Important Facts
- Newcastle has conceded a goal in each of its last five games, while Tottenham has scored in four consecutive games; so “Both teams to score” and Over 2.5 goals seem likely.
- Tottenham have been winless at home since early December and will have to do without their suspended center back after Romero’s red card at Old Trafford, while Porro, Richarlison, and Kudus remain sidelined.
- The 3-2 defeat to Brentford highlights Newcastle’s instability after defeats to Liverpool and Aston Villa and their League Cup exit at Man City; Gordon, Joelinton, Schär, and Livramento are again unavailable.
- Tottenham have failed to win any of their last five meetings with Newcastle (three Newcastle wins, two draws) and have always conceded at least one goal; all five games had over 1.5 goals, four had under 3.5.
- Notably tough second halves in head-to-head matches—three in a row ended in draws—fit with Newcastle’s trend of conceding goals before the break.
Sometimes a matchup reveals where it could hurt even before kickoff, and that’s exactly what’s in store here. Tottenham and Newcastle have enough quality up front – but when the game picks up pace, it’s often a question of who can better weather the shaky phases.
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
- Date and time: February 10, 2026, 8:30 p.m.
- Competition: Premier League (Matchday 26)
The betting arguments point quite clearly in the same direction, because both teams are vulnerable at the back but still have enough firepower up front to punish mistakes immediately. Newcastle have conceded in each of their last five games, while Tottenham score regularly, even if points have been few and far between in the league recently. That’s why “Both teams to score: Yes” and Over 2.5 goals seem more realistic than looking for a winner. Add to that Tottenham’s long home winless streak and Romero’s league suspension after his red card at Old Trafford, and a draw or a double chance on Newcastle fits into a market picture that favors the visitors without ruling out a draw at 3.5.
Tottenham Form & Record Check
Tottenham’s most recent league outing was a 2-0 win at Manchester United, a game that was turned on its head by Romero’s sending off before half-time, forcing Frank to focus on damage control rather than consistently going on the hunt. Before that, Spurs played out a 2-2 draw with Manchester City, a game that showed character and the will not to be swayed from their own plan even under pressure. And they also took another 2-2 draw away from Burnley, a familiar sign that control over 90 minutes has been difficult to maintain recently. Across all competitions, Tottenham have at least shown that they can get the job done when the structure is in place, with Champions League victories of 2-0 against Dortmund and 2-0 in Frankfurt providing a clear blueprint. The problem remains consistency: Porro and Richarlison are out, Kudus is sidelined, and Romero is now also missing in the league. This means that van de Ven, Drăgușin, and Danso have even more responsibility defensively, while Solanke, Simons, and Tel need to bring enough punch to the pitch up front.
Frank is likely to stick with a 4-3-3, with Vicario behind Spence, Romero, van de Ven, and Udogie. Palhinha is expected to cover the defense and break up counterattacks, allowing Gallagher and Sarr to push forward and press high up the pitch, sometimes even moving into the box late. Up front, Solanke looks like the clear focal point, with Simons and Odobert repeatedly moving into the half-spaces, while Udogie provides width when in possession. The team news makes the whole thing a bit of a surprise package. Porro is still out, so Spence is the obvious replacement, and Davies, Bergvall, Kudus, and Richarlison are also still sidelined. Romero was sent off at Old Trafford, and a league suspension would force Tottenham to make changes, with Drăgușin or Danso the most likely partners for van de Ven.
If there is also a Champions League game coming up, Maddison and Kulusevski would not be an option either.
Newcastle form & record check
Newcastle come to London on the back of a 2-3 home defeat to Brentford, a game that summed up their current fragility rather well. There were a few dangerous moments, but also moments they simply cannot afford right now. Botman’s goal and Guimarães’ late penalty showed that they can still fight back, but it was another game in which they conceded a goal and another in which their rhythm somehow kept breaking down. A look at the last five games is also merciless, with defeats against Liverpool and Aston Villa, plus elimination from the League Cup semi-final at Manchester City, only slightly cushioned by the 1-1 draw at Paris Saint Germain. Injuries and absences make rebuilding even more difficult. Gordon and Joelinton are likely to be missing again, Schär is also out, and Livramento remains sidelined. Howe actually has enough quality in the center with Tonali and Guimarães to keep up, but the transitions seem sloppy and opponents are creating chances early on. This fits in remarkably well with the recent trend of conceding goals in the first half. The fact that Wissa is only slowly regaining his spark after his knee injury also suggests that Newcastle are more likely to score through quantity than efficiency.
Tottenham – Newcastle Head-to-head comparison & statistics
The last five encounters clearly favor Newcastle: Tottenham have failed to win any of these games, with Newcastle recording three wins and two draws. Most recently, there was a 2-2 draw in the league in December 2025, preceded by a clear 2-0 win for Newcastle in the League Cup in October 2025, followed by a 1-1 draw in a friendly in August 2025. Newcastle also narrowly won the league games in 2025 and 2024 by 2-1, and Tottenham conceded at least one goal in each of these games. There is also a reliable goal basis: over 1.5 goals were scored in all five games, four out of five remained under 3.5. This suggests action in the penalty area, but without complete chaos. Newcastle scored in all five games, Tottenham in four, so clean sheets were few and far between. Interestingly, the second halves were often tougher, with three games in a row ending in a draw, even when the game had previously swung back and forth.
