VfL Wolfsburg – Borussia Mönchengladbach
Our Wolfsburg – Gladbach betting tip is: Wolfsburg win – 2.04 odds
- Wolfsburg is undefeated in three of its last four home games
- Gladbach has only won twice away from home and conceded nine goals in seven games
- VfL has already scored 14 times at home in eight games
Last weekend, the first half of the Bundesliga season officially came to an end. Due to the packed program of international competitions, the Bundesliga will have a midweek this week. In this article, we will look at two teams that are directly neighboring each other in the table and are therefore also in direct competition for the European places.
On Tuesday evening, VfL Wolfsburg will face Borussia Mönchengladbach. The Wolves got off to a successful start to the new year with a 1-0 away win over Hoffenheim, but Gladbach were beaten 1-0 at home by the record champions from Munich in a combative game. Both teams are level on points in the Bundesliga table and could move up to sixth place with a win. Our Wolfsburg v Gladbach betting tip reveals which team is most likely to achieve this goal.
Wolfsburg v Gladbach info
- Date & time: 14/01/2025, 20:30
- Venue: Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
- Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 17
- Broadcast/Livestream: SKY
Wolfsburg Form & Record Check
Wolfsburg are currently in a very respectable phase. They have picked up three wins in their last five games against Hoffenheim, Mainz and Leipzig, but have also been beaten twice by Freiburg and Dortmund.
The 1-0 away win against Hoffenheim on the last matchday ended this two-game losing streak. They are currently in tenth place in the table with 24 points from 16 games and are only three points away from the European places. Depending on the results of the parallel matches, they could move up to a Europa League place on the next matchday.
Solid offense
The Wolves are incredibly efficient this season. They have already scored 33 goals in 16 games this season, which is an average of 2.00 goals per game. This makes them the fourth-best offense in the entire Bundesliga, even though they have only an expected goal value (xGoals) of 22.5 in these 16 games.
They are thus once again demonstrating how efficient they really are in moving forward. Mohammed Amoura, who has already scored six goals this season and provided seven assists, is leading the way.
Wolfsburg facts & analysis
- Tenth place in the table
- Two defeats in the last three games
- Last league game won 1-0 against Hoffenheim
Mönchengladbach form & record check
The Gladbachers naturally want to forget the game against Bayern quickly in order to be able to build on their performance of the previous weeks. After all, they picked up two wins against Kiel and Hoffenheim and a draw against Dortmund in a row before the defeat.
In the 1-0 defeat to the record champions, however, it became more than clear that they still lack a lot for the bigger teams. They repeatedly managed to cause minor problems, but they lacked the quality to pose a real threat against Bayern. They are in eleventh place in the table and, like Wolfsburg, are only four points away from Europe.
They lack efficiency
The picture for Gladbach is completely different from that for Wolfsburg. For the foals, it’s about being even more decisive in front of goal at this stage of the season. They have scored only 24 goals in their 16 previous matches (tenth in the league), but they have an xGoal value of 25.3.
This makes them one of the few teams to score fewer actual goals than expected. They repeatedly create good chances through their passing game, but then too often they let them slip away. The resolution for 2025 will be to take much better advantage of the opportunities and finishes.
Gladbach facts & analysis
- Eleventh place in the table
- Two defeats in the last five games
- Last league game lost 0-1 against Bayern
Wolfsburg will start in a 4-3-3 again. However, coach Ralph Hasenhüttl will have to do without winger Tomás, who picked up his fifth yellow card in the last game. Wimmer will play on the wing for him. The use of shooting star Amoura is also still uncertain. He had to be substituted injured on the last matchday. Kaminski is an option for him.
The foals from Gladbach are also starting in an offensive 4-3-3. However, Gerardo Seoane has hardly any personnel problems and will therefore send the same eleven onto the pitch as was last against Bayern.
Wolfsburg – Gladbach head to head & statistics
The duel between VfL Wolfsburg and Borussia from Gladbach has already taken place 50 times. 48 of these encounters were played in the Bundesliga and two in the DFB Cup. The numbers from these past matches tend to favor the Wolves, even though the statistics are very even. Wolfsburg have emerged as winners 22 times in this fixture, while Gladbach have celebrated 18 times.
In addition, there were ten draws between the two. In the last encounter, which also took place in Wolfsburg in April 2024, the Foals had a very strong day and won 3-1 away from home after falling behind 1-0.