’s current problems. The defensive work is particularly worrying: Wolfsburg conceded at least one goal in four of their five games, with the frantic final minutes against Cologne symptomatic of their lack of stability. Against Dortmund, a disciplined performance was not enough to earn points, but the 0-1 defeat was respectable. The offense has been surprisingly consistent, with the team scoring in four of the last five games by halftime, which speaks to their freshness and clarity in the first 45 minutes. Paul Simonis regularly provides new impetus with his substitutions. Adam Daghim is particularly noteworthy in this regard: The 19-year-old reached 35.75 km/h as a substitute in the Dortmund game, making him the third-fastest player of the current season. With Eriksen’s integration into the team and the absences of Lindstrøm, Paredes, and Vavro, Simonis faces interesting tactical decisions. The five points after four games do not quite meet expectations, but the offensive power gives cause for hope.
Coach Paul Simonis is likely to stick with the tried-and-tested 4-2-3-1 formation that has established itself in recent weeks against Leipzig. Grabara will be in goal, while Fischer, Jenz, Koulierakis, and Mæhle will provide stability in defense. Arnold and Vini Souza could occupy the center of midfield, while the attacking trio is likely to consist of Skov Olsen, Majer, and Wimmer. Amoura, who is fit again after his muscle problems, is expected to lead the line. The team is missing important alternatives in Lindstrøm, Paredes, Vavro, and Rogério. The loss of Lindstrøm in particular, following his adductor injury, limits the options in attack. Simonis may therefore opt for Daghim, who has recently impressed with his speed.
Leipzig form & record check
RB Leipzig comes to Wolfsburg with renewed confidence after a mixed start to the season. Following a disastrous 6-0 defeat in Munich, the Saxons responded impressively with three consecutive wins. The 3-1 victory over Cologne in front of their home crowd was particularly encouraging. Ouédraogo gave Leipzig an early lead, but Thielmann’s equalizer could have caused uncertainty. Instead, the Red Bulls responded with two goals shortly before and after the break from Rômulo and Raum. The statistics from the last five games speak for themselves: four wins and only one defeat, with Leipzig scoring in 80% of their games. Ole Werner’s team has yet to record a single draw, which speaks for a clear focus. The personnel situation remains problematic. With Haidara, Schlager, Henrichs, and Nedeljkovic out due to injury, important regulars are missing. The loss of Haidara in central midfield is particularly significant, as he normally provides the balance between defense and offense. Rômulo has settled in quickly after his move from Göztepe and has already scored two goals. The Brazilian recently emphasized that he deliberately chose Leipzig over a move to the Premier League because he was convinced by the club’s philosophy.
RB Leipzig are likely to line up in their usual 4-2-3-1 formation against Wolfsburg. Coach Ole Werner can rely on a largely established starting lineup, even though he is missing several important midfield and wing options in Haidara, Schlager, and Henrichs. In the center, the double six of Seiwald and the young Ouédraogo could control the game, while Baumgartner is likely to play as a number 10. In attack, it will be interesting to see whether Rômulo will once again be trusted as the striker after his two goals in four games, or whether Werner will opt for other options.
H2H Wolfsburg – Leipzig Head-to-head comparison & statistics
The head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg and Leipzig have been full of drama, even if there has never been a draw. Leipzig narrowly leads the last five encounters with 3-2 wins, but the games have been anything but predictable. The most recent meeting in April 2025 ended 2-3 for Leipzig at the Volkswagen Arena. Leipzig has recorded three of four away wins in this statistic. Wolfsburg’s only home win dates back to November 2023 with a 2-1 victory. Wolfsburg delivered its most spectacular performance in November 2024 with an impressive 5-1 away win in Leipzig. Leipzig responded promptly with a cup victory in February 2025 with a narrow 1-0 win in the quarterfinals. What is striking is the guarantee of goals in these duels: both teams almost always score, and Leipzig has scored in all five encounters. Wolfsburg has conceded at least one goal in every game, which shows how dangerous Leipzig is in attack. Half-time breaks seem to be particularly important, as more than 1.5 goals have regularly been scored in the second half in the last three games.
The favored tip of over 2.5 goals is based on defensive weaknesses: Wolfsburg has conceded goals in four of five league games, while Leipzig is missing important defensive stalwarts in Henrichs and Finkgräfe. The offensive qualities also point to a high-scoring game, with Rômulo providing the necessary speed for Leipzig, while Wolfsburg has scored in the first half of each of its last four Bundesliga games. A Leipzig win at odds of 2.6 seems valuable, considering that the visitors have won four of their last five games, while Wolfsburg has only won one of its last four league games. The bookmakers rate both teams as almost equal, but the difference in form is clear to see. A particularly risky but attractive bet is on over 2.5 goals by halftime at odds of 5.3. Both teams have recently shown weaknesses in their defensive organization, and with Schlager and Vavro out, they are missing important structural players in central midfield.
