When the 19th-placed team hosts the 17th-placed team at the Bentegodi, both clubs will be fighting for points to survive. Verona, with 6 points, faces Parma, with 8 points, both clearly considered relegation candidates. Both teams have only one win from their last five league games and are in very similar form. In a direct comparison, the trend slightly favors Verona, who have won three of the last five encounters, while Parma have scored in four consecutive games against Verona.
In terms of personnel, Verona will continue to be without Serdar and Suslov, which is why a tactical adjustment seems likely. Al-Musrati could provide more structure in midfield, and a three-man attack with Mosquera in the center is also conceivable. Parma has significantly greater problems, with regular goalkeeper Suzuki out for the long term. Guaita was brought in as an experienced replacement, but Corvi is expected to start in goal. Ndiaye and Circati are missing in defense, while Oristanio, Ondrejka, and Estévez are possible returnees.
Tactically, with home advantage and slight historical dominance, Verona can be expected to field a more structured midfield to gain more stability, combined with additional offensive pressure through the three-man attack. Parma are likely to be more compact and deeper, relying on counterattacks from their returning offensive players.
This results in a close prediction. Due to home advantage, slightly better personnel options, and form, there is a lot to suggest a 1-0 or 2-1 win for Verona. Rough probability assessment: Verona win around 45%, draw around 30%, Parma win around 25%.
Betting and lineup tip: Betting on home advantage seems reasonable, but value bets are more likely to be on a close result or on both teams scoring, as Parma has consistently scored against Verona in the recent past. Upon request, we can go through the exact lineups, a probable system including the starting eleven, or alternative betting ideas such as over/under, both teams to score, or double chance in detail.
- Venue: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona
- Date and time: November 23, 2025, 12:30 p.m.
- Competition: Serie A (Matchday 12)
Both teams are in identical form, with no wins in their last five games, but three draws and two defeats. Although the betting market sees Verona as the favorites with odds of around 2.30, the statistics and circumstances suggest a close, defensive game.
The primary betting recommendation is a draw with odds of around 3.0, which is an interesting option from a value perspective. Reason: 80% of the most recent direct duels between the two teams were tied at halftime, both teams have been winless for weeks and tend to play cautiously in direct relegation battles, both at home and away.
A secondary betting recommendation is under 2.5 goals. Personnel concerns at Parma with Suzuki out with a long-term injury and defensive changes at Verona with Al-Musrati as additional cover and the absence of Serdar suggest a wait-and-see approach, with the coaches likely to limit the risk.
Risks and counterarguments: Betting odds often reflect momentum and home advantage, and a surprise team performance, an early sending-off, or an individual moment after a set piece or defensive error can quickly open up the game. Injury updates, final lineups, and the weather should be checked again shortly before kick-off.
Verona form & record check
Hellas Verona are in 19th place with only six points after eleven games, just one point behind Genoa, so the bottom of the table is extremely tight. Verona have not won any of their last five games, with three draws and two defeats.
Coach Paolo Zanetti is likely to stick with his tried-and-tested 3-5-2 system, despite some missing options in midfield. Suslov is out until March with a long-term injury, and Serdar and Santiago are also unavailable.
Bella-Kotchap, Nelsson, and Valentini are expected to provide stability in the back three. Giovane and Orban are likely to form the attacking duo up front.
Montipò will be in goal, with Belghali and Bradarić expected to provide attacking impetus on the wings.
Parma Form & Record Check
Parma are stuck in the relegation battle in 17th place with only 8 points from 11 games, just one point ahead of Genoa and two ahead of Verona. Coach Carlos Cuesta has gone without a win in the last five league games, with three draws and two defeats.
The recent 2-2 draw against Milan, with goals from Bernabé and Del Prato, brought a respectable point, but this is offset by previous defeats in Bologna (1-3) and Rome (1-2), as well as two 0-0 draws against Como and Genoa. The team has not won in weeks.
It is striking that Parma went into halftime with a draw in four of their last five games, i.e., in 80% of cases. The team starts steadily and cautiously, but often loses its punch over 90 minutes.
Overall, the offense lacks scoring threat and consistency in front of goal, with many chances not being finished cleanly, which is why the hoped-for victories have failed to materialize.
In terms of personnel, regular goalkeeper Suzuki is out until February with a broken hand, and Vicente Guaita has been signed as an experienced replacement. In defense, Ndiaye is out indefinitely with pubic bone inflammation, and Circati is injured. There is hope for the return of Oristanio, Ondrejka, and Estévez, but their availability in Verona remains questionable.
With this poor form, the absences in defense, and the offensive problems, Parma is at risk against Verona. Stability in the first 45 minutes could be there again, but a lack of width and a lack of finishing ability argue against a victory, unless several players return at short notice.
Parma are likely to line up in their usual 3-5-2 formation. Troilo replaces the injured Ndiaye in the back three alongside Delprato and Valenti.
Bernabé returns to midfield and is expected to play alongside Sørensen and Keita, with Britschgi and Valeri taking up the wide positions. Pellegrino and Cutrone will start up front.
Regular goalkeeper Suzuki is out for months, so Corvi will probably be in goal.
Verona – Parma Head-to-head & statistics
Verona leads the head-to-head record in the last five matches with three wins, Parma won once, and one game ended goalless in March 2025. The previous meeting in December 2024 was a high-scoring 3-2 win for Verona in Parma. Older encounters from 2020 and 2021 showed a similar pattern with close results and advantages for the home team.
The half-time developments are striking: in four consecutive games, Parma scored before the break, while Verona conceded goals in the same games, yet the games were mostly tied at half-time. The decisions were regularly made after the break, with Verona particularly taking advantage of the second half to set the final course.
The matches were rarely low-scoring. Apart from the goalless draw in March, all games exceeded the two-goal mark, with three games even producing four or more goals. In 80% of the matches, both teams scored, which indicates rather open and offensive games.
