Union Berlin – Borussia Mönchengladbach
Our Union Berlin – Gladbach betting tip is: Over 2.5 goals – 1.78 odds
- Union Berlin scored four goals in their last Bundesliga game
- This bet would have worked out in four of Gladbach’s last five Bundesliga games
- This bet would also have worked out in the last three meetings between the two, which took place in Berlin
With an impressive 4-0 away win against Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga under their belts, Union Berlin will host Borussia Mönchengladbach at the Alte Försterei on Saturday. Benedict Hollerbach, who scored his first Bundesliga brace, is emblematic of the upturn under new coach Steffen Baumgart. The Berliners have worked their way up to 13th place in the table, although the three-point gap to the relegation places remains manageable.
The foals under Gerardo Seoane are in a secure mid-table position in 8th place with 31 points, but were recently unable to get beyond a 1-1 draw against Frankfurt. Interestingly, Gladbach have proven to be a real goal-scoring machine in the second half of the season – in the last five games, Borussia have scored in all of them, but have also conceded at least one goal in 80% of the games. With just one point behind Mainz 05 and one point ahead of Wolfsburg, the race for the international places remains exciting. Find out whether Gladbach can take a decisive step here in our Union Berlin – Gladbach betting tip.
Union Berlin – Gladbach info
- Venue: Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
- Date and Time: 15.02.2025, 3:30 pm
- Competition: Bundesliga, Matchday 22
- TV broadcast: Sky
Union Berlin form & balance sheet check
Union Berlin’s form is clearly on an upward trend. The recent 4-0 win against Hoffenheim was not only their highest win of the season, but also a real breakthrough. In particular, Benedict Hollerbach, who scored his first Bundesliga brace, seems to be really coming into his own under new coach Steffen Baumgart. The offense, which with only 16 goals in 20 games was still one of the weakest in the league, is gradually returning to its old strength.
Form curve rising
In the last five Bundesliga games, the Irons have picked up seven points – a decent haul for a club that is in 13th place in the table. Particularly interesting is the new tactical approach under Baumgart: the team is noticeably more offensive, which is also reflected in the statistics – in 80% of the last few games, more than 1.5 goals have been scored. The signing of Croatian striker Marin Ljubičić could prove to be another lucky find.
The goalless draw against RB Leipzig and the convincing away win at Hoffenheim show that the team can both defend stably and score goals. The three-point lead over the relegation place gives them some breathing space, but the situation at the bottom of the table remains tense. However, one can wonder whether even more is possible under Baumgart – the recent performances are definitely encouraging.
Union Berlin Facts & Analysis
- 13th place in the table
- Unbeaten in two games
- Last game won 4-0 against Hoffenheim
Union Berlin are likely to line up again in the proven 4-2-3-1 system under Steffen Baumgart. After the convincing 4-0 win against Hoffenheim, there is much to suggest that the coach is focusing on continuity. Rønnow is set to keep goal, with Juranović, Doekhi, Diogo Leite and Skov likely to defend in front of him.
Khedira and Haberer are likely to form the defensive midfield, while Hollerbach should be set in attack after his brace. Jeong Wooyeong and Skarke also have a good chance of starting. The decision at striker will be interesting: Pratajin has been in rising form recently, but could be challenged by newcomer Ljubičić. It remains to be seen whether Baumgart will put his faith in fresh impetus here.
Gladbach Form & Record Check
The form of Borussia Mönchengladbach is currently extremely changeable. After the recent 1-1 draw against Frankfurt, in which Tim Kleindienst scored with a header to take the lead, Gerardo Seoane’s team are in a solid 8th place in the table. Interestingly, only one point separates the foals from Mainz 05 in 7th place, which illustrates the tight situation in the middle of the table.
Patchy period
In recent weeks, the team has shown two completely different faces: While they recorded convincing victories against Stuttgart (2:1) and Bochum (3:0), they suffered painful defeats against Wolfsburg and Leverkusen. What is striking is the offensive alignment – in the last five games, Gladbach scored in every game, but also conceded goals in 80% of the games.
It is debatable whether the recent signing of Jens Castrop for the new season will bring the hoped-for stability to the midfield. The current performance of Borussia reflects the typical midfield position – too inconsistent for the top, but with enough quality to stay away from the relegation battle. The second halves are proving to be a particular strength: in 80% of the last games, the foals scored after the break.
Gladbach facts & analysis
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- Eighth place in the table
- Unbeaten in three games
- Last game 1:1 against Frankfurt
Gerardo Seoane is likely to stick with the proven 4-2-3-1 system against Union Berlin as well. Nicolas will be in goal again, having put in a solid performance against Frankfurt last time out. The back four of Scally, Friedrich, Itakura and Ullrich has gelled and should remain unchanged.
In defensive midfield, Weigl and Neuhaus will likely pull the strings again. The line-up in attack will be interesting – Ngoumou, Stöger and Hack could again form the back three behind the striker. Kleindienst looks set to start up front after his goal against Frankfurt. The former Heidenheim man is currently impressing with his presence in the box. Čvančara and Pléa will initially remain options from the bench.
Union Berlin – Gladbach head-to-head & statistics
The most recent meetings between Union Berlin and Borussia Mönchengladbach show an interesting trend. Of the last five encounters, Union have won three, while Gladbach have won one and drawn one.
The last meeting in September 2024 ended 1-0 to the Foals. Before that, there was a goalless draw in April 2024. Prior to that, Union Berlin dominated with three consecutive wins: 3-1 (December 2023), 1-0 (April 2023), and 2-1 (2022).
The goal-scoring action in the first 45 minutes is striking: in all five games, a maximum of one goal was scored before half-time. Interestingly, the games usually only developed after the break – this is when most of the decisions are made.
A remarkable pattern: in 80% of the duels, no more than three goals were scored. The matches are therefore typically characterized by tactical discipline, with Union able to play to its strengths in the second half in particular.
It will be interesting to see whether this pattern continues in the upcoming duel – or whether the teams will set new accents under their new coaches Baumgart and Seoane.
